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Am I Catching a Falling Knife?
Dave Jones
41 episodes
5 days ago
🔍 Ever wondered if a stock dip is a rare buying opportunity or a disaster in disguise? Am I Catching a Falling Knife? slices through the noise with sharp analysis, satirical flair, and breakdowns of market narratives that drive stock moves. Host Dave takes you inside each story—earnings hits, tariff shocks, sector trends—and reveals custom buy levels that might just catch your next big win. Perfect for investors who love deep dives, smart humor, and a touch of chaos. Ready to get cut—or cash in?
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Investing
Business
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All content for Am I Catching a Falling Knife? is the property of Dave Jones and is served directly from their servers with no modification, redirects, or rehosting. The podcast is not affiliated with or endorsed by Podjoint in any way.
🔍 Ever wondered if a stock dip is a rare buying opportunity or a disaster in disguise? Am I Catching a Falling Knife? slices through the noise with sharp analysis, satirical flair, and breakdowns of market narratives that drive stock moves. Host Dave takes you inside each story—earnings hits, tariff shocks, sector trends—and reveals custom buy levels that might just catch your next big win. Perfect for investors who love deep dives, smart humor, and a touch of chaos. Ready to get cut—or cash in?
Show more...
Investing
Business
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MNDY crashing 38 7%! Bargain… or Total Falling Knife?
Am I Catching a Falling Knife?
5 minutes 41 seconds
2 months ago
MNDY crashing 38 7%! Bargain… or Total Falling Knife?

When a stock drops 38.7% in days after beating earnings and raising guidance… you have to ask: did the story break, or did expectations snap? In this episode of “Am I Catching a Falling Knife?”, we dig into monday.com (MNDY): what they actually do, why Q3 “conservative” outlook spooked the Street, how 90% gross margins amplify narrative shocks, and what a 7.5% near-term earnings reset means for valuation. We run two lenses—DCF and PEG—then share clean buy levels for high-volatility hunters.


Key takeaways


Earnings paradox: Beat revenue/EPS and raised FY guide, but Q3 tone reset near-term growth expectations.


Margin amplifier: 90% gross margins mean small revenue slows can punch earnings hard.


Valuation range: DCF and PEG both compress fair value after a ~7.5% expectations haircut.


Game plan: Let price come to you


Important: This is not financial advice. Do your own research and consider your risk tolerance.


If you like data-driven breakdowns without the fluff, hit subscribe and drop your tickers for the next “falling knife” autopsy.


#Stocks #MNDY #mondaycom #Investing #Earnings #SaaS #DCF #PEG #StockMarket

Am I Catching a Falling Knife?
🔍 Ever wondered if a stock dip is a rare buying opportunity or a disaster in disguise? Am I Catching a Falling Knife? slices through the noise with sharp analysis, satirical flair, and breakdowns of market narratives that drive stock moves. Host Dave takes you inside each story—earnings hits, tariff shocks, sector trends—and reveals custom buy levels that might just catch your next big win. Perfect for investors who love deep dives, smart humor, and a touch of chaos. Ready to get cut—or cash in?