Pamela Thomson-Hall, head of international at Willis, offers crisis management advice, supporting clients through geopolitical shocks and leading an international broking business. From Russia–Ukraine lessons to horizon scanning, scenario analysis and a guidebook for CEOs, she explains why preparation, agility, clear communication and cultural sensitivity are essential when crises suddenly unfold. Pamela also discusses aviation insurance, from war claims and contract certainty, to supporting the return of civil aviation to Ukrainian airspace.
As Ukraine endures and rebuilds, insurers are playing a quiet but crucial role in keeping goods moving and businesses operating.
Jamie Cleary, head of crisis management at MS Amlin, speaks about the creation of the Ukraine Reinsurance Guarantee Facility (URGF), a landmark partnership between the EBRD, donor governments, and the private insurance market.
He explains how the URGF provides war risk cover to local Ukrainian insurers, supporting trade and economic resilience, and why it could serve as a blueprint for future public-private insurance models in other high-risk regions.
The discussion also explores how modern warfare, drone technology, and AI are reshaping crisis management underwriting — and why, behind every insurance policy, there’s a deeply human story.
How can political risk insurance unlock trillions in investment for sustainable development? William Limb, head of political risk solutions at Liberty Specialty Markets (LSM) discusses a landmark UNCTAD report, “De-risking Investment for Sustainable Development Goals: The Role of Political Risk Insurance”. The conversation explores how political risk cover can bridge the $4trn annual funding gap holding back projects in emerging markets – from energy and infrastructure to clean water and housing. Limb discusses LSM’s global political risk portfolio, a doubling of inquiries made about cover within the past year, innovation in bespoke and portfolio-level solutions, and the growing role of public–private collaboration in de-risking investment. He also explains how awareness of the product remains limited beyond multilateral circles, why the private market is crucial to scaling protection, and how insurers can add value beyond pure risk transfer. A deep dive into how underwriting expertise and creative structures can help investors deliver impact while managing geopolitical risk.
Kidnap and ransom (K&R) is one of the most specialised – and least understood – corners of the insurance world.
In this special episode, in association with Gallagher Specialty, Eddie Kurshumlija, director of crisis management at Gallagher Specialty, and Adam Carrier, head of consulting at AnotherDay, a Gallagher company, explore how K&R policies work in practice, from what’s typically included or can be added on, to response consultants, intelligence support, duty of care and crisis planning.
Discussion moves on to examine where conditions are ripe for K&R to proliferate, from weak rule of law and organised crime to civil unrest and geopolitical instability. The guests highlight case studies from Syria, Nigeria, Mexico and beyond, while also looking at rising risks in Western contexts such as workplace violence.
Bruce Carman, CEO of Hive Underwriters, returns for a wide-ranging conversation. You can’t get broader than space, where we start, which is Hive’s latest launch. We trace the London MGA's development from aviation war into multi-class specialty agency. We also discuss consequences of June's High Court ruling that losses incurred by aircraft lessors of planes seized by Russia after its invasion of Ukraine are to be covered under aviation hull war policies.
Trade wars and geopolitics are reshaping global supply chains, counterparty risk, and credit and political risk insurance (CPRI). In this episode, Eran Charit, senior broker at Lockton Re, shares his perspective on how a pipeline of new CPRI entrants and fresh capacity are softening conditions in the primary market, while treaty reinsurance remains more fragile to systemic shocks, due to the short list of reinsurers willing to lead in this class. We discuss the risks of a reinsurer suddenly exiting, and systemic shock scenarios that could destabilise portfolios, from corporate fraud to a cyber-attack on digital infrastructure. With experience broking at both primary and reinsurance levels, Eran brings unique insight into a fast-moving and often misunderstood class of business.
Jelle Ouwehand, head of war, terrorism and political violence at Arch Insurance International, features in this episode. Political violence has a close and complex relationship with social media. The speed at which news travels, and the democratising power of social media, are meeting with forces of political populism and polarisation. Together with increased proliferation of fake news, misinformation and disinformation, all these factors mean social media are fanning the flames of social disorder, with inevitable fallout for underwriting PV and SRCC risks.
Jérôme Haegeli, Swiss Re’s chief economist, discusses its latest Sigma study. Global growth is slowing at a time of large macroeconomic regime shifts; extreme policy uncertainty is set to persist with the highest US goods tariffs since the Great Depression, the reinsurer’s report warns. This ep relates headline geopolitics to outcomes for insurance premium and claims trends – positive and negative – across lines of business, from marine cargo to motor, and property catastrophe reinsurance business. You can read the Swiss Re Sigma study “World insurance in 2025: a riskier, more fragmented world order”, here. https://www.swissre.com/institute/research/sigma-research.html
Verisk Maplecroft’s new Strikes, Riots, and Civil Commotion (SRCC) model for the United States is the market’s first probabilistic SRCC catastrophe model. Since 2017, SRCC has led to $10bn of insured losses, compared to $1bn for terrorism. Civil unrest in the US recently hit the headlines in Los Angeles. In 2020, SRCC topped $3bn in industry-wide insured losses. A one in 100-year event, in Verisk Maplecroft’s catalogue, would be more than twice as severe. Two guests feature for this special episode in association with Verisk Maplecroft: Sam Haynes, Head of Data and Analytics; and Torbjorn Soltvedt, Associate Director, Global Risk Insight, Verisk Maplecroft.
