Episode #28 of Pads Above Replacement breaks down the good, the bad, and the bubbling for Padres pitchers in the month of April. It's been an uneven month to start the year, and while there are some bright spots, there are other key weapons that are causes for concern.

Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/HG_lnV6a1_I

You can access our notes document here: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1cqcu-Um9Gg3-bKWTkorQv5HCpMiZs71m0vVFLX5hzAA/edit?usp=sharing

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Pads Above Replacement awakens from its slumber because AJ Preller demanded more episdoes, apparently. Hosts John Precoda and Raphie Cantor go in-depth on the newest Padre and potentially their new ace, Dylan Cease.

Cease's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dylan-cease/18525/stats?position=P

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Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/ydoBYwHkHG8

Pads Above Replacement makes its occasional reemergence from hibernation to chat about the Padres 2024 bullpen. Hosts John Precoda and Raphie Cantor go in-depth on the mistakes the team made under Bob Melvin, and what holes still exist for Mike Shildt and Ruben Niebla's arm barn as they look ahead to Peoria.

Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/jx9YoGDzngA

Raphie Cantor and John Precoda are back! (for now) The PAR boys emerged from their winter hibernation to break down the Juan Soto Trade from a value standpoint and get into the finer analytics details of the players coming back to San Diego.

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PHT Discord and our exclusive PAR chat! patreon.com/padreshottub


Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/hBBCwkbQjvI

Raphie Cantor and John Precoda are back with some spicy stat-driven takes! John has something to say to all those fans who think the window closes at the end of 2024. This discussion includes deeper dives into WAR projections, playoff fields, farm system correlation to success, payroll, and more.

Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/CvIGTFJOMHc

Join the PHT Patreon to support the show and join the PAR Discord: patreon.com/padreshottub

In Episode 23 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda dive DEEP into the nerdy numbers behind what causes teams like the Padres to run out of pitching, and John has a new benchmark rule for quality that the Padres should be striving for.


Watch the show on Youtube! https://youtu.be/uA2PF3UrJPk

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In Episode 22 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda break down the terrible choice the Padres must grapple with for the remainder of the 2023 season. They break down how the Padres should go about doing it, the value to be gained/lost, and why the Padres may have ended up here in the first place.

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Watch the show on Youtube! https://youtu.be/_STYkCnn9d4

In Episode 21 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda get back to their PAR roots and dive into a long awaited player-specific episode -- Manny Machado. What makes Manny Manny at the plate? And to what degree is his future linked to the Padres?

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR discord and get other great member perks! patreon.com/padreshottub


Watch the show on Youtube: https://youtu.be/PN0oDWS2KR0

In Episode 20 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda turn to the Padres 2023 preseason ZiPS projections and compare how their pitchers have fared compared to what was expected. What are the team trends? How have individual players changed? Opposing hitters hate this ONE trick!


Spreadsheet for reference: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Ttn7JoKpl4TMT4nT-T2gHqqNewh-zeYJ/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=112991917124570452661&rtpof=true&sd=true


Watch the show on Youtube: https://youtu.be/3tThJhUKt9g

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR Discord and get other exclusive member perks: patreon.com/padreshottub

In Episode 19 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda turn to the Padres 2023 preseason ZiPS projections and compare how their hitters have fared compared to what was expected. What are the team trends? How have individual players changed? Let's get nerdy with it!


Spreadsheet for reference: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tts7omwGuCjIX6WGZEMimLrM-bJus0qv/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=112991917124570452661&rtpof=true&sd=true


Watch the show on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j6VNTPfT6FQ

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR Discord: patreon.com/padreshottub

Raphie Cantor and John Precoda are back -- the results are in, and the Padres chose to buy instead of sell. Raphie and John break down the three trades AJ Preller and Co. made on Deadline Day and what they mean for the Padres in the short and long term.

Watch the show and subscribe on YouTube! https://youtu.be/y2b60T-3nA8

Become a patron to join our Discord and chat with other statheads like you! patreon.com/padreshottub

In episode 17 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John are back from a honeymoon break to revisit AJ Preller's trade deadlines as GM of the Padres -- how did those trades add up at the time with the information we had? How did they pan out? Strap in, because this one is a doozy.


Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/04qov_dfg9Y

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR Discord channel. patreon.com/padreshottub


Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek

Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

In episode 16 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John take a fine-tooth comb through each of AJ Preller's drafts from 2015-2022. How did he do at the time? How did those players pan out, either for the Padres or other teams? How did they stack up against the Dodgers?

Become a patron to join the PAR Discord channel -- patreon.com/padreshottub


Watch the show on YouTube! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3WhclWu7yE


Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek

Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

In episode 15 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John investigate the theory put forth by some Padres fans that the team is on the same trajectory as the 2019 Washington Nationals and 2021 Atlanta Braves -- two eventual World Series champions who had slow starts to their campaigns.

Watch the show on YouTube! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5jUOjvFpwsI



Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottub

Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

In episode 14 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John break down the Padres bullpen -- a group that's had an elite first half of 2023, but not in the way you think.

Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottub

Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/CD_3BMmPIqw

Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

In episode 13 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John take a look at lineup and roster construction -- what are the basics and how have the Padres fared in relation to what we know about modern analytics?

Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottub

Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/vrLFkAe9Wlg


Fangraphs Article on Lineup Construction: https://community.fangraphs.com/a-lineup-construction-experiment/


Fangraphs Article on Roster Construction: https://community.fangraphs.com/stars-or-depth-what-is-the-best-way-to-build-an-mlb-roster/

Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

In episode 12 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, the State of the Union is strong -- for Padres pitching at least. Raphie and John dive into where things stand now, what the rotation and 'pen might look like in years-to-come, before finishing with a discussion of Padres pitching coach Ruben Niebla (and how we will one day interview him).

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our Pads Above Replacement Discord! patreon.com/padreshottub

Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/nzkC9oMLyJg

Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

Episode 11 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, reviews the Padres in May -- an experiment in extremes with league-best pitching and defense -- and league-worst offense.

Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/RcS2lPMjuXE

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our Pads Above Replacement Discord channel! patreon.com/padreshottub

Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

Summer School continues on Pads Above Replacement as Raphie Cantor and John Precoda break down two closely related stats that comprise much of modern offensive analysis - weighted On Base Average (wOBA) and weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+). Whether your name is Blake Snell or not, you should tune in!

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Watch and subscribe to the show on YouTube!


Check out Fangraphs' explanation on wOBA and wRC+, which are referenced a lot in this episode:

https://library.fangraphs.com/offense/woba/

https://library.fangraphs.com/offense/wrc/


Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

On this very special episode of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie and John launch a new series called "Summer School" to break down baseball's most important stats. First up is the perhaps the most important stat in the sabermetric era -- Wins Above Replacement (WAR). What is it good for? Absolutely everything!

Become a patron for as low as $5/month


Watch and subscribe to the show on YouTube!


Check out Fangraphs' explanation on WAR, which is referenced a lot in this episode: https://library.fangraphs.com/misc/war/


Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda