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Am I Catching a Falling Knife?
Dave Jones
41 episodes
6 days ago
🔍 Ever wondered if a stock dip is a rare buying opportunity or a disaster in disguise? Am I Catching a Falling Knife? slices through the noise with sharp analysis, satirical flair, and breakdowns of market narratives that drive stock moves. Host Dave takes you inside each story—earnings hits, tariff shocks, sector trends—and reveals custom buy levels that might just catch your next big win. Perfect for investors who love deep dives, smart humor, and a touch of chaos. Ready to get cut—or cash in?
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Investing
Business
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All content for Am I Catching a Falling Knife? is the property of Dave Jones and is served directly from their servers with no modification, redirects, or rehosting. The podcast is not affiliated with or endorsed by Podjoint in any way.
🔍 Ever wondered if a stock dip is a rare buying opportunity or a disaster in disguise? Am I Catching a Falling Knife? slices through the noise with sharp analysis, satirical flair, and breakdowns of market narratives that drive stock moves. Host Dave takes you inside each story—earnings hits, tariff shocks, sector trends—and reveals custom buy levels that might just catch your next big win. Perfect for investors who love deep dives, smart humor, and a touch of chaos. Ready to get cut—or cash in?
Show more...
Investing
Business
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CAVA CRASH:10% After Earnings — Falling Knife or 50% Off Setup CAVA Stock Analysis DCF + Buy Level
Am I Catching a Falling Knife?
6 minutes 27 seconds
2 months ago
CAVA CRASH:10% After Earnings — Falling Knife or 50% Off Setup CAVA Stock Analysis DCF + Buy Level

CAVA just dropped ~10% after earnings on slowing same‑store sales and lowered guidance — despite beating on EPS and revenue. Is this a real opportunity or a classic falling knife? I break down the narrative, run a quick DCF vs PEG, and share my buy zones.


What happened: EPS/rev beat, but growth narrative cracked on SSS slowdown and guidance trim.


Numbers that matter: 398 stores, ~$954.3M TTM revenue, margin context, and why a 3% SSS delta can hit operating earnings double‑digits.


Valuation check: DCF base vs narrative case ($56.89 → ~$47.22), PEG cross‑check (~$58.75), current price context (~$84.50).


Buy levels I’m watching and what would change my mind.


Risk lens: What could go right (traffic/mix/unit growth) vs wrong (promo intensity, cost creep, comp deceleration).




This is not financial advice. Do your own research.


Hashtags: #CAVA #CAVAStock #Earnings #StockMarket #Investing #DCF #RestaurantStocks

Am I Catching a Falling Knife?
🔍 Ever wondered if a stock dip is a rare buying opportunity or a disaster in disguise? Am I Catching a Falling Knife? slices through the noise with sharp analysis, satirical flair, and breakdowns of market narratives that drive stock moves. Host Dave takes you inside each story—earnings hits, tariff shocks, sector trends—and reveals custom buy levels that might just catch your next big win. Perfect for investors who love deep dives, smart humor, and a touch of chaos. Ready to get cut—or cash in?