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Expected Own Goals
xpectedowngoals
120 episodes
7 hours ago
Evan Davis and Eric Morgan are best friends who love each other. But they love women's soccer more. Every week, the guys sit down to explore the tactical and analytical sides of the women's game, covering the NWSL, USWNT, WSL, Women's Champions Leauge, Liga MX Femenil, and beyond. No stone is left unturned as they seek to learn more and more about how women's soccer is played, who's good, who's not, and who is going to win it all.
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Soccer
Society & Culture,
Sports
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Evan Davis and Eric Morgan are best friends who love each other. But they love women's soccer more. Every week, the guys sit down to explore the tactical and analytical sides of the women's game, covering the NWSL, USWNT, WSL, Women's Champions Leauge, Liga MX Femenil, and beyond. No stone is left unturned as they seek to learn more and more about how women's soccer is played, who's good, who's not, and who is going to win it all.
Show more...
Soccer
Society & Culture,
Sports
Episodes (20/120)
Expected Own Goals
NWSL Playoffs Preview, with Abigail Segel!
The 2025 NWSL regular season is in the books, but the fun is just getting started. Defector columnist ⁠Abigail Segel⁠ joined us to walk through all the Decision Day silliness, break down the four upcoming quarterfinal matchups, and what we have learned about the state of the league at the end of the year. Like & subscribe to our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ page and watch the first volume of our Anatomy of series! Follow us on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TikTok⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Subscribe to our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Patreon⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for only $6/month to get exclusive bonus content, including the show ad-free! Art by ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Eli Elbogen⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Music by ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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7 hours ago
1 hour 1 minute

Expected Own Goals
USWNT Friendlies Recap, plus the Laura Language Model
RECORDED BEFORE SARAH GORDEN'S STATEMENT ON ELIZABETH EDDY'S NEW YORK POST ARTICLE The U.S. women's national team logged three more friendlies on their way to the World Cup, and had a full spread of results. Should we get too down about the 2-1 loss to Portugal? Should we get too high about the 6-0 demolition of New Zealand? Or was this window about continuing to get burgeoning talent more playing time? The guys give you the lowdown. Plus, we discuss the late-breaking news about Seattle Reign head coach Laura Harvey's new coaching "strategy"! Like & subscribe to our ⁠⁠⁠YouTube⁠⁠⁠ page and watch the first volume of our Anatomy of series! Follow us on ⁠⁠⁠TikTok⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠⁠ Subscribe to our ⁠⁠⁠Patreon⁠⁠⁠ for only $6/month to get exclusive bonus content, including the show ad-free! Art by ⁠⁠⁠Eli Elbogen⁠⁠⁠ Music by ⁠⁠⁠Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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4 days ago
52 minutes

Expected Own Goals
NWSL Week 25: Trying to be Proud of Orlando
Four more teams punched their tickets to the NWSL playoffs, while Racing Louisville and the North Carolina Courage are staring each other down. Meanwhile, the Orlando Pride grabbed an emphatic win on the road against a rotated Washington Spirit. What are we to make of the Pride's regression in 2025? How have they coped without Barbra Banda? And can they return to the Championship game in a tight playoff field? Like & subscribe to our ⁠⁠YouTube⁠⁠ page and watch the first volume of our Anatomy of series! Follow us on ⁠⁠TikTok⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠ Subscribe to our ⁠⁠Patreon⁠⁠ for only $6/month to get exclusive bonus content, including the show ad-free! Art by ⁠⁠Eli Elbogen⁠⁠ Music by ⁠⁠Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Visualizations by Catalina Bush for ASA Viz Hub Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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2 weeks ago
55 minutes

Expected Own Goals
NWSL Week 24: How Do You Beat the Kansas City Current?
The Kansas City Current have officially become the best regular-season team in NWSL history. Their win over Gotham ensures that they will break the all-time points-per-game record, plus a slew of other feats. After the whiparound, the guys walk through some key games from the second half of the year to try and see ways teams like Washington, Orlando, and Seattle could potentially spoil KC's party. Like & subscribe to our ⁠YouTube⁠ page and watch the first volume of our Anatomy of series! Follow us on ⁠TikTok⁠ and ⁠Instagram⁠ Subscribe to our ⁠Patreon⁠ for only $6/month to get exclusive bonus content, including the show ad-free! Art by ⁠Eli Elbogen⁠ Music by ⁠Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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3 weeks ago
1 hour 29 minutes

