In the past 24 hours, Hurricane Erin has rapidly evolved into a major story for the Atlantic hurricane season. As of early Sunday morning, NOAA’s National Hurricane Center reported Hurricane Erin had reached maximum sustained winds of 125 mph and was located approximately 140 miles north of San Juan, Puerto Rico, tracking to the west-northwest at about 14 mph. Its outer rainbands have already caused gusty winds and heavy rains across Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, with a Tropical Storm Watch now in effect for the Turks and Caicos Islands. Erin is currently the fifth named storm—and the first major hurricane—of the season, which is forecast to run well above average activity levels this year.

Forecasters have noted the exceptional rapid intensification of Erin. Within the last day, the storm exploded to a Category 5 hurricane, a feat that is rare so early in the season and marks only the fourth straight year the Atlantic has seen a Category 5. Meteorologists highlight that such intense strengthening is linked to extremely warm ocean waters and minimal wind shear, both hallmarks of a warming climate. Rapid intensification can complicate forecasts, making it challenging for emergency agencies to prepare coastlines at risk. Erin’s current minimum central pressure is notably low at around 937 millibars, indicating a powerful and compact cyclone.

Despite Erin’s impressive strength, current forecast models remain consistent in keeping the storm’s main trajectory offshore as it moves northward. While Erin’s center is not expected to make landfall in the mainland United States, its growing size means that dangerous rip currents and high surf could begin impacting the U.S. East Coast from Florida to the mid-Atlantic in the days ahead, even as the core stays far at sea.

Officials are advising heightened vigilance for communities along the Turks and Caicos and adjacent islands given the possibility of tropical storm conditions within 24 hours. So far, there are no direct reports of storm-related deaths or damages in the United States, but authorities warn that the threat of coastal impacts remains, particularly as the storm’s wind field grows larger.

Looking Ahead, meteorologists are closely watching Erin for any unexpected wobbles in its track that could bring it closer to land or generate secondary hazards such as flooding rains or storm surge, especially for Bermuda and potentially the Canadian Maritimes later in the week. The National Hurricane Center will continue issuing advisories as conditions evolve and is urging coastal residents to stay updated as Erin remains a powerful storm with the potential to generate dangerous ocean conditions on both sides of the Atlantic.

The latest hurricane developments center on Tropical Storm Erin, which continues to strengthen as it moves west-northwest across the central Atlantic. As of early August 15, advisories from the National Hurricane Center placed the center of Erin at 17.1N, 52.7W, moving at 15 knots with maximum sustained winds of 60 knots and gusts up to 75 knots. Forecasters expect Erin to intensify into the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season within the next 12-24 hours, potentially reaching major hurricane status as it approaches the area north of the Leeward Islands over the weekend. The storm’s predicted path keeps it over open water in the coming days, but interests in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico are urged to monitor updates closely, as even a slight deviation could shift potential impacts toward landfall or closer coastal passage. At present, there are no active coastal watches or warnings, but marine alerts and advisories remain in place for areas that could experience hazardous seas and tropical storm–force winds as Erin grows in strength.

Drone footage and local reports have already captured extensive flooding and significant impacts in the Cabo Verde islands, where the storm’s initial passage involved heavy rain and deadly flash flooding; at least eight fatalities were confirmed, prompting a state of emergency and emergency response efforts. The main forecast models show Erin remaining on a west-northwest trajectory, with continued intensification expected through the next 48 hours. By August 20, some forecasts show the storm positioned near 28N, 70W, with maximum sustained winds potentially exceeding 105 knots as it moves into the open western Atlantic. While the U.S. mainland is not currently in Erin’s direct path, uncertainty lingers about its track beyond the five-day window and whether steering currents could bring it closer to the East Coast or result in recurvature out to sea.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic, there are currently no other organized tropical systems posing imminent threats, though marine warnings remain for the Caribbean, southwest Atlantic, and southwest North Atlantic. Heavy rain and flash flooding are forecast near the Mid-Atlantic and Carolina coasts from separate weather disturbances, while the central and northern Plains face strong storms with hail and severe wind gusts. Elevated fire danger is noted in the northern Rockies due to dry, windy conditions.

Looking Ahead: All eyes remain on Erin as it intensifies and tracks west-northwest, with hurricane status expected imminently. Residents and mariners in the Leewards and U.S. territories should stay updated on official advisories. Meanwhile, meteorologists are closely watching the eastern Atlantic for new disturbances and monitoring the evolving patterns that could influence Erin’s ultimate path and potential secondary storm development.

The National Hurricane Center and NOAA have issued updated guidance over the past 24 hours with major developments focusing on the trajectory and impact of Tropical Storm Erin in the Atlantic basin. As of the early morning of August 13, Erin is the only active named storm in the region with no hurricanes currently being tracked. Erin developed over the central tropical Atlantic and has been moving steadily westward, with advisories and detailed storm discussions published throughout Monday and Tuesday. According to the latest advisories, marine warnings remain in effect across sections of the Atlantic as Erin maintains tropical storm status, bringing sustained winds and heavy rainfall to parts of its projected path. While the primary threat is currently to maritime interests, coastal forecasters remain vigilant as the storm’s progression could influence conditions for the southeastern United States and Caribbean over the coming days, although no direct landfall is forecast at this time.

