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The SPY Trader
Manoj Sharma
465 episodes
21 hours ago
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Investing
Business,
News,
Business News
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All content for The SPY Trader is the property of Manoj Sharma and is served directly from their servers with no modification, redirects, or rehosting. The podcast is not affiliated with or endorsed by Podjoint in any way.
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Investing
Business,
News,
Business News
Episodes (20/465)
The SPY Trader
AI Drives the Rally: Chasing Cyclical Growth
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1415. The US market continues its record rally, propelled by exceptional Q3 corporate earnings, particularly in technology and AI (exemplified by Amazon AWS). Money is rapidly rotating into cyclical growth sectors like Consumer Discretionary, while defensive stocks lag. Despite bullish Fed rate cuts, sticky inflation and slowing labor markets introduce caution, maintaining a focus on highgrowth sector exposure.
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21 hours ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Shutdown Volatility: The AI Trade Reckoning
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1414. A US government shutdown creates a vacuum of official data, shifting the market's focus entirely onto massive technology earnings, particularly AMD and Palantir. We discuss the highstakes 'AI Trade' demands, technical resistance, and tactical positioning for high volatility, including long plays in Tech (XLK) and rotation into Health Care (XLV).
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1 day ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Amazon Surges, Meta Sinks: The AI Spending Test
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1413. Megacap tech powered the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to strong October gains, largely ignoring the cautious Fed rate cut and the ongoing government shutdown. While Amazon soared on robust cloud growth, Meta plunged after announcing staggering AI capital expenditure plans, signaling investor concern over margin impact. We detail why the relentless AI capex boom continues to dominate the market narrative and offer strategies for positioning your portfolio, recommending an overweight tilt toward QQQ/XLK and caution in longduration bonds like TLT.
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2 days ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Tech Bulls Charge: Amazon Jumps 13%
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1412. Big Tech earnings, led by Amazon's explosive AWS growth and strong iPhone sales from Apple, drove a powerful rally, ensuring a positive monthly close despite persistent macroeconomic gloom. We analyze the market's split between companyspecific success and structural issues like the rising 10year yield, providing tactical recommendations for maintaining overweight exposure to leading technology ETFs (QQQ) and navigating fixed income volatility.
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3 days ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Fed Cuts, Tech Splits: Navigating Market Divergence
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1411. The market is navigating extreme volatility and selection following a Fed rate cut and divergent megacap tech earnings. While Nvidia surged to a $5 trillion valuation, confirming the intense concentration in AI growth, stocks like Meta plunged on guidance concerns. Recommendations focus on maintaining selective AI exposure (QQQ) while balancing risk with cyclical value (VTI, CAT) and defensive fixed income (BND) amid confirmed Fed easing.
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4 days ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Rate Cuts, Record Highs: Navigating the Market Divergence
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1410. The market is driven by optimistic momentum ahead of an expected 25 basis point Fed rate cut and relentless AI enthusiasm, pushing the S&P 500 toward record highs. We analyze the massive divergence between soaring Technology stocks (XLK) and lagging defensive sectors, confirming the TINA dynamic. Strategy recommendations include core holdings in VOO and XLK, value plays in XLI and XLF, and a fixed income trade targeting TLT to benefit directly from the easing monetary policy.
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5 days ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Bull Market Altitude: Rate Cuts and Tech Titans
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1409. The S&P 500 has surged past 6,800, driven by twin engines: widespread expectations of a Fed rate cut and exceptional corporate earnings, particularly within megacap technology. This highly concentrated rally, fueled by the Magnificent 7 and the AI narrative, pushes valuations well above historical averages. We analyze how to strategically overweight growth sectors (XLK, QQQ) while using core bond ETFs (AGG, TLT) to hedge against market volatility and capture the anticipated bond rally.
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6 days ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
The Double Barrel Catalyst: Rates & Earnings
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1408. This week is defined by dual catalysts: nearfull pricing of a Fed rate cut and the crucial earnings reports from the Magnificent Seven tech giants. Market sentiment is riskon, driving momentum in AIfueled tech and ratesensitive sectors like Utilities and Real Estate (VNQ). We discuss positioning for continued growth (QQQ) and rate easing (TLT), while advising avoidance of the lagging Energy sector (XLE). The outcome of MegaCap earnings is the key risk and opportunity.
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1 week ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
The Q4 Showdown: Powell vs. The Magnificent Seven
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1407. The market faces its most volatile week of Q4, driven by the Federal Reserve's rate decision and crucial Q3 earnings from tech giants like Microsoft, Alphabet, and Apple. We analyze the highstakes macroeconomic calendar and provide a trade strategy: OVERWEIGHT growth stocks balanced by a defensive bond duration hedge.
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1 week ago
5 minutes

