Walmart stock is down nearly 8% in just 10 days—but is this a breakout or a trap? In this episode of Am I Catching a Falling Knife?, we dissect the bullish narrative around resilient sales growth and expose the margin pressures that could undermine it. Using real numbers, DCF models, and PEG ratios, we reveal why Walmart’s current price may be dangerously optimistic.

📊 Topics Covered: • Walmart’s grocery & e-commerce boom • Margin squeeze from rising costs • DCF valuation vs market price • Buy levels to watch: $90, $80, $70

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always do your own research.

Step into today’s Daily Market Narrative, where we decode the post‑Jackson Hole risk‑on frenzy without the financial jargon. 📉 Powell hints at rate cuts — markets cheer, SPY charts sparkle. 📈 Corporate earnings are up, consumer fears down… but is it all built on shaky Jenga blocks? Plus:

Private credit default warnings 🚨

Nvidia halts H20 chip production 🤖

Tariff confusion freezes mail deliveries 📦

Elon vs. Zuck in the AI chess match ♟️

Brits feeling bullish on their wallets 💷

US farmers caught between trade wars & bumper crops 🌾

Whether you’re a bull, a bear, or just here for the drama, this is the market wrap you can’t miss. 🔔 Subscribe for daily satirical yet sharp market insights that keep you informed and entertained.

Is Palantir Technologies (PLTR) a misunderstood AI titan—or just another overhyped tech stock? In this episode of Am I Catching a Falling Knife?, Dave breaks down Palantir’s recent pullback, its ambitious AI platforms like Gotham, Foundry, and AIP, and the market’s growing skepticism around its valuation.

We run a full DCF analysis, explore Wall Street’s shifting sentiment, and reveal our narrative-adjusted fair value of $16.08. Whether you're a retail investor or just curious about the future of AI in finance, this is a must-watch.

🔔 Subscribe for more deep dives into tech stocks, AI trends, and market psychology.

Is Target (TGT) the ultimate bargain — or a dangerous value trap? In this episode of Am I Catching a Falling Knife?, we dissect the market narrative, Q2 2025 earnings miss, consumer spending trends, and the CEO transition shaking investor confidence.

What you'll learn:

Why discretionary spending weakness is hitting TGT

The real impact of operating leverage on earnings

DCF valuation & fair price levels

📊 Disclaimer: This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice.

#Target #TGT #StockAnalysis #Investing #StockMarketNews

Cisco Systems (CSCO) just took a 10% nosedive after its Q2 FY2025 earnings — but is this a falling knife or a hidden gem? In this episode of Am I Catching a Falling Knife?, we break down the revenue miss, margin compression, and future guidance to uncover whether Cisco is a value trap or a long-term buy.

🔍 What you'll learn:

Why Cisco stock dropped 10%

Key financial metrics and valuation models

DCF and multiples analysis

Buy levels for knife-catchers

Peer comparison: Arista & Juniper

📊 Whether you're a long-term investor or a short-term trader, this deep dive will help you navigate the volatility and make smarter decisions.

👉 Like, comment, and subscribe for more market breakdowns!

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CSCO earnings Q2 FY2025

Is Cisco a value trap?

Cisco DCF valuation

Cisco vs Arista vs Juniper

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Cisco stock buy levels

CSCO forecast and price targets

Cisco margin compression explained

Is AMAT a hidden gem or a dangerous trap? In this episode of Am I Catching a Falling Knife?, we break down the recent 10% plunge in Applied Materials stock and uncover the real story behind its cautious Q4 outlook. From China’s geopolitical headwinds to the AI-driven future of semiconductors, we analyze AMAT’s fundamentals, revenue breakdown, and valuation models to help you decide: is this the moment to buy?📉 Topics Covered:AMAT Q4 earnings impactSemiconductor demand trendsChina’s role in AMAT’s revenueDCF vs PEG valuation modelsCustom buy levels for investors⚠️ Not financial advice. Always do your own research.🔔 Subscribe for more deep dives into market movers and investing narratives.

Deere & Company (NYSE: DE) just dropped 22% after slashing its earnings outlook. Is this a golden buying opportunity or a dangerous trap? In this episode of Am I Catching a Falling Knife?, we break down the Q3 2025 earnings miss, margin compression, and cyclical headwinds hitting the ag giant. We analyze valuation, risks, and three key buy levels to watch. Don’t miss this deep dive into one of the market’s most iconic industrial stocks.👍 Like, Subscribe & Hit the Bell for more sharp market analysis.

