This is Avian Flu Watch: Global H5N1 Tracker, monitoring the global spread of avian influenza.
Today, H5N1 remains a significant pandemic threat, with new outbreaks reported across multiple continents. As of October 2025, the World Organisation for Animal Health notes over 249 recent outbreaks worldwide. Let’s break down the geographic hotspots and the numbers we are seeing.
In the United States, the CDC and USDA confirm H5N1 is circulating in all 50 states, with more than 173 million poultry affected since 2022. Human cases, though rare, have reached 70, primarily among those with direct animal exposure. Recent weeks saw a spike in the Midwest, especially in Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin. These outbreaks include more than half a million birds in commercial farms, pushing local authorities to impose strict quarantines and culling measures. Canada also continues to battle outbreaks, with the virus entrenched in migratory flyways.
In Europe, the UK government reports 80 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in England, Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland since late 2024. England remains the epicenter for the region, with major outbreaks in Devon and Suffolk prompting extensive control zones. Across the continent, France, Germany, and the Netherlands have detected new cases in both wild populations and commercial poultry, as noted by the European Food Safety Authority.
Turning to Asia, China’s role is pivotal, acting as a bridge in two major migratory bird flyways. Recent surveillance in China’s Jiangsu and Shandong provinces isolated a fast-evolving H5N1 variant closely related to Korean and Japanese strains. The virus continues moving along the East Asian-Australasian flyway, introducing risks to Southeast Asia and Oceania. In the Middle East, Egypt remains a persistent hotspot, with phylogenetic analyses showing continuing transmission to neighboring Israel and Lebanon—migratory birds and local poultry are the primary vectors here.
Visualizing the trend lines, reported data reveals rising infection curves in the Americas and Asia, while Europe shows periodic spikes rather than sustained growth. In comparative perspective, North American poultry losses dwarf those in Europe and Asia. However, molecular surveillance and rapid response in Europe have somewhat limited sustained spread.
Cross-border transmission is heavily influenced by wild bird migrations and international poultry trade. For example, genetic sequencing demonstrates viral flow from China to Southeast Asia and from Egypt to neighboring states. In North America, cattle-origin H5N1 is evolving independently of those in East Asia, posing new biosecurity challenges.
Containment efforts have met mixed results. Successes include Northern Ireland’s declaration of freedom from infection and rapid culling actions in the UK, which limited hotspots’ size. Failures arise where biosecurity lags—U.S. dairy cattle outbreaks and delayed reporting in Southeast Asian wet markets have allowed new outbreaks to seed.
Emerging variants demand close attention. A new H5N1 strain, D1.1, detected in U.S. dairy cattle, diverges genetically from Asian strains, highlighting the increasing risk of host switch and potential zoonotic spillover.
For travelers, authorities urge caution: avoid contact with live poultry and wild birds in outbreak regions, observe travel advisories, and consult local animal health updates. High-risk areas currently include the U.S. Midwest, coastal China, and hotspots in the UK and Egypt.
Thanks for joining Avian Flu Watch: Global H5N1 Tracker. Tune in next week for real-time updates and in-depth analysis of avian influenza’s global path. This has been a Quiet Please production. For updates and more, visit Quiet Please Dot A I.
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