This development is part of a broader-than-average Atlantic hurricane season outlook. NOAA’s early August update predicts the remainder of the 2025 hurricane season will be above-normal, with a 50 percent chance for more storms than the average year. Experts now anticipate 13 to 18 named storms, of which five to nine may reach hurricane strength, including the potential for two to five major hurricanes reaching Category 3 or higher. Thus far, four named storms—Andrea, Barry, Chantal, and Dexter—have formed, with Erin as the most recent. The official Atlantic hurricane season runs through November 30, and forecasts caution that climatologically, hurricane activity typically intensifies from mid-August onward. Meteorological models continue to be closely monitored but, as of this report, Erin is the only system requiring advisories and there are no active storm surge or hurricane warnings for coastal communities.

Inland, the National Weather Service has highlighted tropical moisture over the northern half of Georgia, supporting increased risks for isolated flash and river flooding, a concern for communities even without direct coastal impacts from tropical systems. Forecasts remain fluid and subject to rapid change, particularly as atmospheric conditions evolve through the peak of hurricane season.

Looking ahead, forecasters urge readiness as environmental conditions indicate continued storm development potential. The names to follow Erin are being prepared and the coming weeks could see ramped-up activity. Communities across the Atlantic and Gulf coasts are encouraged to monitor official updates and review preparedness plans as hurricane season enters its historically most active phase.

The National Hurricane Center reports no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin this morning, with its latest tropical weather discussion noting there are no named storms currently in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf of Mexico. However, the agency continues monitoring tropical waves and broader environmental signals as the climatological ramp-up toward the peak of the season continues[6]. The NWS tropical information portal likewise shows no active Atlantic storms at this time[8]. In the Pacific, NHC advisories remain active on Tropical Depression Ivo in the Eastern Pacific and on Hurricane Henriette in the Central Pacific, with marine warnings in effect for Eastern Pacific waters; these systems are not presently forecast to impact the U.S. East or Gulf coasts but may influence swell and marine conditions downrange[5][6].

Closer to the Gulf, local forecasters have highlighted a broad disturbance producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northern Gulf Coast. The feature had been given a low chance of tropical development over 48 hours while drifting west, with primary impacts characterized as periods of heavy rain, gusty thunderstorms, and brief street flooding potential along portions of the upper Texas coast and adjacent coastal Louisiana. Even without development, deep tropical moisture was expected to enhance downpours into the weekend time frame in southeast Texas, with locally gusty winds possible in stronger cells[3]. Residents from coastal Louisiana to the upper Texas coast should anticipate intermittent marine hazards such as locally rough seas and reduced visibility near thunderstorms.

Seasonally, NOAA’s updated August outlook continues to call for an above-normal Atlantic season overall, projecting 13 to 18 named storms, five to nine hurricanes, and two to five major hurricanes. The update reflects a 50 percent chance of an above-normal season, 35 percent near-normal, and 15 percent below-normal, consistent with warm Atlantic waters and other background factors as we approach the core months of activity. Through early August, four named storms have formed, with the next Atlantic name being Erin[1]. While no U.S. coastal warnings are currently in effect from active Atlantic storms, the combination of favorable basin conditions and ongoing tropical waves argues for close monitoring of forecast changes through mid-August[1][6][8].

Looking Ahead: Forecasters will watch for any consolidation of the northern Gulf disturbance as it tracks west and for new African easterly waves that could find more favorable conditions over the Main Development Region later this week. Continue to check NHC outlooks for any new invest areas or formation chances and local NWS offices for rainfall and marine advisories along the Gulf Coast[6][8][3].

The past 24 hours have seen the National Hurricane Center closely monitoring storm activity across the Pacific, with particular attention on Tropical Storm Ivo in the Eastern North Pacific. As of the latest advisory, Ivo’s center was located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 114.9 West, slowly tracking northwestward. Forecasters expect Ivo to gradually weaken, likely transitioning to a post-tropical system by the end of the weekend. While Ivo remains over open waters and does not currently threaten land directly, marine warnings remain in effect for much of the Eastern Pacific, cautioning vessels of high winds and rough seas. Impacts to populated coastal regions are minimal for now, but the situation is being monitored for any notable shifts in the storm’s track or intensity.

In the Central Pacific, the remnants of what was previously Tropical Storm Henriette continue to dissipate, and the system has lost significant organization according to the National Hurricane Center. The latest outlook indicates no immediate threats to Hawaii or other islands, though marine interests are advised to stay alert as the post-tropical system moves westward.

Meanwhile, in the Atlantic basin, the situation remains calm. As of early Sunday, no tropical cyclones are present in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center reiterate that the Atlantic hurricane season officially runs through November 30, 2025, and highlight predictions for an above-normal season, urging residents in coastal areas to maintain preparedness. There are no active warnings or watches for the Atlantic region at this time, and no new systems are expected to form in the next few days.

Across the southern United States, particularly in Texas, local National Weather Service offices report typical summertime thunderstorms but no direct tropical threats affecting the Gulf Coast this weekend. Scattered storms are expected mainly along and south of I-10, but these are unrelated to any tropical activity.

Looking Ahead: Forecasters will continue to monitor the weakening Ivo in the Pacific as it slides northwest, with primary attention on any shift that may increase marine hazards. The Atlantic remains in a lull, but with the mid-August historical uptick in activity approaching, all eyes will be on the tropics for signs of new development, especially with the above-normal season outlook from NOAA. Coastal residents and marine interests are encouraged to follow updates from the National Hurricane Center and local officials as the season progresses.