Tapestry (TPR) just took a jaw‑dropping hit — plunging after weak earnings and slashed guidance. In this deep‑dive breakdown, we’ll uncover the hard‑hitting reasons behind the drop, from margin pressure and inventory build‑up to shifting consumer demand in key markets.Then we’ll put TPR under the microscope with a full financial statement review, discounted cash flow valuation, and peer comparison to names like Ralph Lauren and Capri Holdings. We’ll also share possible buy zones based on technicals and fundamentals — not financial advice — so you can see where the risk/reward might start to turn.If this breakdown helps, hit Like, Subscribe, and drop the next ticker you want analyzed in the comments.

CAVA just dropped ~10% after earnings on slowing same‑store sales and lowered guidance — despite beating on EPS and revenue. Is this a real opportunity or a classic falling knife? I break down the narrative, run a quick DCF vs PEG, and share my buy zones.

What happened: EPS/rev beat, but growth narrative cracked on SSS slowdown and guidance trim.

Numbers that matter: 398 stores, ~$954.3M TTM revenue, margin context, and why a 3% SSS delta can hit operating earnings double‑digits.

Valuation check: DCF base vs narrative case ($56.89 → ~$47.22), PEG cross‑check (~$58.75), current price context (~$84.50).

Buy levels I’m watching and what would change my mind.

Risk lens: What could go right (traffic/mix/unit growth) vs wrong (promo intensity, cost creep, comp deceleration).

This is not financial advice. Do your own research.

Hashtags: #CAVA #CAVAStock #Earnings #StockMarket #Investing #DCF #RestaurantStocks

Cardinal Health (CAH) just dropped over 7% after Q4 FY2025 results and a $1.9B Solaris Health acquisition. Is this a falling knife… or a setup for a smarter entry? In this episode, we break down the revenue miss, thin 3.53% gross margins, financing risk, DCF and PEG valuations, and my buy levels based on a net −6.5% near-term earnings impact.

Key points:

EPS/guidance up, but revenue miss + deal financing weigh on near-term earnings.

Thin gross margins amplify small revenue misses.

Staggered buy levels for better margin of safety.

If you found this useful, drop a like, comment your take on CAH’s Solaris deal, and subscribe for weekly “falling knife” breakdowns.

#stocks #CAH #CardinalHealth #stockmarket #earnings #valuation #DCF #investing #healthcare

Disclaimer: This video is for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Do your own research and consult a qualified advisor before investing.

When a stock drops 38.7% in days after beating earnings and raising guidance… you have to ask: did the story break, or did expectations snap? In this episode of “Am I Catching a Falling Knife?”, we dig into monday.com (MNDY): what they actually do, why Q3 “conservative” outlook spooked the Street, how 90% gross margins amplify narrative shocks, and what a 7.5% near-term earnings reset means for valuation. We run two lenses—DCF and PEG—then share clean buy levels for high-volatility hunters.

Key takeaways

Earnings paradox: Beat revenue/EPS and raised FY guide, but Q3 tone reset near-term growth expectations.

Margin amplifier: 90% gross margins mean small revenue slows can punch earnings hard.

Valuation range: DCF and PEG both compress fair value after a ~7.5% expectations haircut.

Game plan: Let price come to you

Important: This is not financial advice. Do your own research and consider your risk tolerance.

If you like data-driven breakdowns without the fluff, hit subscribe and drop your tickers for the next “falling knife” autopsy.

#Stocks #MNDY #mondaycom #Investing #Earnings #SaaS #DCF #PEG #StockMarket

Is Lululemon (LULU) stock in freefall—or is this the perfect time to buy the dip? In this episode of Am I Catching a Falling Knife?, Dave breaks down the recent 13.92% drop in LULU’s share price and dives deep into the numbers behind the headlines. From softening U.S. consumer spending to tariff impacts, we quantify the narrative and estimate a potential -10.4% hit to quarterly earnings. Using DCF and PEG models, we explore LULU’s true valuation and share custom buy levels for investors watching this volatile stock.

📉 Topics Covered:

LULU’s business breakdown

Revenue and margin impact analysis

Operating leverage explained

DCF vs PEG valuation

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always do your own research.

🔔 Subscribe for more satirical yet data-rich stock breakdowns

Under Armour (UA) just dropped 23.45%. Are we catching a falling knife or a rare value setup? In this episode, we break down the narrative (North America weakness, weak guidance, downgrades), quantify the hit (estimated 15% quarterly earnings decline via operating leverage), and stack valuations: DCF base ≈ $5.19 vs narrative case ≈ $4.15 and PEG-implied ≈ $4.46. We also map buy zones at $4.40, $4.00, and $2.50 for a cleaner margin of safety.Like/subscribe if you want more “Am I Catching a Falling Knife?” deep dives. Comment: Bargain or bust?Disclaimer: This video is for entertainment and information only, not financial advice. Do your own research and consult a qualified advisor.#UnderArmour #UA #Stocks #ValueInvesting #DCF #PEG #Earnings #RetailStocks #Athleisure #StockMarket

🎯 Title

TTD Stock CRASHED 37% — Is This a Buy or a Total Trap? | Falling Knife Analysis

📝 Description

Is The Trade Desk (TTD) a discounted gem or a financial disaster waiting to happen? In this episode of Am I Catching a Falling Knife?, we dissect TTD’s brutal 37% drop, break down the Q2 earnings drama, and run the numbers on valuation, margins, and operating leverage. With high fixed costs and slowing growth, is this a classic falling knife or a rare buying opportunity?

