US retail sales are solid, leaving the Fed in no hurry to cut rates. China’s consumers remain very cautious. Taiwan’s GDP is surprisingly strong. And India is planning big sales tax reforms. In our Deep Dive interview, ANZ Senior China Strategist Zhaopeng Xing introduces us to a new word for an important problem in China: involution; to curl inwards. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

US producer price inflation jumps to a three-year high, which lifts US bond yields and the US dollar. The Aussie and Kiwi dollars fall almost a percent. Australian jobs growth recovers, and New Zealand house prices fall again. In our Deep Dive interview, ANZ FX Analyst Felix Ryan has been researching central bank currency holdings, including of the Aussie and Kiwi dollars. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

US rate cut expectations grow. Australian wage growth is strong, but that shouldn’t worry the RBA. The Bank of Thailand cuts rates. There’s another tentative sign that the worst could be over for New Zealand’s economy. In our Deep Dive interview, ANZ Economist Krystal Tan analyses the implications for Thailand’s economy of recent political turmoil which has seen its Prime Minister suspended. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

The Reserve Bank of Australia cuts, with further easing on the cards. US inflation lifts but with positive signs tariffs are only having a transitory effect. New Zealand’s economy may be showing signs of life in Q3. In our Deep Dive interview, ANZ Head of Australian Economics Adam Boyton reviews the RBA’s decision and latest set of economic forecasts. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to cut its cash rate 25 basis points later today. ANZ Research upgrades its forecasts for house prices and GDP growth in Australia. In our Deep Dive interview, ANZ Senior Economist Adelaide Timbrell details why ANZ Research has upgraded those house price forecasts. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

Gold hits a new record high after the US sets tariffs on imports of gold bars. All eyes this week are on an expected rate cut in Australia tomorrow, and US inflation data tomorrow night. In our Deep Dive interview, ANZ Head of Australian Economics Adam Boyton goes hunting for the neutral interest rate. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

Donald Trump announces a 100% tariff on chip imports, but markets are relaxed because there’s lots of exemptions. The Bank of England cuts…but only just, and oil prices are falling as OPEC+ pumps out more crude. In part two of our Deep Dive interview with Soni Kumari about India’s huge demand for metals, she lays out the opportunity for Australia’s exporters. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

Donald Trump has doubled India’s tariff rate to 50% to punish it for buying oil from Russia. Markets are also wary of imminent Trump announcements on replacing key people at the Fed and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

Hong Kong’s Monetary Authority intervenes again to stop the Hong Kong dollar falling off its peg to the US dollar. ANZ Research sees the Reserve Bank of India cutting today. And Australian consumer confidence hits a three-year high. In our deep dive interview, ANZ New Zealand Senior Economist Miles Workman teases out the implications of significant job hoarding in recent years. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

Global stocks rally on growing hopes the Fed will cut next month. Donald Trump threatens even higher tariffs on India, blaming its buying of Russian oil. And Australian house prices are rising at an annualised rate of 7.4%. In our deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Vicky Xiao Zhou navigates the ins and outs of China’s still unresolved trade negotiations with the US. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

Donald Trump hits Taiwan (20%), India (25%) and New Zealand (15%) with higher than expected tariff rates. US jobs figures were weaker than expected in July, and market bets the Fed will cut next month have strengthened. In our deep dive interview, ANZ’s Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh looks at the winners and losers from Friday’s big tariff news. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

US inflation rises in June, driving down expectations for a Fed rate cut next month. Trump announces a string of trade deals and extensions, but not for India. And the Bank of Japan holds, but sees higher inflation. In our deep dive interview, ANZ’s Dhiraj Nim looks at how the lack of a US trade deal for India, with a penalty tariff rate of 25%, will affect its economy. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

The Fed keeps US rates on hold, and lowers its tone on growth; Australia’s inflation paves the way for an August rate cut; there are signs of weakness in New Zealand’s economy; And Singapore leaves policy on hold. In our deep dive interview, ANZ’s Matthew Galt looks at what’s been driving local Council property tax rates up in New Zealand in recent years. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

Markets are mixed this morning as attention turns to the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow. Also, Australia’s Q2 inflation data today will provide a big clue to whether the Reserve Bank of Australia can cut rates next month. In our deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Aaron Luk has been researching insolvencies in Australia’s accommodation and food services sector. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

The euro fell sharply overnight as traders pored over Europe’s trade deal with the United States and saw a 15% tariff slowing its economy. The yen fell too, along with the Aussie and Kiwi dollars. In our deep dive interview, ANZ’s Chief Economist for Southeast Asia and India, Sanjay Mathur, looks at how the Reserve Bank of India could deal with surplus liquidity in the banking system. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

The United States and Europe agreed a trade deal overnight that will see a 15% tariff applied to imports from Europe. Markets are looking ahead to the Fed’s decision on Thursday Asian time and US jobs on Friday night. In our deep dive interview, ANZ Group Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga reports back from a trip he took to the United States this month. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

US manufacturing and jobs figures are solid. Japan’s factory activity contracts. South Korea’s growth rebounds. And central bankers hit the speaking circuit Down Under. In our deep dive interview, ANZ FX Analyst Felix Ryan analyses how sentiment around the world’s major currencies has shifted through the year. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

US, European and Japanese stocks surged and risk-sensitive currencies such as the Aussie and Kiwi dollars rose as traders celebrated a US trade deal with Japan with lower tariffs than feared, and signs of a similar one for Europe. In our deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes analyses why a 50% tariff on US copper imports may not help rebuild its domestic copper industry. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

US manufacturing surveys are weak. Donald Trump is set to unveil more trade deals. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s board meeting minutes point to a rate cut in August. And New Zealand trade data shows the effects of US tariffs. In our deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Bansi Madhavani analyses what’s behind Taiwan’s record export growth this year. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

Japan’s ruling LDP party loses a key election, but PM Shigeru Ishiba vows not to resign, while he’s still negotiating tariffs with Donald Trump. So the yen rose 1%. And New Zealand’s inflation is softer than forecasts. In part two of our deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Rates Strategist Jack Chambers looks beyond America’s fiscal issues to the UK, Australia and New Zealand. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/