The sharpest minds and analysis on the frontline of the war in Ukraine - and related conflicts - on Times Radio.
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The sharpest minds and analysis on the frontline of the war in Ukraine - and related conflicts - on Times Radio.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
"It's massive the way in that Vladimir Putin's made a series of gambles where he's got short term advantage and then he's lost in the long run."
Putin's territorial gains in Ukraine could cost him dearly as Trump says the US will back European military support for Ukraine. Prof. Scott Lucas discusses what it means for the Kremlin on Frontline.
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"There's a lot of crying about the betrayal of the Russian nation. They're worried about some kind of, a ceasefire that they think will not be good to the Russian cause."
Putin may have lost legitimacy in the Kremlin by failing to secure Russia's land grab in Ukraine and the Alaska talks could be his last chance, Says Prof. Vlad Mykhnenko on Frontline.
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“The Russians now have to think about where they divert forces to detect these [US submarines].”
Trump has made a “bold statement” by deploying two nuclear submarines near Russia, as this will alter how Putin’s forces operate, despite the possibility that it could all be a bluff, says former submarine captain Ryan Ramsey.
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"You're seeing quite a lot of sort of drives into Ukrainian territory, but they are sporadic."
Russia's grinding push into Ukraine hasn't done enough to win strategic objectives as the US tries to put more pressure on Putin to end the war in Ukraine, Rear Admiral Dr Chris Parry tells Frontline on #timesradio
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“Ukraine has effectively halted Russia in its tracks, largely because there's huge buffer zones now where if you move, you die and it's all around drones.“
Despite the mass of Russia's army, Ukraine have stopped them in their tracks with the superior drone warfare, says former RAF Pilot, Air Vice Marshall Sean Bell.
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“He’s got to show he’s a winner because the whole old special operations gig, that propaganda line has worn absolutely thin.”
Russians have become disillusioned with Putin as they feel the repercussions of war and their leader’s failure to deliver the “knockout blow,” says The Evening Standard’s defence editor, Robert Fox.
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“The Kremlin are now talking about bringing defence expenditure down come 2026 because they've spent so much money on providing an army that isn’t really doing more than maintaining the status quo.”
Putin runs Russia’s economy to the ground by spending “vast amounts of money” on futile military operations, says former House of Commons clerk Eliot Wilson.
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“If you’ve been hit by 300-500 drones you get conditioned to that, so being hit by another hundred doesn’t mean that much. Of course they’re not being hit by that number because most are being shot down.”
Putin’s belief that he can win the war by dropping ordinances is a “myth”, says Major General Chip Chapman as it’s just a “sullen way the Russians go about destroying things.”
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"There is very little evidence that Russia is going to be able to make any sort of strategic breakthrough."
Putin's attempt to take more land after Trump called for a ceasefire in 50 days is turning Russian frontlines into 'a real mess', warns Retired Air Vice Marshall Sean Bell on Frontline.
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"Fear of how powerful Putin could be and what he could do to your country has been a very big instrument but that doesn't exist anymore. So now you see that it's being tested here and there and, that that's not good news for him."
Putin risks losing satellite states and rebellious regions as Russia focusses more of its efforts on the war in Ukraine, Diane Francis tells Frontline on #timesradio
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“It appears today, that instead two Patriot systems they may well be providing five Patriot systems.”
Trump increases arms aid to Ukraine after his phone call with Putin backfires, says Major General Mick Ryan.
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“These are very sophisticated, expensive weapons, which are Ukraine’s only defence against ballistic missiles.”
Trump’s promise of patriot missiles and missile interceptors to Ukraine will act as a game changer, as they are the only thing that can crush Russia’s ballistic missile attacks, says foreign policy and security analyst Jimmy Rushton.
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"Nobody's going to buy Russian oil if that piece of legislation goes through. But it's not clear that that's the policy that's going to be implemented. Trump has been resisting."
The US third party sanctions package can only work if Trump doesn't water done the final policy, warns Sir Bill Browder, Head of the Global Magnitsky Justice Foundation
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Donald Trump appears to be preparing to sign new sanctions on Russian oil into US law, Michael Bociurkiw tells Frontline on #timesradio
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“Starovoit had a lot of connections... it was portably better to just silence Starovoit.”
Putin may have had a “very good reason to get rid of” Russian minister Roman Starovoit, but it has resulted in “unsettling and destabilising” consequences in Russia, says Russia expert Amy Knight.
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“The Ukrainians are more hardened to Russia right now, have more visceral hatred to Russians than they ever did in 2014.”
Putin’s bombardment of Ukraine fails as “air campaigns like this don’t work”, says retired US Army counterintelligence special agent David DeBatto.
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"We can see that Trump is getting frustrated with Putin. He understands that his high hopes of delivering a quick deal in Ukraine have just not been achieved."
Trump's growing frustration with Putin and pledge tio supply more weapons to Ukraine suggests he know Putin is in a weak position, says John Lough Head of Foreign Policy at the New Eurasian Strategies Centre.
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"We are kind of breathing or breathing, rather thin air here. The Europeans have got to stop hoping that America will, step in and just get on and fill the gap."
Trump's failure to push Russia into serious ceasefire talks has left Putin emboldened and able to attack Europe warns Edward Lucas, Times Columnist and European security expert.
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“Just because you lose something, doesn’t mean you’ll get it back again.”
The Russians are failing to regain Luhansk, and even if they succeed, it does not “mark an inflection point in the campaign”, says George Barros, Russia team lead at The Institute for the Study of War.
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