Next Round with Dale McDermott and David W. Higgins covers current issues in the Irish economy, politics and society. With one working abroad and one at home, we hope to give a global and young perspective that is unlike the other podcasts in your feed.
Dale McDermott is a leadership consultant and adviser based in London, having previously worked in Toronto and Dublin, where he held leadership roles in management consulting, tech and a business representative group.
David W. Higgins is an economist in Dublin, having previously worked as Chief Economist at Carraighill, an independent financial research firm with clients in New York and London.
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Next Round with Dale McDermott and David W. Higgins covers current issues in the Irish economy, politics and society. With one working abroad and one at home, we hope to give a global and young perspective that is unlike the other podcasts in your feed.
Dale McDermott is a leadership consultant and adviser based in London, having previously worked in Toronto and Dublin, where he held leadership roles in management consulting, tech and a business representative group.
David W. Higgins is an economist in Dublin, having previously worked as Chief Economist at Carraighill, an independent financial research firm with clients in New York and London.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Canada is once again the focus of the new US administration. The threat of tariffs lingers, and there's a more sinister suggestion of border changes around the Great Lakes. Is Canada being pushed to become the 51st state?
Forecasts for recession in the United States are picking up, driven by the government slowdown. The new administration is talking about excluding the government from its GDP calculation. But does this really work?
The Irish housing crisis continues to bubble in the background amid all this global tension. David has a new article in the Irish independent on the topic of RPZ rent controls. We discuss the merits of lifting this policy and the impact on renters.
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Dale McDermott
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David W. Higgins
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Europe is now scrambling. The decades-long US security guarantee is falling apart. The US is siding with Russia and elbowing out its ally in Ukraine. Must Europe now build a common military force to fill the void? What’s Ireland’s role in all this?
The CSO reports that wage growth remains high. As inflation has lowered, we’re now in a period of real wage growth. However, wage growth is still behind house price growth. New data also shows harmony between workers and employers. Has the WRC and Labour Court crushed the need for strikes?
You’ve heard of the Coppers Gold Card, but what about one for America? That’s Trump’s latest idea. Many countries have similar schemes for a golden visa. You invest in a country, and citizenship rules are eased. But does it actually work?
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With Irish government spending surpassing €100bn this year, we ask whether a body for “government efficiency” is needed. David fills us in on an article he wrote in the Irish Independent this week. DOGE may not be the best fit for Ireland, but something is needed.
US Vice President JD Vance spoke at the Munich Security Conference this week. In a landmark speech, he attacked democracy in Europe, sided with local right-wing parties, and called for more spending on defence. But is this hypocrisy from an administration which doesn’t believe it lost the 2020 election?
Diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) programmes are being rolled back across organisations. We debate whether this is right, or just perpetuating the same people hiring people like them. Maybe there’s some merit in organisations hiring staff that reflects their customers?
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Make Ireland Poor Again. David tells us why he now uses this phrase to describe a new group of people in Ireland. They’re the voices that have resurfaced to once again call on the Taoiseach to boycott a meeting with the US President on St. Patrick’s Day. With thousands of jobs on the line from tariffs, the last thing any country should consider is ignoring the new US administration.
The CSO’s latest release of the Growing Up in Ireland (GUI) survey shows a challenging picture for 25-year-olds in Ireland. 7-in-10 report still living with their parents. But this is considerably higher than at the 2022 census. We discuss the different measures of this data and what is or isn’t included in each.
The UK’s economic woes are once again on our minds. Their wide government deficit and current account deficit (twin deficits) paints a bleak picture. Growth remains sluggish and the Bank of England has cut by 25bps, citing this growth as a key concern. Some BoE members even voted for a 50bps cut. We discuss the bleak picture, but also consider ways for the UK to pull through.
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Dale McDermott
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What’s really happening in Ireland’s housing market? Despite a flood of recent data—housing starts rising, completions falling, and mortgage approvals surging—the picture remains murky.
Meanwhile, the Trump administration is turning the heat on its closest neighbours with fresh tariff threats against Canada and Mexico. We dive into what this means and how incoming Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick’s philosophy could reshape U.S. trade policy.
Plus, a major “vibe shift” in social media: Mark Zuckerberg is scrapping Meta’s fact-checkers in favour of an X-style community notes system. What does this mean for the future of online engagement?
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As we kick off the new year, we dive into the Australian property market, exploring the potential for a bubble as prices slow after years of growth. With many young Irish choosing to move Down Under for a better life, we discuss David W. Higgins’ recent article in The Irish Times, which warns that Australia’s economic prosperity, largely driven by mining, may be unsustainable due to falling commodity prices and China's shifting economic model. With Dry January upon us, new research from Heineken and the University of Oxford reveals that while most consumers find it acceptable to choose no- or low-alcohol drinks when out, social pressure still leads many to opt for alcohol. We explore the rise of the zero-alcohol sector—could Gen Z be driving this trend with the help of "splitting the G"? Finally, we focus on the start of a new parliamentary term in Ireland, where the opposition’s priorities, particularly around housing and social issues, are becoming clearer on the left wing. At the same time, the right wing’s stance remains less defined amid ongoing coalition negotiations.