In the past 24 hours, hurricane and tropical alerts have focused primarily on the Eastern Pacific, while the Atlantic basin is currently quiet. According to the latest updates from the National Hurricane Center, there are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico. The outlook notes no immediate threats for these regions and emphasizes routine monitoring as the season approaches its statistical peak in early September. The next Atlantic named storm will be called Erin, but as of this morning, no systems are expected to reach tropical storm strength in the next two days. This lull comes as both NOAA and Colorado State University reiterate their forecasts for an above-normal hurricane season in the Atlantic, with NOAA predicting between 13 and 19 named storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes, and up to 5 major hurricanes—defined as Category 3 or higher. The atmosphere and sea surface temperatures remain favorable, so attention is likely to turn to disturbances emerging off the African coast soon, a typical prelude to increased activity as mid-August and September arrive. Forecasters highlight the importance of this period, noting that the majority of high-impact storms historically form from late August into October.

In the Eastern Pacific, tropical storm activity is more pronounced. The National Hurricane Center is currently issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ivo, which is maintaining strength over open waters with maximum sustained winds around 50 mph. Ivo is expected to move northwest and likely transition to an extratropical cyclone within the next day or so, posing minimal risk to coastal communities. Marine warnings remain in effect for certain areas of the Eastern Pacific, and mariners are advised to exercise caution. The final advisories for former storm Henriette were also released within the past day, as the system has dissipated.

Meteorologists stress that the threat from tropical systems is not limited to wind damage. Hazards such as storm surge, inland flooding from rain, and tornadoes often extend far beyond a storm’s immediate track. The National Weather Service continues to provide hazard-specific graphics to help coastal residents understand the range and extent of potential impacts during active systems. Despite the current calm in the Atlantic, both officials and experts remind the public that preparedness is crucial given the above-normal forecasts and the season’s most likely period for major hurricanes is just weeks away.

Looking Ahead, attention will focus on the tropical Atlantic for possible new disturbances as atmospheric conditions remain favorable for storm development. Regular updates from NOAA, the National Hurricane Center, and major weather sources will be critical in the coming days as tropical waves continue to move off Africa and as the Eastern Pacific storms progress. Coastal communities are urged to review preparedness plans and stay informed as the season enters its most active phase.

Tropical Storm Dexter remains the primary focus of hurricane monitoring in the Atlantic, according to the latest National Hurricane Center advisories. Dexter, the fourth named storm of the 2025 Atlantic season, formed on August 3 and has since weakened. The system is no longer expected to pose a substantial threat, but its development underscores the recent acceleration in tropical activity as the basin approaches its historical peak. Meanwhile, meteorologists are monitoring two new areas of interest for potential tropical development. The first is a burgeoning low pressure area expected to form along an old stationary front off the Southeast U.S. coast within the next 24 to 48 hours. Forecast models indicate this low may drift north or northwest and if it organizes sufficiently, it could become a tropical depression or tropical storm later this week. Impacts are possible for the Southeast U.S., with forecasters warning of periods of locally heavy rainfall along portions of the Carolinas, Georgia, and northern Florida. High surf and increased rip current risk are anticipated from the Delmarva Peninsula through North Carolina as early as this weekend, regardless of the system's further development[2].

Simultaneously, a broad tropical wave in the far eastern Atlantic has captured attention. Currently centered near 31 degrees west longitude and south of 19 degrees north latitude, this wave is advancing westward at around 10 knots. While it is still contending with dry air, environmental conditions are forecast to improve in the coming days. There is a medium chance (about 50 percent) that this disturbance could gradually strengthen into a tropical depression over the next week, as it moves west-northwest toward the central Atlantic. Should intensification occur, its trajectory remains uncertain with possible paths either curling northward into the open ocean or continuing west toward the Lesser Antilles[3][6].

Elsewhere, the Eastern Pacific is experiencing activity with Tropical Storm Henriette, but no immediate land impacts to Central America or Mexico have been forecast so far[1]. There are currently no active tropical cyclones in the Central Pacific[5].

Looking ahead, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration continues to project an above-normal 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, emphasizing the importance of preparedness as activity typically intensifies from August through September. Forecasters especially urge coastal residents from the Gulf Coast to the Southeast Atlantic to review preparedness plans in light of the developing systems and the broader climatological uptick expected in the coming weeks[1][2].

Tropical Storm Dexter has become the primary focus of hurricane activity in the Atlantic over the past 24 hours. The National Hurricane Center began issuing advisories for Dexter late Sunday into Monday, marking the end of a nearly month-long lull in tropical cyclone formation for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Dexter formed off the East Coast of the United States and is currently tracking northeast, moving parallel to the coast but remaining offshore at this time. While exact wind speeds and rainfall projections are still emerging, marine warnings are in effect for the affected areas, highlighting the potential for hazardous surf and rip currents along the coast[1][3].

This season has seen a slow start, with only four named storms to date including Andrea, Barry, and Chantal. Previous storms were relatively short-lived and had minimal impacts on land, with Barry briefly making landfall near Tampico, Mexico, and Chantal crossing into South Carolina in early July. Persistent atmospheric conditions, including dry Saharan dust and strong Atlantic high pressure, suppressed early tropical development. With Dexter’s formation, forecasters are closely monitoring its progress and any shifts that could threaten the Mid-Atlantic or New England coasts, though the current forecast track suggests it will likely remain over open water[2].

