We break down why risk analyses often become checkbox theater and replace them with a simple, practical impact vs likelihood matrix that guides action. From quick wins to high-stakes unknowns, we show how to calibrate effort, buy the right learning, and move with confidence. Join the Substack for monthly guides, templates, and QA where I help you apply these to your specific projects. Are your teams struggling with poor communication and rushed timelines? Is your product vision clouded...
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We break down why risk analyses often become checkbox theater and replace them with a simple, practical impact vs likelihood matrix that guides action. From quick wins to high-stakes unknowns, we show how to calibrate effort, buy the right learning, and move with confidence. Join the Substack for monthly guides, templates, and QA where I help you apply these to your specific projects. Are your teams struggling with poor communication and rushed timelines? Is your product vision clouded...
Practice Makes Improvement in Subjective Probability Estimations
Quality during Design
16 minutes
8 months ago
Practice Makes Improvement in Subjective Probability Estimations
Send us a text Does the phrase "Subjective Probability Estimation" make you feel uncomfortable? If you're a data-driven professional, you're likely wary of each of those terms on their own, let alone combining them into one thing. But we sometimes need to do it. And we can practice to get better at it. In this episode, we emphasize the importance of subjective probability estimations in decision-making, especially in situations where concrete data may be unavailable or impractical...
Quality during Design
We break down why risk analyses often become checkbox theater and replace them with a simple, practical impact vs likelihood matrix that guides action. From quick wins to high-stakes unknowns, we show how to calibrate effort, buy the right learning, and move with confidence. Join the Substack for monthly guides, templates, and QA where I help you apply these to your specific projects. Are your teams struggling with poor communication and rushed timelines? Is your product vision clouded...