Expected Own Goals
NWSL Week 23: Are Louisville In? Are North Carolina Out? Will San Diego Hang On?
Only three games left in the NWSL regular season, and Racing Louisville pulled off an emphatic road victory over the North Carolina Courage to solidify their playoff aspirations. Meanwhile, the San Diego Wave dropped yet more points and slid yet further down the table. Can Racing feel comfortable yet? Will the Wave be able to stay afloat for another month? Can the Courage somehow haul themselves back above the playoff line? The guys try to figure it all out. Check out the latest episode of our Anatomy of series on ⁠YouTube⁠! Follow us on ⁠TikTok⁠ and ⁠Instagram⁠ Subscribe to our ⁠Patreon⁠ for only $6/month to get exclusive bonus content, including the show ad-free! Art by ⁠Eli Elbogen⁠ Music by ⁠Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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4 weeks ago
46 minutes

Expected Own Goals
NWSL Week 22: The Great Seattle Reign Caper
The Seattle Reign—who take fewer shots than anyone, and whose defense is mediocre at best—are somehow in fourth place in the NWSL standings. How did we get here? How did they? After a quick whiparound (and a check-in on the Hina Sugita and Chloe Ricketts transfers), the guys dive into season that Laura Harvey's squad has had: what they have done right, what they have done wrong, and just how lucky they have been to be in this position. Plus, Evan makes another fateful wager. Check out the latest episode of our Anatomy of series on YouTube! Follow us on TikTok and Instagram Subscribe to our Patreon for only $6/month to get exclusive bonus content Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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1 month ago
59 minutes

Expected Own Goals
The NWSL Stretch Run Heat Check
Only five games remain in the NWSL regular season, and hardly anything separates those teams on either side of the playoff line, not to mention those hoping to grab a home game in the playoff quarterfinals. Which team's schedule sets them up for success? Who will fall despite recent form, thanks to some tough games in October? The guys move through all 14 teams to try and make sense of the playoff picture. Watch the latest episode of Anatomy of... on YouTube! Follow xOG on Instagram and TikTok Subscribe to our Patreon for as little as $6/month to get exsclusive bonus content! Check out ASA Viz Hub for all of your NWSL dataviz needs! Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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1 month ago
51 minutes

Expected Own Goals
NWSL Week 20: Are Gotham on the Ascent? Are San Diego on the Decline?
Savannah DeMelo's collapse on Lumen Field on Sunday quickly became the most important story in the NWSL. DeMelo was responsive and alert before she was stretchered off the field, and thankfully, the league tried to learn from their poor handling of the Savy King incident by suspending the match. The guys offer some quick thoughts on DeMelo as a player, and what has made her special throughout her career. Then, after the whiparound, the guys dive into Gotham FC's decisive 2-0 road win over the San Diego Wave. Can Gotham continue this rich vein of form, now that most of the attack is healthy and Jaedyn Shaw is among their ranks? What can the Wave do to stop the bleeding, aside from another swing of luck? Who can stake a claim to a top-four place by season's end? Subscribe to our Patreon for as little as $6/month to get exclusive bonus content! Watch Episode 1 of Anatomy of..., our new video series, and like/subscribe to our YouTube channel! Follow us on Bluesky, Instagram, and TikTok Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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1 month ago
1 hour