In the eastern Pacific, Tropical Depression Eight-E is active, but poses limited threat to populated areas at present, with marine warnings issued for ships and coastal activities in the region[1]. No new cyclones are currently reported for the central Pacific, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico, providing a reprieve for those areas. However, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) warns that an above-normal hurricane season remains likely for 2025, heightening the need for preparedness as the peak months of August and September approach[1][5].

Looking ahead, communities along the eastern seaboard are advised to remain alert as Dexter’s progress is updated. Elevated surf and strong rip currents may affect beaches through midweek, even without a direct landfall. With the Atlantic entering its most active phase, and atmospheric patterns now showing signs of supporting increased cyclogenesis, further storm development is possible in the coming weeks. Coastal residents and mariners should follow official updates and forecasts from NOAA and the National Hurricane Center[1][6].

In the past 24 hours, NOAA’s National Hurricane Center and affiliated weather agencies have reported no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin, but they continue to closely monitor a handful of disturbances with potential impacts for coastal regions. A slow-moving tropical disturbance is currently situated over the northern Gulf of Mexico, south of New Orleans, producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While the National Hurricane Center assigns only a 10 percent chance of this system developing into a tropical depression in the next day or two, it is expected to push deep tropical moisture into southeast Texas and Louisiana through the weekend. This spells a risk for locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds over 40 mph, and momentary street flooding, primarily in southeast Texas. ABC13 has declared a Weather Watch for the region, advising residents to remain alert for sudden changes and the possibility of scattered tropical downpours[4].

Elsewhere in the Atlantic, two tropical waves are being tracked. One is progressing through the eastern Caribbean near 68W, affecting regions from the Mona Passage down into northwestern Venezuela. It is accompanied by scattered heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms, particularly over Hispaniola and the Mona Passage. Another wave is located in the central Caribbean, positioned near 78W from Jamaica south into Panama and Colombia, but at present, it is not associated with significant convection or storm organization. The western Caribbean tropical wave from earlier this week appears to have merged into the central Caribbean feature[1].

Farther east, the monsoon trough and Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) stretch from West Africa into the tropical Atlantic. Satellite imagery notes widely scattered moderate convection along these lines, but there is currently no sign of imminent cyclogenesis from these disturbances[1]. The National Hurricane Center underscores that the next week carries no substantial risk of tropical cyclone formation across the Atlantic basin, though seasonal climatology points to a ramp-up of storm activity later in August[2][3].

Beyond tropical rain, Saharan dust has begun to drift across the Caribbean and into parts of the southeastern United States, causing hazy skies and potentially lowering air quality in places like Florida, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic. Meteorologists caution that while the dust will make for vibrant sunrises and sunsets, individuals with respiratory sensitivities should take precautions as concentrations may remain slightly elevated through the coming days[2][4].

Looking ahead, experts remind coastal residents that the heart of hurricane season lies ahead. NOAA continues to predict an above-normal 2025 Atlantic hurricane season due to warm sea surface temperatures and favorable atmospheric conditions. As late August approaches, the probability of named storm formation typically increases, so ongoing vigilance is urged even during the current lull[3][4].

The Atlantic hurricane basin remains calm as August begins, with no active tropical cyclones, named storms, or imminent threats reported across the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico in the past 24 hours according to the latest updates from the National Hurricane Center. While August 1 marks the start of the most active phase of the Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA, the National Hurricane Center, and regional meteorological agencies confirm that no new storm formation is expected in the region over the next several days, and tropical development remains unlikely through at least the first week of the month.

Satellite analysis and surface observations indicate that a series of tropical waves are moving across the Atlantic and Caribbean, with minor scattered showers detected near these features. A notable tropical wave is currently positioned along 49W south of 20N, with isolated shower activity near the wave’s northern edge. Another wave lies along 58W, moving westward at 15 to 20 knots, contributing to sporadic shower activity but showing no signs of organization. In the Caribbean, a wave at 80W is supporting scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, most prevalent near its northern extent. While these waves are being monitored, none presently show significant potential for cyclogenesis, and all are expected to continue westward without rapid development.

Elsewhere, attention is focused on the Eastern and Central Pacific, where Tropical Storm Gil and Tropical Storm Iona are active, prompting marine warnings for those ocean sectors. However, these systems pose no threat to the Atlantic basin or the U.S. coastline, and no associated impacts are anticipated for any Atlantic or Gulf coastal regions.

August historically brings a sharp uptick in hurricane activity, as warmer ocean waters, lower Saharan dust levels, and more robust tropical waves fuel development. Most Atlantic hurricanes form after August 1, with the season’s climatological peak on September 10. The current lull should not be taken as an all-clear; past seasons have shown how quickly conditions can change, particularly as the so-called Cabo Verde season intensifies and storms track from Africa toward the western Atlantic.

Looking Ahead, forecasters are closely monitoring several weak tropical waves as they approach the Caribbean and the southeast U.S. While no short-term threats are anticipated, the National Hurricane Center urges coastal residents to remain vigilant and prepared, as conditions historically become more favorable for rapid storm development as August progresses. NOAA’s seasonal outlook continues to call for an above-normal hurricane season, and experts advise close attention to official forecasts for any signs of intensification or new storm formation in the coming weeks.

In the past 24 hours, official updates from NOAA and the National Hurricane Center confirm that the Atlantic basin currently has no active tropical cyclones, as last reported by the National Hurricane Center’s early morning discussion. Tropical waves are present, including an eastern Atlantic wave along 28W moving west at about 15 to 20 knots, producing moderate convection between 05N and 15N, and another in the central Atlantic near 43W, moving slightly slower with only a few associated showers. Additional waves in the eastern and central Caribbean are tracked near 71W and 81W respectively, both moving west at about 10 knots, but showing limited convective activity as of the latest analysis. Despite these tropical waves, none have developed into organized storm systems as of this morning, and there are no hurricane watches, warnings, or active advisories for the Atlantic or Caribbean at this time according to both the National Hurricane Center and recent tropical outlooks.

Turning to the Pacific, Tropical Storm Keli persists in the Central Pacific near 13.1N, 151.7W, moving westward at 18 mph. Keli maintains maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1006 mb. Forecasts indicate that Keli is expected to maintain its current intensity and westward track, remaining over open water without threatening land for the immediate future. Meanwhile, farther south of Hawaii, Hurricane Iona became the first major hurricane of the Central Pacific season, but it too remains well offshore and poses no threat to land at this time.

Beyond tropical systems, severe heat continues to impact parts of the eastern United States. The National Weather Service issued heat advisories for much of New Jersey, northern Delaware, and eastern Pennsylvania, warning of high heat indices reaching 100 to 105 degrees and the accompanying risk of heat-related illnesses. Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds are possible from the I-95 corridor north and west this afternoon and evening. Excessive rainfall could bring flash flooding to parts of New Jersey, eastern Pennsylvania, Delaware, and northeast Maryland from Thursday onward, prompting residents to remain alert for rapid changes in local weather.

Looking ahead, forecasters continue to monitor clusters of thunderstorms and several tropical waves moving across the Atlantic for any signs of organization that could signal future storm development. In the Pacific, Keli and Iona will be watched closely, particularly if any shift in trajectory brings potential hazards closer to land. Regions under heat advisories and severe storm outlooks should prepare for continued hazardous weather through at least Thursday, with local updates expected as conditions evolve.

The past 24 hours in hurricane and severe weather alerts have been marked by relatively quiet conditions in the Atlantic, while the Pacific sees continued activity. According to the National Hurricane Center and major weather sources, there are currently no active hurricanes or tropical storms in the Atlantic Basin. After a notably slow start to the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, with only three named storms so far and all relatively short-lived, the tropics remain subdued. The latest named system in the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Chantal, came ashore in South Carolina earlier in July and dissipated quickly, with no active tropical cyclones currently present or forecasted for development in the next week. Experts point out that the quiet trend is likely to shift as August approaches, historically the period of increased hurricane activity, reminding coastal residents to stay prepared as the season’s peak is yet to come.

In the Gulf of Mexico, a low-pressure system brought rounds of downpours and thunderstorms to southeast Texas and the northern Gulf Coast. The National Hurricane Center has only given this tropical disturbance a 10 percent chance of developing into a depression as it continues moving toward the Texas coast. Heavy localized rains and thunderstorms remain the primary concern, capable of producing brief street flooding and gusty winds that could exceed 40 mph. While development into an organized storm appears unlikely, a weather watch has been issued for the affected areas, urging residents to remain alert for potential flash flooding and hazardous travel conditions.

Meanwhile, the Pacific is more active, with Tropical Storm Iona being closely monitored by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center. As of early July 28, the storm center was located at approximately 10.9 degrees north latitude and 149.3 degrees west longitude, moving west-northwest with maximum sustained winds characteristic of a moderate tropical storm. While Iona is not threatening any land at the moment, continued monitoring is in place given its trajectory across open waters and potential for future intensification. No coastal warnings have been issued, but offshore interests have been advised to track Iona’s progress.

Across the broader United States, watches and warnings remain in effect for other weather threats. Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected in the Upper Midwest and into parts of the Great Lakes, and parts of the northern Plains and Mid-Atlantic may see additional severe storms overnight. Extreme heat advisories are also in place for large sections of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley, as oppressive heat and humidity are forecast to persist through much of the week.

Looking ahead, forecasters emphasize the importance of staying prepared and vigilant as the Atlantic hurricane season moves toward its historical peak in late August and September. While current conditions for Atlantic storms remain quiet, the situation can change rapidly. Residents in coastal areas are encouraged to follow local updates and review preparedness plans, as even short-lived gulf disturbances can produce hazardous weather. The next few weeks will be critical in monitoring for potential storm formation and changing threats.

