Today we make a structural, if patient call on the direction of crude oil from here, while also looking at the situation for European natural gas heading into the winter. Also, while stocks staged a decent comeback from the lows yesterday, we note some potential headwinds that could keep volatility high, with or without a US government shutdown next Wednesday. A preview of upcoming earnings and macro event risks and much more also on today's pod, which features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today, a look at another weak session for US equities, with few stand-out themes amidst the broad weakness.  The concern going into next Tuesday's September 30 government shutdown continues to build and could be a determining factor in whether we remain in consolidation-ville or tip over into correction-ville. Another factor could be USDJPY and the fallout if it breaks higher. Some key developments in copper on an Indonesian copper mine disaster, a compelling biotech stock story, other single stock developments and more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.  Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today a look at the US equity market finally suffering a down day, perhaps in part as government shutdown risks are growing ahead of the September 30 deadline. We note increasing signs of a harder US attitude against Russia from the Trump administration, break down the latest disappointing news from Germany's economic data, what's going on in macro and FX and how one US lithium company saw as much as a 75% surge after hours after the Trump administration expressed interest in taking partial ownership. This and much more in today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today we discuss a mixed session in the US, even with Apple and key AI stocks dragging the overall market indices higher. We also look at the latest boost to AI stocks as Nvidia decides to "vendor finance" OpenAI data centers to the tune of USD 100 billion as we discuss the performance of an AI basket of 24 stocks. We also discuss precious metals shooting the lights out while crude oil drags along with Saxo's Head of Commodities Strategy Ole Hansen and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today, we look at the still narrow US equity market managing to post new all-time highs, while the broader market is mixed. Some signs of froth are forming in this market as some of the most speculative stocks, including quantum computing names and one we profile that is really not much more than a bunch of promises at this point, are ramping exponentially on the latest news flow, even when earnings are years away. We also look at the follow-on reaction to the FOMC and Bank of Japan meetings, what to watch this week and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today we run down another solid session for the US market, with enthusiasm in abundance on the Nvidia investment in Intel, a development we discuss with Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo, together with the surge in ASML and Crowdstrike yesterday. Also, a preview of some names reporting next week, including recent darling Micron, key developments in FX as the US dollar is on the comeback path and the JPY churns post-BoJ. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

The market was desperate for FOMC takeaways, but alas, despite interesting details, the overall picture was one that mostly validated the existing lay of the land, resulting in some choppy market action but no big changes in the macro or FX picture by later this morning in Europe, though risk appetite seems to be getting a further boost. Are equity investors overreaching soon? Also on today's pod, single stock news, a look at the upcoming Bank of Japan meeting tonight as the JPY punches to new lows in place and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today, some final thoughts on what could be a shambolic FOMC meeting, given the risk of a three-way vote and possibly vague statements, given the possible influence of newly minted Fed Governor Stephen Miran. Also, a very interesting development yesterday suggests Fed control of interest rates is slipping - or is this just a one off because of tonight's meeting? Elsewhere, the US dollar has broken down. This, some must reads and must listens and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today, a breakdown of the market action yesterday in US equities, with big games in Google-parent Alphabet and even bigger gains in an "old tech" stock that has suddenly been revivified by AI. We also look forward to the FOMC tomorrow and wonder why the Fed doesn't go ahead and cut 50 basis points, even if they are most likely not to. Meanwhile, the US dollar is already breaking lower ahead of the fact - after all, isn't the hawkish scenario non-existent?  Lots more also on today's pod which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today we look through the divergences that continue to characterize the action across US equities, with some of the most speculative areas - especially Tesla - on fire on Friday even as the median stock had a rather weak day. As volatility continues to crush lower, this could mean we are headed for a volatility breakout, but in what direction? Also, a look at geopolitical developments, including in rare earths, some must reads and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Link to Ruben's article on European companies with strong AI exposure. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today we profile European companies with exposure to AI with Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo, as we continue to wonder what AI names may be in a bubble. Elsewhere, we note ongoing divergences in this market, largely brush off the impact of yesterday's US economic data as we focus on a possibly pivotal week ahead, given the FOMC is set to meet Wednesday and the Bank of Japan on Friday. This and much more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Link to Ruben's article on European companies with strong AI exposure. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

