As of July 16, 2025, the Atlantic hurricane basin remains generally quiet with no currently active tropical cyclones, according to the National Hurricane Center and NOAA updates. The most recent forecasts affirm NOAA’s prediction of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2025, yet over the last 24 hours, there have been no new tropical storm or hurricane warnings issued for the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf of Mexico regions. The latest Tropical Weather Outlook confirms there are no tropical cyclones present, and no imminent areas of concern are identified over the next seven days for these basins. However, an area of low pressure is being watched by the National Hurricane Center, which may track from east of Florida westward into the northern Gulf later next week. The chances of tropical development are modest, currently set at 20 percent through the next week, with most forecast models indicating that this system would remain weak and primarily deliver heavy rainfall from the Florida Panhandle to central Louisiana. As it stands, Texas and the broader Gulf Coast face little to no tropical threat from this disturbance, though local rainfall and the potential for localized flooding remain possible[5][7].

Across the eastern United States, significant weather impacts have been associated with heavy rain and scattered severe thunderstorms. The National Weather Service out of Philadelphia/Mount Holly reported a Flood Watch extending through early Tuesday morning for parts of New Jersey, southeastern Pennsylvania, northern Delaware, and northeastern Maryland. Isolated thunderstorms have brought locally damaging winds, leading to tree damage and sporadic power outages in urbanized and poor drainage areas. Urban flooding and road closures remain a risk as additional showers and storms, some severe, could persist into the evening. There has also been talk of Saharan Dust arriving and lingering in Southeast Texas, though it mostly affects air quality rather than triggering dangerous weather phenomena[1][7].

Looking ahead, while the Atlantic remains calm, attention is shifting to potential low-pressure development in the northern Gulf next week. The NHC continues to monitor this zone for any uptick in organization. Forecasters are also keeping a close eye on a broader, above-average season as predicted by NOAA, but as of now, no immediate hurricane threats are looming for U.S. coastal regions. Severe localized flooding and heavy rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic and Gulf states are expected to be the primary weather challenges through the coming days[2][5][7].