The latest information from the National Hurricane Center and NOAA over the past twenty-four hours shows no active hurricanes or tropical storms in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico. As of early July 27, 2025, the National Hurricane Center states that there are no tropical cyclones in these basins and no immediate threats to coastal regions. The agency continues to monitor several tropical waves across the Atlantic, primarily between West Africa and the eastern Caribbean. One tropical wave is located over the eastern Atlantic near 23.5 degrees west, moving slowly westward, and is producing scattered moderate convection. Another wave is in the central Atlantic near 45 degrees west, while an additional disturbance is near 58 degrees west. Despite these waves, currently there are no indications of significant intensification, and no warnings or watches are in effect for Atlantic or Gulf Coast areas. Conditions in the Atlantic remain relatively stable, with expert commentary noting that unusually warm nearshore waters could later support storm development, but for now, the atmosphere is too stable to support widespread convection. There was expectation of a possible increase in tropical activity heading into early August, but outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center currently give only low chances (around twenty percent) of tropical cyclone formation in the coming week. Forecasters caution that while no systems are imminent, rapid atmospheric changes are common later in the summer, and the peak of hurricane season is still ahead in September. The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be more active than average, which underscores ongoing attention to weather models and satellite monitoring. At present, communities along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts should maintain routine preparedness, monitor official forecasts, and remain aware of longer-term outlooks. There are no marine hazards associated with significant storms in the eastern Pacific or central Pacific either, according to the latest bulletins.

Looking ahead, while no immediate threats are forecast in the next week, forecasters remain watchful as the heart of hurricane season approaches. Meteorologists emphasize the need for vigilance in August and September, when environmental patterns are likely to become more favorable for storm formation according to NOAA's seasonal projections. Regular updates from the National Hurricane Center and NOAA will be critical for timely alerts as atmospheric conditions evolve.

Over the past 24 hours, the Atlantic hurricane basin remains quiet, with no tropical cyclones or disturbances active according to the latest updates from the National Hurricane Center. There are currently no named storms in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center’s regular tropical weather discussions continue to report clear conditions across all monitored basins, and no active warnings, watches, or advisories have been issued for Atlantic coastal regions at this time. The Eastern and Central Pacific are also free of organized cyclones or significant tropical disturbances as of early July 25, 2025. This period of calm comes despite heightened attention as the season moves into its historically active phase, with peak activity typically beginning in August and continuing through September.

According to NOAA’s most recent Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook, released ahead of the peak months, there is a 60 percent likelihood of an above-normal season in 2025. NOAA projects 13 to 19 named storms, including 6 to 10 hurricanes, with 3 to 5 reaching major hurricane status. The forecast is influenced by oceanic and atmospheric conditions that generally favor hurricane development. While ENSO-neutral conditions are currently favored, there is notable uncertainty, and a shift to La Niña could escalate storm activity even further during the most active stretch of the year.

While the tropics are quiet, significant weather events are impacting parts of the U.S. mid-Atlantic and Northeast. The National Weather Service has issued expanded extreme heat warnings for regions including New Jersey, Delaware, eastern Pennsylvania, and northeastern Maryland. Heat indices are expected to reach between 100 and 108 degrees Fahrenheit, significantly increasing the risk of heat-related illnesses. Along with the heat, forecasts call for isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms, particularly in eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey. There is a threat of damaging winds, isolated large hail, and localized power outages from these storms, most likely occurring from late afternoon through evening on Friday. Residents in these areas are advised to monitor updates from local weather offices and take heat precautions.

Looking ahead, experts are closely watching the tropical Atlantic for new storm development as the calendar nears the most active part of hurricane season. The next hurricane season outlook will be updated by NOAA in early August. Until then, coastal regions are encouraged to review preparedness measures, as conditions can change rapidly during the height of the season. Extreme heat and severe local storms will continue to be a concern across several eastern states in the short term, warranting ongoing vigilance from residents and local officials.

The latest updates from NOAA and the National Hurricane Center indicate there are no active hurricanes or named tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, or Central Pacific basins as of July 23, 2025. This period of relative calm follows recent forecasts, with NOAA and major weather services continuing to highlight the potential for an above-average hurricane season this year due to favorable Atlantic conditions but a slight decrease in projected activity compared to previous months, mainly from increased wind shear over the Caribbean. Despite the lack of named storms, meteorologists are closely tracking several tropical waves across the Atlantic basin

A tropical wave near longitude 20 West is moving westward at five to ten knots, showing moderate convection from the coast of Africa into the eastern open Atlantic. Another wave near 36 West is producing scattered showers as it moves west. The closest system to the Caribbean islands is a tropical wave near 55 West, bringing moderate thunderstorms from 8 to 16 degrees North between 51 and 63 West, just east of the Lesser Antilles. While these waves support increased rainfall and unsettled weather for oceanic routes and some island areas, none are forecast to organize into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 to 48 hours according to the latest tropical outlooks

Meanwhile, the continental United States is experiencing other significant weather threats. NOAA has flagged extreme heat warnings across portions of the Central and Southeast US, with a high risk for severe storms in the northern Plains and Midwest through Wednesday. These storms bring threats of isolated tornadoes, damaging winds, and excessive rainfall potentially leading to localized flooding. Portions of the Southeast and Southwest US also remain under heavy rain advisories, though these are unrelated to tropical systems

Elsewhere, a tropical disturbance is expected to impact Guam and the Mariana Islands with heavy rainfall through at least Friday. While there are no formation warnings for typhoons or hurricanes in the Pacific at this time, tropical moisture may impact local conditions

Looking Ahead, the Atlantic hurricane season remains in a period of elevated risk, with the next two months typically the most active. Meteorologists continue to monitor evolving tropical waves and local ocean temperatures that could spark development. Coastal communities are reminded to remain vigilant, as rapid storm formation can occur even during relatively quiet weeks. The potential for severe US heatwaves and strong thunderstorms also warrants ongoing attention in the days to come

The past 24 hours have seen a relatively quiet picture in terms of major hurricane alerts and warnings across the Atlantic, Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico. As of early July 20, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center have confirmed there are no active tropical cyclones in these basins, and no coastal warnings are currently in effect. This matches reporting from both national weather agencies and leading news outlets, signaling a temporary lull following the above-normal hurricane season forecast issued earlier this year.

