Last week Dan, Cheryl and I talked through the implications of the US-Israeli strikes on Iran. Cheryl gave us a damage assessment, we worked out the domestic politics, and Dan gave some thoughts both on Trump and on the broader international implications. I talked the airpower angle, contrasting the Israeli performance with Russia’s air campaign in Ukraine. Some links of note:
*
Details of the strike.
* Jeffrey Lewis on Iran’s
trajectory towards a bomb.
* Ankit Panda on the
flagging non-proliferation regime.
* When the cards were down, Moscow and Beijing
were nowhere to be found.
* Speaking of cards,
Tulsi folded like a house of them…
* Israeli success has
made the Saudis nervous.
As a policy matter, I think Trump officials are smart to lie about the destruction of Iran's nuclear program to avoid being drawn further into this shit show. As a professional with a reputation to uphold, I have to point out that these statements are untrue. It's a weird time.—
Jeffrey Lewis (@armscontrolwonk.bsky.social) 2025-06-29T19:03:38.299Z
Transcript is here.
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