Expected Own Goals
EMERGENCY POD: Jaedyn Shaw to Gotham for $1.25 million?!?!?
Ah, this reminds us of our early days: Gotham FC drops a massive, shocking transfer for a U.S. women's national team player, bolstering their galácticos reputation. This time, Jaedyn Shaw heads north to Harrison, New Jersey for $1.25 million in intra-league transfer funds, the biggest intra-league transfer in NWSL history. Why didn't it work for Shaw in North Carolina? Does this deal set up the Courage for long-term success? Where will Shaw play in a crowded (and now-healthy) Gotham attack? The guys sort through all of it. Subscribe to our YouTube page to catch the premiere of the "Anatomy of..." series on Wednesday, September 10th! Follow xOG on Instagram and TikTok Subscribe to our Patreon for as little as $6/month to get exclusive bonus content! Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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1 month ago
19 minutes

Expected Own Goals
NWSL Week 19: How Utah, Houston & Chicago Have Found Rich Veins of Form
Though all three are still firmly planted in the bottom half of the table, the fortunes of the Utah Royals, Chicago Stars, and Houston Dash have changed considerably over the past few weeks. They produced emphatic results over the weekend (including Chicago's best xG performance in three years), and the guys dig into what has changed for each club since the end of the international break. Can Houston possibly even snatch a playoff place? Never say never! Subscribe to our YouTube page to catch the premier of our brand-new video series, Anatomy Of... on Wednesday September 10th! Follow us on Instagram and TikTok Subscribe to our Patreon for as little as $6/month to get exclusive bonus content! Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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1 month ago
41 minutes

Expected Own Goals
EMERGENCY POD: Alyssa Thompson's transfer fee was HOW much?!?
We interrupt your regularly scheduled programming to scratch our heads at the $1.3 million (or almost-$1.5 million, or $1.65 million) transfer fee paid by Chelsea F.C.W. to Angel City for Alyssa Thompson's services. How did a 20-year-old U.S. women's national teamer with tremendous upside and more than three years left on her contract move for not even a world-record fee? The guys puzzle over what little we know, and who might have been responsible for this unfolding as it did. Join our Patreon for as little as $6/month to get exclusive bonus content! Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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2 months ago
20 minutes

Expected Own Goals
NWSL Week 18: Angel City Win the Battle Against Bay FC, but Did They Lose the War for Alyssa Thompson?
A very intense Labor Day shaped up for the NWSL. After the guys whip around the league, they drill down into Angel City's first-ever results against Bay FC, a 2-1 victory at BMO Stadium. Then, they explore Alyssa Thompson's likely transfer to Chelsea. What do we know right now? How likely was it that Thompson wanted the move? What makes this a good deal for Angel City? And what could make this a disastrous deal for the club? Join our Patreon for as little as $6/month to get exclusive bonus content! Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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2 months ago
1 hour 11 minutes

Expected Own Goals
NWSL Week 17: San Diego and Louisville, Fully Transformed
The NWSL acted semi-normal this week, so we can concentrate on the actual soccer. The guys whip around the league and touch on the Morgan Gautrat loan to Newcastle before examining Racing Louisville's 1-0 squeaker against the San Diego Wave. What have these two teams already accomplished this year, and what more can we expect from them in the weeks to come? Everything's coming up roses for Jonas Eidevall and Bev Yanez! Join our Patreon for as little as $6/month to get exclusive bonus content! Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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2 months ago
1 hour 2 minutes

Expected Own Goals
NWSL Week 16: Draws, Heat, Misery Define the Weekend's Action
RECORDED BEFORE THE ALYSSA NAEHER - LIZBETH OVALLE INSANITY For the second week in a row, we do not have a featured game of the week. That's because external forces have pushed the soccer out of the spotlight. Both Kansas City - Orlando and Gotham - Houston experienced triple-digit heat indexes at kickoff, and for the third straight weekend, the NWSL saw more than half its fixtures end in draws, a first in league history. The guys dig into the league's handling of the CPKC Stadium fiasco, and how climate change could affect games for years to come. Join our Patreon for as little as $6/month to get exclusive bonus content! Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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2 months ago
49 minutes

Expected Own Goals
NWSL Week 15: Derbies, Oppressive Heat, and Unpacking the Sean Nahas Firing
For the first time in over six years, we saw the second straight weekend where more than half the games ended in a draw. Oppressive heat? Weather delays? Who's to say. The guys whip around the league and tease out the storylines from all seven matches. Then, they get into Sean Nahas's firing from the North Carolina Courage. They lay out the entire timeline beat for beat, and see what conclusions, if any, they can draw from the Courage's disastrous handling of the situation. Join our Patreon for as little as $6/month to get exclusive bonus content! Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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2 months ago
59 minutes

