The National Hurricane Center and NOAA have issued updated guidance over the past 24 hours with major developments focusing on the trajectory and impact of Tropical Storm Erin in the Atlantic basin. As of the early morning of August 13, Erin is the only active named storm in the region with no hurricanes currently being tracked. Erin developed over the central tropical Atlantic and has been moving steadily westward, with advisories and detailed storm discussions published throughout Monday and Tuesday. According to the latest advisories, marine warnings remain in effect across sections of the Atlantic as Erin maintains tropical storm status, bringing sustained winds and heavy rainfall to parts of its projected path. While the primary threat is currently to maritime interests, coastal forecasters remain vigilant as the storm’s progression could influence conditions for the southeastern United States and Caribbean over the coming days, although no direct landfall is forecast at this time.

This development is part of a broader-than-average Atlantic hurricane season outlook. NOAA’s early August update predicts the remainder of the 2025 hurricane season will be above-normal, with a 50 percent chance for more storms than the average year. Experts now anticipate 13 to 18 named storms, of which five to nine may reach hurricane strength, including the potential for two to five major hurricanes reaching Category 3 or higher. Thus far, four named storms—Andrea, Barry, Chantal, and Dexter—have formed, with Erin as the most recent. The official Atlantic hurricane season runs through November 30, and forecasts caution that climatologically, hurricane activity typically intensifies from mid-August onward. Meteorological models continue to be closely monitored but, as of this report, Erin is the only system requiring advisories and there are no active storm surge or hurricane warnings for coastal communities.

Inland, the National Weather Service has highlighted tropical moisture over the northern half of Georgia, supporting increased risks for isolated flash and river flooding, a concern for communities even without direct coastal impacts from tropical systems. Forecasts remain fluid and subject to rapid change, particularly as atmospheric conditions evolve through the peak of hurricane season.

Looking ahead, forecasters urge readiness as environmental conditions indicate continued storm development potential. The names to follow Erin are being prepared and the coming weeks could see ramped-up activity. Communities across the Atlantic and Gulf coasts are encouraged to monitor official updates and review preparedness plans as hurricane season enters its historically most active phase.