Despite the calm, meteorologists remain on alert as the National Hurricane Center tracks a tropical wave in the far eastern Atlantic. This disturbance has started to draw attention due to increased organization, with forecast models suggesting the possibility of it becoming a tropical depression or even a named storm by the start of next week. However, forecasters stress that strengthening beyond that is uncertain. High wind shear is expected near Puerto Rico and the Caribbean by late next week, which could significantly disrupt the system and limit its further development. At this stage, there is no projected threat to the United States, with models indicating it will remain over open waters for the foreseeable future.

Across the eastern Pacific, Hurricane Flossie has continued as a Category 3 major hurricane. Nonetheless, it is tracking westward, away from the Mexican coast, and is expected to decrease in intensity as it encounters cooler water and less favorable conditions. No landfall is projected, and no warnings have been issued for Mexican or California coastal areas, underscoring an overall low immediate risk to populated regions.

The broader context comes from NOAA’s seasonal outlook and forecasts by academic partners, which call for an above-normal number of Atlantic tropical systems this year. Factors contributing to this above-average prediction include historically similar years—such as 2008 with Hurricane Ike and 2017 with Harvey—that saw significant impacts for Gulf Coast states. Still, not every analog year resulted in major U.S. landfalls, highlighting the unpredictable nature of hurricane trajectories and intensities.

Looking ahead, close attention will focus on the tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic as it moves westward, as well as the ongoing evolution of atmospheric conditions that could favor development of new systems as the hurricane season enters its most active phase. Forecasters stress the importance of remaining prepared in coastal regions, especially as late July and August typically bring heightened tropical activity in both the Atlantic and the Pacific basins.

As of July 16, 2025, the Atlantic hurricane basin remains generally quiet with no currently active tropical cyclones, according to the National Hurricane Center and NOAA updates. The most recent forecasts affirm NOAA’s prediction of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2025, yet over the last 24 hours, there have been no new tropical storm or hurricane warnings issued for the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf of Mexico regions. The latest Tropical Weather Outlook confirms there are no tropical cyclones present, and no imminent areas of concern are identified over the next seven days for these basins. However, an area of low pressure is being watched by the National Hurricane Center, which may track from east of Florida westward into the northern Gulf later next week. The chances of tropical development are modest, currently set at 20 percent through the next week, with most forecast models indicating that this system would remain weak and primarily deliver heavy rainfall from the Florida Panhandle to central Louisiana. As it stands, Texas and the broader Gulf Coast face little to no tropical threat from this disturbance, though local rainfall and the potential for localized flooding remain possible[5][7].

Across the eastern United States, significant weather impacts have been associated with heavy rain and scattered severe thunderstorms. The National Weather Service out of Philadelphia/Mount Holly reported a Flood Watch extending through early Tuesday morning for parts of New Jersey, southeastern Pennsylvania, northern Delaware, and northeastern Maryland. Isolated thunderstorms have brought locally damaging winds, leading to tree damage and sporadic power outages in urbanized and poor drainage areas. Urban flooding and road closures remain a risk as additional showers and storms, some severe, could persist into the evening. There has also been talk of Saharan Dust arriving and lingering in Southeast Texas, though it mostly affects air quality rather than triggering dangerous weather phenomena[1][7].

Looking ahead, while the Atlantic remains calm, attention is shifting to potential low-pressure development in the northern Gulf next week. The NHC continues to monitor this zone for any uptick in organization. Forecasters are also keeping a close eye on a broader, above-average season as predicted by NOAA, but as of now, no immediate hurricane threats are looming for U.S. coastal regions. Severe localized flooding and heavy rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic and Gulf states are expected to be the primary weather challenges through the coming days[2][5][7].

In the past 24 hours, official sources confirm a notably quiet period for hurricane activity across the Atlantic, Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center reports no active tropical cyclones in these basins at this time, and current forecasts indicate no imminent development in the Atlantic for the coming week. This calm follows NOAA's earlier seasonal outlook predicting an above-normal 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, underscoring that communities should remain vigilant even during quiet stretches[1][2][3][4][5].

Attention has shifted to the Eastern North Pacific, where Hurricane Erick recently made headlines. Erick rapidly intensified and made landfall in southern Mexico near Acapulco as a major hurricane—potentially a historic first for a major hurricane landfall on Mexico's Pacific coast in June. The system struck with sustained winds near 125 mph, prompting severe weather alerts for southern Mexico. The storm delivered heavy rainfall, dangerous storm surge, and damaging winds. Local authorities warned that the rainfall could trigger life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides, particularly in mountainous areas—a frequent threat in landfalling Pacific hurricanes. As Erick moved inland, forecasters expected it to rapidly weaken and dissipate within a day of landfall, reducing direct impacts but leaving hazardous conditions from water and debris in its wake. Coastal areas were also cautioned about hazardous waves and rip currents for several days post-landfall[7].