Expected Own Goals
NWSL Week 14: Rodman and Sentnor and Copa América NARRATIVE CHAOS
The NWSL is back! And boy oh boy not much happened, until everything did. The guys dissect the blockbuster transfer of Ally Sentnor to the Kansas City Current (01:48) then whip around the rest of the league (26:41) before hitting their featured game of the week, the Washington Spirit's 2-1 victory over the Portland Thorns. (34:28) There's tactics, and then there's Trinity Rodman scoring in her first game in four months. We wrap things up dissecting the other insane game of the weekend, Brazil's shootout defeat of Colombia in the Copa América final. (45:20) Join our Patreon for as little as $6/month and get exclusive bonus content! Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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3 months ago
59 minutes

Expected Own Goals
Euros Final Recap: It's (Sorta) Coming Home, as England Best Spain on Penalties
After more than three weeks and 31 games, we have a new Euros champion and...it's the old champion! England have won their second trophy thanks to some real fortune, opportunistic chance-taking, and another intense penalty shootout. The guys pick through everything England and Spain had to offer, and how this sets up both sides for the World Cup in 2027. Plus, they analyze a heartbreaking WAFCON final for Morocco, who dropped a 2-0 lead to Nigeria. The Super Falcons regain the trophy for the 10th time in tournament history. Join our Patreon for as little as $6/month to get exclusive bonus content! Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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3 months ago
45 minutes

Expected Own Goals
Euros Quarterfinal Recap: England and Germany Miraculously Go Through, Spain and Italy Await
Spain took care of business against Switzerland. Italy exposed Norway's weaknesses. Sweden, England, France and a 10-player Germany chucked haymakers at each other for a combined 240+ minutes and two insane penalty shootouts. In the end, it is England and Germany who walk away and move on to the Euros semifinals. The guys take all four games apart and preview this week's two semifinal contests. Subscribe to our Patreon for as little as $6/month to get our exclusive bonus content! Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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3 months ago
53 minutes

Expected Own Goals
Euros Group Stage Recap: Sweden, France Top Groups, England Still with Much to Do
The group stage of UEFA Women's Euro 2025 has officially concluded, and France is looking pretty unstoppable. Are they? Les Bleues took the Netherlands apart 5-2 to sit at the group D summit, and a weakened Germany await in the next round. Sweden were already in the driver's seat before Carlotta Wamser's red card, but they put the Germans away with ease 4-1 and now face England in the quarterfinal. England demolished Wales 6-1, but which version of the side will show up against Sweden this week? The guys break it all down, and make their predictions for the semifinal matchups. Join our Patreon for as little as $6/month to get access to our exclusive bonus features! Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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3 months ago
54 minutes

Expected Own Goals
Euros Group Stage, Round 1: France Put England to the Sword
The first round of the group stage at UEFA Women's Euro 2025 is in the books! Evan and Eric round up all the action, plus the second round from groups A & B, to marvel at Spain's demolition of two minnows, Iceland's unjust elimination, and Norway's ability to keep getting away with this. Then, the guys dive into the group stage's marquee matchup, France's 2-1 defeat of England. How did things go so wrong for Sarina Wiegman's side? In what ways did Laurent Bonadéi's tactics suprise? How can England possibly save their Euros title defense now? Join our Patreon for as little as $6/month ($60/year) to get exclusive xOG bonus content! Art by Eli Elbogen Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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3 months ago
1 hour 8 minutes

Expected Own Goals
Evan Davis and Eric Morgan are best friends who love each other. But they love women's soccer more. Every week, the guys sit down to explore the tactical and analytical sides of the women's game, covering the NWSL, USWNT, WSL, Women's Champions Leauge, Liga MX Femenil, and beyond. No stone is left unturned as they seek to learn more and more about how women's soccer is played, who's good, who's not, and who is going to win it all.