📉 Topics Covered:

Why TTD dropped 37% in days

Q2 earnings breakdown & cautious Q3 guidance

Revenue, margins, and operating leverage explained

DCF valuation

Custom buy levels

PEG ratio fail: What happens when growth turns negative?

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always do your own research.

🔔 Subscribe for more satirical deep dives into meme stocks, market meltdowns, and financial chaos.

#stockanalysis #stockmarket #stockcrash

Fortinet (FTNT) just tanked 28% — but is this cybersecurity giant a hidden gem or a value trap? In this episode of Am I Catching a Falling Knife?, Dave breaks down the real reasons behind the drop: slowing service revenue, SASE cannibalization fears, and analyst downgrades. We run the numbers with DCF and PEG models to reveal Fortinet’s true value — and share custom buy levels for risk-savvy investors.🔔 Subscribe for more deep dives into meme stocks, market meltdowns, and misunderstood opportunities.#stockanalysis #stockmarket #stockcrash

Eli Lilly (LLY) just dropped over 20% — but is it panic or opportunity? In this episode of Am I Catching a Falling Knife?, we dissect the GLP-1 drama, break down the earnings impact, and run valuation models to see if this pharma giant is oversold or overhyped.

🔍 Topics covered:

What happened with orforglipron

How investor sentiment affects earnings

DCF vs PEG valuation breakdown

📉 Not financial advice — just sharp analysis with a satirical edge.

Subscribe for more breakdowns of market meltdowns and meme stock madness.

#stockanalysis #stockmarket #stockcrash

Is Airbnb (ABNB) a screaming buy—or a classic falling knife? In this episode of Am I Catching a Falling Knife?, Dave breaks down the recent dip in Airbnb’s stock price and uncovers the real story behind the cautious outlook, margin pressures, and valuation disconnect.

🔍 What you'll learn:

Why Airbnb’s strong Q2 earnings aren’t saving the stock

How increased investments could slash profits by 20%

👉 Is this a dip worth buying—or a blade worth dodging? Tune in and decide.

🔔 Subscribe for more sharp takes on volatile stocks and market psychology.

#stockanalysis #stockcrash #airbnb

Is The Mosaic Company (MOS) a hidden gem or a financial landmine? In this episode of Am I Catching a Falling Knife?, we dissect MOS’s brutal 16.81% drop following its Q2 2025 earnings miss. We break down:What Mosaic actually does (hint: it’s all about crop nutrients)Why Wall Street got it wrongHow future earnings could take a 6% hitOur DCF and PEG-based valuationsCustom buy levels for brave investorsThis isn’t financial advice—it’s financial entertainment. Subscribe for more satirical deep dives into the wild world of meme stocks and market chaos.#MOS #StockCrash #FallingKnife #FinancePodcast #EarningsMiss #ValueInvesting #MemeStocks

NRG Energy just dropped over 10%—but is it panic time or a rare buying opportunity? In this episode of Am I Catching a Falling Knife?, Dave breaks down the brutal investor reaction to NRG’s underwhelming data center deals, crunches the numbers on revenue impact, and reveals custom buy levels that could be game-changers.📉 Is this a falling knife or a misunderstood power play? Tune in and decide.👉 Like, subscribe, and hit the bell so you don’t miss the next deep dive into meme stocks, market drama, and financial truth.#NRGStock #FallingKnife #StockAnalysis #DataCenterDeals #NRGEnergy #FinancePodcast #StockMarketCrash #BuyTheDip

Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) just got wrecked after missing Q2 revenue and triggering major concerns around its GLP-1 weight-loss pipeline. Is this a rare buying opportunity—or a regulatory disaster in disguise?

Join Dave on "Am I Catching a Falling Knife?" as we deep dive into:

👉 Market narrative vs fundamentals

👉 DCF and PEG valuation models

👉 Buy zones for risk-tolerant traders

This episode blends sharp satire with serious data so you can navigate volatility with confidence. Not financial advice—just financial comedy.

#HIMS #stocks #fallingknife #GLP1 #telehealth #stockmarket #financememes