Elsewhere, a disturbance in the Bay of Campeche and southwestern Gulf had about a 50 percent chance of short-term development. However, models predicted the core of this system would move west into Mexico, with the bulk of its impacts—moisture and rainfall—confined to Mexico’s eastern shores. For southeast Texas, increased moisture was expected to bring higher rain chances to close out the weekend, while a plume of Saharan dust spreading into the region was forecast to cause hazy skies and potentially worsen air quality for sensitive groups[7].

Looking Ahead, while the Atlantic remains quiet, the ongoing above-normal hurricane season outlook from NOAA means coastal residents should stay prepared for rapid changes. Meteorologists continue to monitor the Bay of Campeche and northwestern Caribbean for potential tropical development but do not expect significant threats to the U.S. Gulf Coast in the short term. The arrival of Saharan dust may suppress additional tropical activity in the Atlantic for a few days, but the prime months of the hurricane season are approaching, and new disturbances could emerge quickly[1][3][7].

The past twenty-four hours have seen notable tropical weather developments as the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season progresses with heightened activity. While no active hurricanes are currently swirling in the Atlantic Basin, recent systems and atmospheric patterns are prompting continued vigilance along the southeastern coast of the United States and surrounding regions. The National Hurricane Center reported that Tropical Storm Chantal, after making landfall in South Carolina, has weakened to a tropical depression. Despite its dissipation as a named storm, Chantal has carried with it the potential for heavy rainfall across both North and South Carolina, leading to local flooding concerns. Additionally, plumes of Saharan dust have suppressed other tropical development in the Gulf Coast and Caribbean, temporarily reducing the risk of storm formation in those areas. At present, there are no other active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico, and no immediate threats are identified for the next seven days, according to the latest updates from NOAA and the National Hurricane Center.

Nevertheless, meteorologists are closely monitoring a broad area of low pressure offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast. Environmental factors suggest that this system could gradually organize as it moves westward across the Florida Peninsula and into the eastern and north-central Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of its development into a tropical cyclone, this disturbance is expected to bring periods of heavy rainfall to parts of Florida and the southeast coast through mid to late next week. While the risk of rapid intensification remains low at this time, residents in these coastal regions are advised to remain alert for updates and potential flood advisories.

Recent storm impacts underscore the hazards associated with tropical weather, even from weaker systems. Rainfall from the past week led to flash flooding and water rescues in North Carolina and surrounding areas, with some rivers rising to near-record levels. Tornadoes associated with these systems have also caused damage, including the destruction of aircraft and hangars at a North Carolina airfield, while multiple rescues and evacuations were necessary due to rapidly rising waters.

Looking ahead, the NOAA seasonal outlook maintains that the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will likely be above average, with up to nineteen named storms and as many as five major hurricanes possible this year. Conditions such as warmer ocean waters and weak wind shear continue to favor tropical development through the peak of the season, which typically occurs between August and October. Residents along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts are urged to remain prepared as atmospheric conditions evolve and new systems develop.

Over the past 24 hours, there are no active tropical cyclones currently threatening the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, or Central Pacific basins, according to the latest updates from the National Hurricane Center and NOAA. Their newest tropical weather outlooks confirm that, as of July 11, 2025, no named storms are present in these regions, and none are expected to develop in the immediate future. This lull comes after a notably active early start to the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, with three named tropical storms already recorded by early July. Nonetheless, none are currently active or affecting land or marine interests.

Despite the calm, forecasters continue to monitor several tropical waves across the Atlantic. The NOAA and NHC analyses track multiple waves, including one near 24W and another near 38W longitude, both moving westward across the eastern and central Atlantic. These waves are producing scattered moderate convection but, as of now, do not exhibit signs of imminent tropical cyclone development. Another wave near 60W is noted, although its convection is being limited by Saharan dust, a common inhibitor in the region at this time of year. Additional disturbances are being tracked across Central America and northern South America, with Honduras, El Salvador, and Venezuela experiencing heavier showers and possible thunderstorms, but risks currently remain localized and below tropical storm criteria.

Looking at the broader season, both NOAA and Colorado State University project above-normal hurricane activity for 2025, though CSU recently adjusted its outlook slightly downward due to persistent wind shear in the Caribbean, a factor historically linked to reduced storm development. Nevertheless, the probability of major hurricanes making landfall in the U.S. and Caribbean remains slightly above average for the season. Sea surface temperatures are somewhat warmer than average but not as elevated as the previous year, and forecasters expect ENSO-neutral conditions to persist, generally favoring a more active environment for hurricane development.

Recent severe weather was reported earlier in July, particularly in the Carolinas. Torrential rains led to significant flooding in North Carolina, resulting in emergency declarations, flash flooding, and dozens of water rescues, especially in Orange and Durham counties. A tornado caused damage at Raleigh Executive Jetport, while rivers such as Haw and Deep reached near-record levels. These events serve as reminders that even outside of named storm threats, the region remains vulnerable to severe weather linked to tropical moisture surges.

Looking Ahead, meteorologists recommend continued vigilance as the hurricane season progresses toward its statistical peak in August and September. Coastal residents and those in flood-prone regions should review emergency plans and stay alert for updates on developing tropical waves, especially as Atlantic and Caribbean conditions remain primed for possible cyclone formation in the weeks ahead.