BMO held its annual Toronto Macro Summit last week. I was honoured to participate on a panel with our guest speaker James Aitken, a globally renowned macro strategist, and Ian Lyngen, BMO's head of US rate strategy, with Joe Leary, BMO's co-head of fixed income as moderator. Joe orchestrated a lively discussion on a wide range of topics that goes well beyond the usual Canada focus. This episode of Views from the North is a recording of the panel that was held on the evening of October 30th. I hope you enjoy listening as much as I enjoyed participating. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Manmit Pandori, head of tactical and accrual trading at BMO Capital Markets, joins me to discuss the current state of the credit market, whether spreads can keep tightening, how his team is positioning themselves, and what could blow it all up.  As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Andrew Wallace, part of BMO's Government of Canada bond trading team, joins me to discuss our expectations for next week's Bank of Canada policy announcement, takeaways from my recent trip to London, front end curve dynamics, the outlook for the yield curve, and our favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Adam Whitlam, part of BMO's Canadian institutional fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss the persistent richness of credit spreads, North American inflation dynamics and the divergence in how the BoC and Fed are reacting, as well as an update on what's topical in fixed income markets. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Chris D’Onofrio, one of BMO’s Canadian dollar swap trades, joins me to discuss the outlook for the Bank of Canada, whether the front end has cheapened enough, and the potential path for the yield curve and swap spreads. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Robert Kavcic, a Senior Economist from the BMO Economics team, joins me to share his insights on the state Canadian housing market, the fundamental drivers, regional differences, how much further prices might have to fall, and where the market is heading over the coming years. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Joel Prussky, BMO’s OIS and cross-currency trader, joins me to discuss the Bank of Canada’s decision to stay on hold this week, where monetary policy is headed for the rest of 2025, and the bigger picture for inflation and interest rates. As always, all feedback is welcome.

BMO hosted its 12th annual Government, Reserve & Asset Managers Conference last week in Toronto. I had the privilege of moderating a panel titled "Capital Flows in a Time of Stress". The panel featured Manmit Pandori, MD, Head of Tactical & Accrual Trading at BMO CM, Avi Hooper, Senior Advisor at ABP Invest, and Matthew Emde, Director General, Funds Management, Government of Canada. This episode of Views from the North is a recording of the panel that was held on the morning of May 8th.   Thank you for listening. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Adam Whitlam, part of BMO’s Canadian institutional fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss the ongoing tariff drama, last week’s Bank of Canada decision to pause and whether more rate cuts are coming, how uncertainty is impacting investors, and his favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback is welcome.  

In this episode, Manmit Pandori, head of tactical and accrual trading at BMO, joins me to discuss President Trump's tariff announcement, the financial market reaction, how the macro backdrop might unfold, and how he is managing risk in this highly volatile and uncertain world. As always, all feedback is welcome. 

In this episode, Jeff Oland, part of BMO’s Government of Canada bond trading team, joins me to discuss this week’s hot CPI report and whether everyone (including the Bank of Canada) has inflation wrong, how fiscal policy could evolve over the coming year, the outlook for interest rates and opportunities in the bond market. As always, all feedback is welcome. 

In this episode, Chris D’Onofrio, one of BMO’s Canadian dollar swap traders, joins me to discuss the on again/off again tariff threats, swap spreads, the upcoming Bank of Canada policy announcement, and his favourite trades. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Darren Campbell, BMO’s head of FICC Investor Sales Canada, joins me to discuss the wild events of the past week, how tariffs could evolve, and what it could mean for the Bank of Canada. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, the Honourable Scott Brison, BMO Vice-Chair and a former Member of Parliament, joins me to discuss Canada’s political backdrop. Scott outlines the current state of the government amid President Trump’s tariff threats, his experiences with some of Canada’s key political figures ahead of what could be a spring election, and what’s needed to improve persistently weak productivity. Following the interview with Mr. Brison, I provide a quick take on my expectations for next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, and my favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback is welcome.   Episode Timecodes: 00:00 - Introduction 01:02 - Interview with the Honourable Scott Brison 42:39 - Preview of next week's Bank of Canada's policy decision

In this episode, Andrew Wallace, part of BMO’s Government of Canada bond trading team, joins me to discuss what he’s focusing on in the coming year, the extreme cross-market richness of GoCs and when the tide could turn, and opportunities in the bond market. As always, all feedback is welcome.  

In this episode, Matthew Baird, part of BMO’s institutional fixed income sales team in Vancouver, joins me to discuss what to expect from next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, the North American fiscal backdrop, the outlook for 2025, and our favourites trades as we head into the New Year. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Douglas Porter, BMO’s Chief Economist, joins me to discuss how President-elect Trump’s return to the White House could impact the Canadian economy, the outlook for the Bank of Canada, interest rates and the Canadian dollar as we head into an uncertain 2025. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Joel Prussky, BMO’s OIS and cross-currency trader, joins me to break down this week’s 50 bp rate cut from the Bank of Canada, whether more super-sized cuts should be expected, the extent of Canada-US policy divergence, and views on the market as we head toward year-end. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Adam Whitlam, part of BMO’s Canadian institutional fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss the impact of the latest GDP figures on the outlook for Bank of Canada, the coming changes to mortgage insurance regulations, investors’ views on duration, why provincial spreads look attractive, and our favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Chris D’Onofrio, one of BMO’s Canadian dollar swap traders, joins me to discuss last week’s Bank of Canada rate cut, terminal rates and where markets might be mispricing the outlook for monetary policy, and whether swap spreads will remain under pressure. As always, all feedback is welcome.