The 90-day pause on President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs is due to expire on 9 July. The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) are among the targets. When a blanket tariff rate of 10% expires, Thai goods will be targeted with a 36% tariff, Indonesian goods at 32%, for instance. Two senior diplomats feature in this ep. Sir Richard Gozney is a retired senior British diplomat, ex-governor of Bermuda, and former ambassador to Nigeria and Indonesia. Sek Wannamethee is a retired senior Thai diplomat, former ambassador for Thailand to Belgium and Luxembourg, and head of the Thai mission to the European Union. His recent article on this topic, published by The Ambassador Partnership, can be found here. https://www.ambassadorllp.com/ap-insights/asean-navigating-through-trumps-tariffs
For the latest episode, two guests feature from SCOR Business Solutions: Kayley Stewart is head of crisis management; and Babak Tavassolie is head analyst of political and credit risk. It’s a wide-ranging conversation, encompassing two geopolitically interrelated but separate specialty insurance lines of business that are at the very core of this pod – political risk and political violence. We discuss the political risks present within previously ‘vanilla’ credit insurance, affecting some buyer motivations and underwriting assumptions; the maturing specialty market for standalone terrorism and political violence, for such emerging threats as sabotage and civil unrest; as well as macro geopolitical risk trends to monitor for 2025 and beyond.
The City of London Corporation hosted a Chief Risk Officers Summit at the Guildhall on 21 May, including a panel discussion: “Responding to challenges in an ever-changing geopolitical landscape”. Panellists included: Andrew McDougall, Head of Geopolitical Risk, Barclays; Savannah Thompson, Head of Political Risk & Underwriting Development, The Fidelis Partnership; Esperanza Cerdan, Chief Risk Officer, IFM Investors; Jennifer Geary, Chief Risk Officer, Non-Exec & Author, The C-Suite Framework; with host David Benyon asking the questions. Bayes Business School in partnership with the City of London published a report to promote the importance of the CRO role: “Optimising Growth: The Evolving Role of the Chief Risk Officer”. Here’s the link to that paper.
A special episode, in association with Liberty Specialty Markets, focused on European political violence (PV) risks. Politically motivated sabotage is a huge topic across Europe, amid heightened concerns about hybrid-war and grey-zone threats amid a potentially volatile political backdrop. Strikes Riots and Civil Commotion (SRCC) are the front-and-centre PV risk, particularly given recent civil unrest events within territories of Overseas France. The episode features two leaders of LSM’s European PV business: Björn Reusswig, Regional Line of Business Manager, Terrorism & Contingency, Europe; and François Barriol, France Manager, Deputy Head, Terrorism, Political Violence & Contingency, Europe.
As we hit the first 100 days mark of US President Donald Trump’s second term, no other single word sums up the preoccupation of business leaders around the world better than tariffs. This conversation assesses the impact of the US’s tariffs, particularly on Canada, Mexico and China, and asks how risk professionals and their organisations are responding to the fast-moving shifts in global trade. My guests are Hoe-Yeong Loke, head of research at Airmic, and Alexander Frost, chief markets officer at Airmic.
Does Donald Trump have a master plan? The White House has sewn chaos in recent days, triggering stock market volatility with on-then-partially-off punitive tariffs globally, speaking softly with Russia, chastising Ukraine, talking openly about annexing neighbouring Greenland and Canada, and sparking an escalating trade war with China. Firas Modad, founder and principal of Modad Geopolitics, a consultancy advising insurance firms and corporate clients, thinks he knows what Trump’s tumultuous strategy is all about.
Zhou Bo, a retired senior colonel in the Chinese People’s Liberation Army, joins Mosaic’s global political risk leader Finn McGuirk, for the latest special episode in association with Mosaic Insurance. Colonel Zhou Bo is a senior fellow at the Center for International Security and Strategy, Tsinghua University, a distinguished fellow of the Global Governance Institution, and a regular PLA speaker at the Munich Security Conference and the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue. The title of his new book, published in March 2025, is perhaps the biggest question of the age, and the subject of this fascinating discussion between these two geopolitical risk experts.
Political violence and terrorism risks to renewable energy projects are the focus of the latest special episode in association with Gallagher Specialty. Two guests feature in this timely conversation: Harry Walker, director, structured credit and political risks at Gallagher Specialty; and Adam Carrier, head of consulting, at AnotherDay, a Gallagher company.
Hamish Greenwood is head of crisis management at McGill and Partners. In January the broker launched a new war risk reinsurance facility for commercial property in Ukraine. A good example of market innovation and collaboration, it uses FortuneGuard’s AI-powered tech, fuelled by three years of Ukrainian government air defence data, and partners local capacity from Ukrainian insurer ARX with several war risk facultative reinsurers in the Lloyd’s and London market.
Verisk Maplecroft’s Political Risk Outlook draws on a unique portfolio of country risk data, alongside analysis from its team of experts, to strip back the complexity of some of the key global issues driving the risk environment for international business. This special episode features Jimena Blanco, Chief Analyst at Maplecroft, and Hugo Brennan, Maplecroft’s Research Director for Europe, the Middle East and Africa. The Political Risk Outlook is designed to help companies and investors understand where and how geopolitical and political risks are emerging and what these mean for them. Here’s the link to the report.https://www.maplecroft.com/insight/outlooks/political-risk-outlook/
Charles Hecker spent forty years travelling and working in the Soviet Union and Russia as a political risk consultant and journalist. He is the author of ‘Zero Sum: The Arc of International Business in Russia’. We discuss this acclaimed new book and draw lessons from the highs and lows of doing business in post-Soviet Russia, from communism to capitalism, and to the exodus of three years ago. There’s also time to think about the postwar future, including potential conditions for a return to Russia by some Western firms, if the geopolitical mood-music changes and should sanctions be lifted.