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We review the exciting year that was 2024. Ireland kept the Apple money, budget surplus, UK election, France legislative election, Hate speech bill dropped, Euro/local elections, family / care referendums, Bambi Thug, the New York portal, inflation quashed, rates lowered, wages high, Leo resignation, Harris new Taoiseach, Micheál Martin's great survival, 10pc house price growth, record homelessness, the Aer Lingus strike and passenger cap.
We look forward to covering even more in 2025.
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With the dust settling after Ireland’s 2024 general election, we unpack its fractured results and the intricate coalition negotiations now underway as Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael navigate options against the backdrop of pressing challenges like housing, healthcare, and climate action.
We also spotlight the 20th anniversary of the Residential Tenancies Board, exploring the regulators' role in the context of soaring rents, newly designated Rent Pressure Zones and its role in Ireland’s rental market.
Lastly, we turn to President-elect Trump’s proposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, analysing historical lessons and the potential ripple effects on global trade, U.S. businesses and consumer costs. Will they damage Ireland’s prospects?
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With just two days until voters in Ireland head to the polls, we dive into the shifting dynamics revealed by this week’s surprising poll results and analyse last night’s debate between the leaders of Ireland's three main parties.
We also explore Fine Gael's new proposal—the Acorn Savings Account policy—introduced in their 2024 General Election manifesto. This policy promises to give every child born in Ireland a financial head start, but critics argue that it may exacerbate existing inequalities, as families with more significant financial means are more likely to make additional contributions, leading to larger savings for their children.
Finally, we discuss a new study by Women’s Aid and Core, highlighting that 40% of Irish men still hold traditionalist views on masculinity. What does this mean for modern gender roles and the societal progress Ireland needs to make?
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Eoghan Murphy was Ireland’s housing minister between 2017 and 2020. He faced the most difficult challenge in government at the time, the challenge of rapidly growing homeless numbers, a dormant construction industry, and rising rents. His departure from cabinet was soon followed by his full exit from politics in 2021. He has spent the time since writing his memoirs.
Running From Office: Confessions of Ambition and Failure in Politics is his account of that time, and the period after his entry to politics at the 2009 local elections. In this episode, we get to know the real “Murph” (the nickname bestowed on him on Callan's Kicks, the RTÉ satirical radio show). His time in politics was woven among many personal challenges, including his relationships with others and his mental health.
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You’ve seen the reaction to Trump’s win this side of the Atlantic, but what about Canada? We’re honoured this week to be joined by John Baird, former Foreign Minister of Canada and Senior Advisor at Eurasia Group.
We discuss the fallout to the Trump win, why Kamala lost, and how countries can deal with the new administration. We also touch on other foreign policy issues including the war in Ukraine.
Biography:
John Baird is a Senior Advisor at Bennett Jones LLP and a former Senior Cabinet Minister in the Government of Canada.
An instrumental figure in bilateral trade and investment relationships, Mr. Baird has played a leading role in the Canada-China dialogue and worked to build ties with ASEAN countries. In addition, Mr. Baird has worked closely with international leaders to strengthen security and economic ties with the United States and Middle Eastern countries.
A native of Ottawa, Baird spent three terms as a Member of Parliament and four years as Foreign Minister. He also served as President of the Treasury Board, Minister of the Environment, Minister of Transport and Infrastructure, and Leader of the Government in the House of Commons. In 2010, he was selected by Members of Parliament from all parties as Parliamentarian of the Year. Prior to entering federal politics, Mr. Baird spent ten years in the Ontario Legislature where he served as Minister of Community and Social Services, Minister of Energy, and Government House Leader.
In addition to his work with Bennett Jones, Mr. Baird sits on the advisory board of Barrick Gold Corp., the corporate boards of Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CPKC), Canfor Corporation (as Chair), the FWD Group and PineBridge Investments. He also serves as a Senior Advisor at Eurasia Group, a global political risk consultancy.
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The UK’s first Labour budget in 14 years and its first by a female chancellor. Rachel Reeves has raised taxes, spending and borrowing. We discuss the main budget items and contrast it to Ireland. The markets are cautious on the approach and the rise in borrowing costs means less room is available in the next budget.
The CSO’s Vital Statistics Yearly Summary has been released for 2022. It shows a 10.1% fall in births in Ireland, with the fertility rate hitting a new low of 1.5 (far below the replacement rate of 2.1). This follows a similar report in the UK showing an even lower rate of 1.44.
US election night is just days away. We give our final predictions for the closest election in decades. The election night playbook looks at the close of polls in battleground states. These timings are the evening of local time on Tuesday November 5th. That means it’ll be the early morning of Wednesday 6th when Irish and UK viewers can see the results unfold.
