Tune in for the annual UBS Studios fireside chat on the current market and macro environment, including thoughts around the economic impacts of artificial intelligence, the path forward for monetary policy, fixed income markets, and broader asset allocation with Jeffrey Gundlach, Chief Executive Officer, Chief Investment Officer and Founder of DoubleLine Capital. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Current French Prime Minister Lecornu outlined their policy intentions, if they remain in power. A 4.7% GDP deficit target, no public holidays to be abolished, and no general wealth tax imposed—but tax justice is being talked of. This is likely to be a global trend. The great wealth transfer is underway, and governments with fiscal imbalances are likely to try to mobilize that wealth.

Tune in at the start of the trading week ahead of the New York opening bell as Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, CIO Americas and Head of Global Equities for UBS Wealth Management, briefs you on what’s the signal, and what’s just noise in the markets. This week – the September employment report, and a possible US government shutdown.

Cliff joins Jason at the 1285 podcast studio in New York to cover a wide-range of topics, including the growing impacts of electronic trading to financial markets, along with how machine learning and artificial intelligence are influencing approaches to investing. Plus, thoughts on the state of more traditional portfolio strategies, and the current macroeconomic environment. Featured are Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office, and Cliff Asness, Founder, Managing Principal and Chief Investment Officer at AQR Capital Management. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Social media posts from US President Trump overnight indicate a series of new trade tariffs. US buyers of foreign vanity units, soft furnishings, etc., as well as heavy trucks, and pharmaceuticals will be subject to new tariffs. The furniture tariffs, applied on national security grounds, are likely to have a muted impact. These are not high frequency purchases (lowering price awareness). Prices have already risen following earlier tariffs. Democrats appear to have redecorated early this year, presumably anticipating tariffs.

Hear from members of the UBS Chief Investment Office fixed income team as they provide a performance and positioning update across fixed income sub-sectors. Featured are Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, Sudip Mukherjee, Senior Municipal Strategist Americas, along with Senior Fixed Income Strategists’ Barry McAlinden, Frank Sileo, & Leticia Zemaitis, from the UBS Chief Investment Office.

The US releases revised second quarter GDP data. The market consensus is for no change (given data quality problems, “no change” in the details may be unlikely). US growth has been distorted this year—export and inventory data swung wildly between the first and second quarters. Unfortunately, the fiction of annualization assumes that what happens in a quarter, however unique, is continually repeated. This exaggerates first quarter weakness and second quarter strength.

On 1 July Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi assumed the role of Chief Investment Officer Americas, while continuing as Global Head of Equities for UBS Wealth Management. In a recent visit to the UBS On-Air podcast studio in New York, Ulrike outlined her vision for CIO Americas, discussed the evolution of artificial intelligence - including her experience in this space - and shared takeaways from her recent client conversations across the globe. Plus, we look at Ulrike’s career journey, and how she spends her time outside of the office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Yesterday saw some increase in macro uncertainty, in case investors thought the world was getting predictable. US President Trump’s comments on Ukraine, and on Russia presented a change of tone. That added some risk premium into the oil price. However, investors tend to be cautious about overreacting to such individual statements.

We examine regulatory reforms being implemented by the Trump administration to the US banking sector, including a look at potential changes to capital requirements, along with implications for both fixed income and equity investors. Featured are Barry McAlinden, Senior Fixed Income Strategist Americas, & Jeff Harwood, Financials Equity Analyst Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Federal Reserve Chair Powell is to speak on the economic outlook at the Greater Providence Chamber of Commerce. The outlook is not likely to stray far from the tone of the last policy decision. Fed Governor Miran did stray quite a distance, suggesting rates were needed to be 2 percentage points lower (coincidentally, others outside the Fed have targeted that rate level). The consistency of Miran’s analysis might be challenged.

Jason drops by the studio to reflect on last week’s FOMC rate decision and market response. We then discuss expectations for rate cuts through the balance of the year, and into 2026. Plus, how and why the Fed funds rate will matter to markets from here, along with a review of CIO’s latest asset allocation recommendations. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

South Korean exports fell in the first part of September (when adjusting for the number of working days). Exports to the US and China (which often ultimately end up in the US) were weaker. Semiconductor sales were a predictable source of strength.

Tune in at the start of the trading week ahead of the New York opening bell as Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, CIO Americas and Head of Global Equities for UBS Wealth Management, briefs you on what’s the signal, and what’s just noise in the markets. This week - the Fed decision and dot plots, the US semiconductor roadmap and key releases for next week.

Shane drops by to recap this week’s UK state visit by President Trump and a variety of economic agreements that were announced. We also cover efforts by the Trump administration to privatize government sponsored entities. Plus, an update on government funding negotiations on Capitol Hill. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Xingchen rejoins to cover three key themes for China investors to watch, followed by investment opportunities, including China tech. We then explore the EM equities landscape following the first Fed cut, and highlight key opportunities in emerging markets beyond China tech. Featured is Xingchen Yu, Emerging Markets Strategist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Leslie joins in-studio to provide a fixed income performance update and outlook, including thoughts on how fixed income markets could respond to Fed rate cuts. Plus, a look at positioning considerations within the asset class, including views on investment grade, and agency mortgage-backed securities. Featured is Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Carli Torres

Yesterday, French protestors took to the streets over the last government’s proposed spending cuts. This makes good social media content, and confirms stereotypical media biases, but should not change things for investors. France has large reserves of private wealth that could be mobilized to help fund government borrowing, but more democratic wealth increases mean that such mobilization would affect ordinary citizens.

The UBS AI Podcast explores the fascinating and evolving world of artificial intelligence, how it's transforming industries, redefining what's possible and reshaping the future. On this episode of the CEO Series, Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, CIO Americas and Head of Global Equities for UBS Wealth Management, converses with Winston Weinberg, CEO and Co-Founder of Harvey.

The Federal Reserve performed as expected—a quarter point rate cut and signals of more to come. The weakening US labor market is prioritized over ongoing inflation increases. That suggests rate cuts even as goods price inflation increases further into next year. Poor quality labor market data presents challenges to policy confidence.