The SPY Trader
Goldilocks Rally: Record Highs Fuel Rate Cut Bets
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1406. Major indices hit fresh record highs following cooler CPI data, cementing a massive riskon environment and nearly guaranteeing a Federal Reserve rate cut. This 'Goldilocks' scenario is driving strong rotation into growth sectors (Technology) and cyclicals (Financials), with key stocks like AMD and Ford leading the charge. Maintain exposure to QQQ and XLK while hedging with highquality fixed income.
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1 week ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
The Fed Pivot: AI Surges and Energy Explodes
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1405. The market shows strong resilience following the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut, boosting technology and AI stocks like Intel. However, geopolitical sanctions cause crude oil and the energy sector to surge. We analyze the dichotomy of rate cuts meeting sticky inflation and offer a threepronged strategy: maintaining highconviction growth (QQQ), capitalizing on tactical momentum in cyclicals (XLE, XLI), and establishing defensive fixed income and real asset positions (GLD) to hedge against persistent inflation and risk.
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1 week ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
RiskOff Rotation: Geopolitics vs. Rate Cut Hopes
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1404. The market opens cautiously amid mixed earnings and rising geopolitical risks, sparking a sharp 'riskoff' rotation. Investors are shifting from growth stocks (hit by IBM and Tesla) toward defensive sectors like Health Care and cyclicals like Energy (fueled by sanctions). Strategy focuses on buying defensive yields (XLV, VNQ), playing the crude surge, hedging with bonds (TLT), and reducing largecap tech exposure due to trade pressure.
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1 week ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Goldilocks Rally: Rotation and Rate Cut Hopes
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1403. The market hits new highs fueled by strong earnings and a dovish Fed, cementing expectations for further rate cuts. We analyze the strong rotation into Cyclicals (like GM and 3M) and outline trading strategies to capitalize on falling rates and maintain a necessary hedge.
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1 week ago
3 minutes

The SPY Trader
Apple’s Record Run, Rate Cut Hopes, and Today’s Market Balance
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1402. The S&P 500 takes a breath after a 1% surge, with futures slightly down despite continued strong corporate earnings and Apple hitting a new record high. We analyze the market's increasingly dovish stance on interest rates, driven by concerns over a slowing labor market and AI displacement, despite tariffdriven inflation. Trading strategies focus on growth tech (QQQ), tactical plays in Financials (XLF), and hedging against geopolitical risk using Gold (GLD) and Treasuries (TLT).
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1 week ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Rate Cut Mania: Trading the Fed Pivot Hype
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1401. The market is rallying aggressively on expectations of imminent, backtoback Fed rate cuts, driving major strength in growth sectors like Technology and Real Estate. This episode dissects the riskon setup, analyzes conflicting inflation data, and provides tactical plays to capitalize on the anticipated easing cycle, recommending duration (TLT) and ratesensitive sectors (VNQ).
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2 weeks ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
The CPI Countdown: Defense First
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1400. This week marks a crucial convergence of highstakes economic data and corporate earnings. We face potential market turbulence driven by Friday's critical CPI release, which will test interest rate cut optimism. Prepare for volatility, stay defensive early (overweight XLV), and tactically limit exposure to growth stocks (underweight QQQ) until the inflation outlook is clarified.
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2 weeks ago
3 minutes

The SPY Trader
Tech Roars, Banks Falter: Market Divergence
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1399. Major indices closed a highly volatile week with solid gains, led by the Nasdaq (2.1%). The market saw sharp divergence: AI/Tech surged following strong TSMC earnings, while renewed regional bank fears hampered Financials. A major driver was the Fed's dovish shift, with Chair Powell hinting at future rate cuts due to job market concerns, boosting ratesensitive sectors like Real Estate. Strategy recommendations include maintaining exposure to growth (QQQ), selective financial investment (XLF), and diversification through fixed income (AGG, TLT).
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2 weeks ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Defense Wins: Navigating VIX and Bank Woes
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1398. The market experienced massive volatility with the VIX spiking over 22%, driven primarily by renewed regional banking credit anxieties and the lack of crucial economic data due to the government shutdown. The Fed's hints at further rate cuts underline economic deterioration, leading to a strong defensive rotation among investors. Recommended strategies include increasing exposure to defensive sectors (Health Care/XLV), longerduration fixed income (TLT/BND), and highquality growth (QQQ), while reducing exposure to vulnerable financials (XLF, KRE).
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2 weeks ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Gold Rallies as AI Earnings Outpace Trade Wars
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1397. Stellar Q3 corporate earnings, led by TSMC and Salesforce, are driving market resilience and pushing tech futures higher, defying a confirmed USChina trade war and an ongoing government shutdown. While AI names like Nvidia remain key buys (QQQ, CRM), geopolitical instability is pushing Gold to a record high, necessitating a core hedge (GLD). The Fed is expected to cut rates as economic momentum slows.
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2 weeks ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Powell Pivots: Gold Hits Record, Financials Surge
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1396. The market shows a strong upward bias driven by ratecut optimism following a dovish pivot from Fed Chair Powell, pushing the 10Year yield lower. This upward momentum is counteracting extreme volatility stemming from renewed USChina trade tensions. Q3 earnings are strong in the Financials sector, and market leadership is rotating out of concentrated tech into Financials (XLF) and defensive sectors. Gold (GLD) has surged to a new record high, reflecting safehaven demand. The recommended strategy emphasizes a balanced approach (VTI), tactical overweight in Financials, and essential hedging against geopolitical risk.
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2 weeks ago
3 minutes

The SPY Trader