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According to a new Financial Times poll, Donald Trump has now overtaken Kamala Harris as the candidate most trusted by Americans to manage the economy. Could the former president be on track for an unprecedented return to the White House? We dive into the shifting polls and explore the factors behind Trump’s resurgence.
Meanwhile, Ireland’s housing crisis continues as new home completions for the first nine months of this year have dropped by over 3% compared to the same period last year—well short of the government’s 2024 target of 40,000. Is this an actual drop and what does this possible setback mean for the housing sector?
And with Ireland’s next general election set for 2024, we examine what’s on the horizon for the campaign trail, reflecting on how unexpected events reshaped the outcome of the last election in 2020.
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The Irish general election, it’s happening, right? We discuss the delicate steps to orchestrate an end to the 33rd Dáil. Micheál Martin remains the key player and his recent appearance on the Irish Times Inside Politics Podcast holds clues.
Driverless cars are in their infancy, but they’re on the road today in 4 US cities. We discuss a revolutionary technology that will cause disruption to labour markets and our urban landscape. Could Dublin be a cleaner city if we had no more road signs?
The UK has just held an investment summit to spur new projects. This is a key initiative of the new Labour government. Should Ireland worry that the UK might finally be getting its act together? And just who else could challenge Ireland’s position as the king of FDI in Europe?
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We are joined by Seán Keyes, Executive Director of Progress Ireland, who leads the organisation's infrastructure policy initiatives. Seán previously served as Finance Editor at The Currency, Managing Editor at MoneyWeek, and Editor of an equity research newsletter.
Together, we delve into the launch of Progress Ireland, an independent think tank dedicated to connecting Ireland with innovative policy solutions from around the world. With the country facing significant challenges in areas such as infrastructure and housing, Seán shares insights on the urgent need to adopt global best practices. We also discuss strategies for attracting international talent, ensuring that Ireland is well-positioned to turn policy success into a reality.
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Who lost out from Budget 2025? Maybe no one! As the government announces the last budget before the next general election, we discuss the main points. Are the income tax changes a cut or just relief? Have we done enough to support the expansion of infrastructure? And how are young people looked after?
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As the U.N. General Assembly wraps up, President Higgins’ recent comments have sparked controversy, raising questions about how far he has stretched the boundaries of his role. In this episode, we examine the evolving nature of the presidency and look ahead to next year’s election, discussing what the office could represent and the key challenges it faces.
Former Taoiseach Leo Varadkar emphasises that a united Ireland should be seen as an "objective" rather than merely an "aspiration" for the political establishment in the Republic. We take a closer look at Northern Ireland’s economy and explore the realities of what a united Ireland might entail. Meanwhile, new data on job churn reveals a decline, signalling relative stability in the Irish economy – a positive indicator of overall health.
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A new long-read article from Bloomberg draws attention to the “dating recession”, how 13.3m extra singles emerged from the COVID-19 pandemic and are now adding to an “epidemic of loneliness” in the US. We discuss the decline in social and group activities, the implications for Ireland, and how it can turn around.
The US Federal Reserve delivered a 50 basis points (0.5%) cut in interest rates this week, while the Bank of England held rates unchanged. We contrast the two economies and ask if central bank independence is on the way out in the event of a second Trump presidency.
Finally, a new poll in the Irish Times gives a boost to Simon Harris and Fine Gael. It also reveals that cost-of-living concerns haven’t gone away. Voters believe this will be the main issue that determines their vote at the general election. They also believe it’s the main issue they want addressed at the budget. The poll also shows that two-third of voters believe young people have better life prospects overseas.
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The European Court of Justice ruled that Apple’s tax structure in Ireland amounted to illegal state aid and Ireland will receive over €13 billion in unpaid taxes. We analyse the fallout; what does it mean for Ireland’s industrial policy, should the government save it or spend it on the key challenges facing the country?
Mario Draghi's report The Future of European Competitiveness presents a comprehensive assessment of the EU's current economic challenges, and a set of recommendations aimed at restoring its competitiveness on the global stage. We discuss the 400-page report and ask where to for Europe?
US presidential candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris took the stage last evening in the first (and likely last!) debate – was it a knockout for Harris or is Trump being underestimated again?
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David attended the launch of Progress Ireland, a new think tank launched by Sean Keyes and a team of colleagues. The think tank believes in “unlocking Ireland’s potential” in the areas of housing, infrastructure and innovation.
We discuss the wider issue of Ireland’s budget surplus, termed a “luxury problem” recently in the Financial Times. Corporate tax posted another set of strong receipts in August, giving the government room in the budget.
Sinn Féin has launched its new housing policy. Government critics say it’s not real home ownership if the state owns the land beneath your house. We discuss this and ask if unwinding so many government initiatives in housing will really happen. Is 300,000 too few homes?
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Dale McDermott
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David W. Higgins
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