The market is taking Oracle at its word in its longer term guidance on cloud infrastructure growth. We wonder instead whether an AI bubble is incipient here and if so, which dozen or so stocks should be in the "AI Bubble Basket" we are considering identifying as a talking point from here. The set of names we are considering will be listed on the John J. Hardy substack (see link below - please let us know your thoughts there!). Otherwise on today's pod, a discussion of other key single stock news and Adobe earnings incoming tonight, the key macro data incoming, gold correction risks, the US political storm set to intensify on the assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic  

Today we feature Saxo equity strategist Ruben Dalfovo helping break down what is driving the moon-shot in Oracle shares after the company blew the doors off of expectations with forward cloud infrastructure bookings in its earnings call after the close yesterday. We also look at the Klarna IPO forthcoming today, Novo Nordisk shares rallying on the company's cost reductions, the latest in geopolitics, macro and currencies and much more. Hosting today's pod is Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today we look at the lackluster session in the US yesterday as we remain nominally bearish with no readily identifiable catalyst in sight. And clear that the catalyst would need to be AI related to puncture this market's confidence. The next best candidate would be Oracle's earnings today after the close, though we have no visibility on what they will report. Also today, a discuss of the weak US dollar that would normally be weaker still given the backdrop, whether the US risks a government shutdown and much much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today, we look at the fallout from the US jobs report, as bonds rallied and the US dollar sold off, while equities churned in place, with many AI names under pressure. Today's topics also include the latest surge in gold, its drivers and where it may be headed, the turbulence in many AI names, driven in part by OpenAI's new initiatives making waves, previewing Oracle's earnings report tomorrow after the close, the macro and FX fallout from the US jobs data and political uncertainty in Japan and France and more. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo, with Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy hosting. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today - a look at the market remaining in complacency mode, boosted by a drop in yields and later by Broadcom's apparent coming collaboration with OpenAI on new chips. Also, new geopolitical developments, speculating on coming Trump announcement later today (including on a possible revaluation of US gold reserves), earnings coming up next week, the US jobs data today, a general sense of foreboding that something big is about to happen to this market, and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic  

Today we run through equity markets trying to reset after the jump and retreat in global yields, possibly linked to the Trump tariff ruling as we await the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs as the next step. Elsewhere, Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo looks at the latest earnings reports yesterday, especially Figma and Salesforce, which both traded lower after their reports. He also previews what we should look for from Broadcom reporting after the close today and profiles precious metals mining companies (see link to article below). This and more, including some dark thoughts on history taking a dramatic step forward this week after China's Xi teamed up with Putin and Kim Jong Un at the Beijing parade. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Ruben's article on precious metals mining companies. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today, an attempt to root out the sources of yesterday's ugly bout of risk off, with sovereign debt markets quite possibly driving much of the unease as several countries saw new cycle highs in 30-year yields. We also break down the reaction, if inconsistent, across currencies to new stresses in bond markets as we await key US labor market data while the market doesn't know what data to trust. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.  Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today we discuss the ramp in metals prices as we are finally over the summer doldrums, although the US has yet to open after the long holiday weekend. Something seems to be spooking markets overnight and into early European trading, and that something may be the fresh grind higher in long interest rates, with the long UK Gilt, for example, hitting its highest yield level since 1998 this morning. We also look at the impact on currencies and possibly the stock market from this latest rise in rates. This and more on today's pod, which features Saxo Head of Commodities Strategy Ole Hansen and is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/41sbzFO   -  Today we look at the S&P 500 index hitting a record high, while breadth is lacking and the Nasdaq 100 is still below its cycle highs. In single names, we wonder whether Nvidia is struggling to find direction on the enormous options expiry today and together with Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo we preview earnings reports from three interesting tech companies next week, including hard-charging Broadcom. Some thoughts on gold, FX and more on the call. Hosting today's pod was Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic