The 100 Year Thinkers: Long-Term Compounding in a Short-Term World

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Excess Returns

1 episodes

20 hours ago

In a world where most investors think in quarters, The 100 Year Thinkers offers insights from investors who think in decades. Hosted by Matt Ziegler and Bogumil Baranowski and featuring Robert Hagstrom, and Chris Mayer, this monthly roundtable will tackle many of the issues all of us face as investors, but look at them through the lens of investors who operate over very long time frames. We will cover a wide range of topics ranging from stock selection to portfolio construction to the economy and behavioral finance, but we will do it by focusing on what matters over the long-term.

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Episodes (1/1)

The 100 Year Thinkers: Long-Term Compounding in a Short-Term World

The 100 Year Thinkers | Chris Mayer and Robert Hagstrom on Finding the Next Great Compounders

In a world that moves tick by tick and quarter by quarter, The 100-Year Thinkers zooms out to explore what it really means to invest with patience, discipline, and perspective.

In this premiere episode, join Matt Zeigler, Bogumil Baranowski, Chris Mayer, and Robert Hagstrom as they discuss market concentration, the dominance of mega-cap stocks, and how investors can think in decades—not days.

Together, they explore the evolution of active management, the role of the S&P 500, the challenge of private equity, and how to build portfolios that last.

• Concentration and the rise of mega-cap dominance
• Equal-weight vs. market-cap-weighted indexes
• The role of the S&P 500 and how it shapes investor behavior
• Why the Magnificent Seven may not repeat past winners’ mistakes
• The differences between today’s tech leaders and the 1999 bubble
• The changing nature of private equity and illiquidity premiums
• How to define success as an investor beyond beating the index
• The importance of focusing on business economics over stock prices
• Lessons from Buffett, Bill Miller, and other long-term thinkers

00:00 Concentration and portfolio construction
04:00 Market-cap dominance and equal vs. cap weighting
10:30 Active management, benchmarks, and the S&P 500
17:00 Economic realities of the top 10 stocks
23:00 Government policy and market intervention
26:00 Comparing 2024 to 1999 and lessons from past cycles
32:00 Innovation, Russell 2000, and private company growth
40:00 Active management and how the S&P wins
41:45 The private equity boom and its challenges
49:00 Redefining performance and investor goals
55:00 The importance of focusing on business economics
57:00 Closing thoughts and where to find the guests

Topics CoveredTimestamps

3 weeks ago

58 minutes 40 seconds