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Less Noise, More Signal

Pascal

78 episodes

5 days ago

In this conversation Michael Nadeau and Pascal Hügli share insights into the unique characteristics of Bitcoin, the dynamics of the crypto market, and the importance of liquidity and macroeconomic factors. They discuss investment strategies, the significance of production costs in determining Bitcoin's fair value, and the role of developer activity in blockchain ecosystems. Additionally, they analyze how to value blockchains and the serious nature of meme coins in the investment landscape. C...

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In this conversation Michael Nadeau and Pascal Hügli share insights into the unique characteristics of Bitcoin, the dynamics of the crypto market, and the importance of liquidity and macroeconomic factors. They discuss investment strategies, the significance of production costs in determining Bitcoin's fair value, and the role of developer activity in blockchain ecosystems. Additionally, they analyze how to value blockchains and the serious nature of meme coins in the investment landscape. C...

Show more...

Episodes (20/78)

Less Noise, More Signal

The Truth About Bitcoin, Gold & Liquidity (w/ Michael Nadeau)

In this conversation Michael Nadeau and Pascal Hügli share insights into the unique characteristics of Bitcoin, the dynamics of the crypto market, and the importance of liquidity and macroeconomic factors. They discuss investment strategies, the significance of production costs in determining Bitcoin's fair value, and the role of developer activity in blockchain ecosystems. Additionally, they analyze how to value blockchains and the serious nature of meme coins in the investment landscape. C...

5 days ago

56 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

What everyone gets wrong about the current repo market

In this conversation, Pascal Huegli and Lighthouse Macro (Bob Sheehan) discuss the current state of funding and treasury markets, emphasizing the importance of liquidity and the systemic risks posed by regional banks. He highlights the impact of government actions on market stability and the growing influence of Bitcoin and crypto on traditional financial systems. The discussion also covers shifts in treasury market buyers and the pressures faced by primary dealers, concluding with insights o...

1 week ago

1 hour

Less Noise, More Signal

Infranomics: Why the U.S. Dollar Is Losing Its Power

In this conversation, Pascal Hugli and Robert, also known as Infra, share his journey from a nerdy childhood focused on medicine to becoming a macroeconomic enthusiast. He discusses the complexities of macroeconomics, the significance of bond auctions, and the current inflationary pressures affecting the economy. Robert emphasizes the challenges faced by the average American in understanding economic systems and the implications of labor market dynamics. He also explores the role of gold as a...

2 weeks ago

1 hour 17 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Jamie Coutts: Global liquidity has been slower than expected - Is it changing now?

In this conversation, Pascal Huegli and Jamie Coutts discuss the current state of the cryptocurrency market, focusing on Bitcoin's price dynamics, demand factors, and the influence of liquidity and economic growth. They analyze the role of treasury companies and ETFs in driving Bitcoin's price, compares current market conditions to previous cycles, and assesses risks associated with market positioning. They also emphasize the importance of understanding asset adoption and network growth...

3 weeks ago

48 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Ben Kizemchuk: Bank reserves are now scarce. Expect high volatility

In this conversation, Pascal Huegli and Ben Kizemchuk discuss the current state of equity markets, focusing on volatility, the implications of the VIX, and the behavior of 'garbage stocks.' They explore the financial plumbing of the U.S. system, including liquidity issues and the impact of treasury issuance. The discussion also touches on inflation trends, defensive investment strategies, and the evolution of market valuation towards a flow-based model. Huegli emphasizes the importance of und...

3 weeks ago

1 hour 31 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

How to benefit from digital credit powered by Bitcoin!

In this conversation, Pascal Huegli and Johan Bergman discuss their journey into Bitcoin, the investment strategies of Michael Saylor, and the intricacies of convertible debt and preferred equity in relation to Bitcoin investments. They emphasize the importance of understanding the capital stack, credit ratings, and risk management in investment strategies. The discussion also touches on the future of Bitcoin, the role of strategic liability reserves, and the potential for new investment oppo...

1 month ago

1 hour 20 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Trader legend Willy Woo: A 80% Bitcoin drawdown again is possible

In this conversation, Pascal Huegli and Willy Woo discuss his journey in the Bitcoin space, the dynamics of market cycles, and the importance of liquidity. He delves into the four-year cycle of Bitcoin, the role of treasury companies, and the balance between decentralization and centralization. They also explore the use of Bitcoin as collateral, its potential as a medium of exchange, and the challenges faced by hedge fund managers in the current market environment. Chapters: ...

1 month ago

1 hour 7 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

How your house can help you get ONE Bitcoin

In this conversation, Pascal Hugli with Joe Consorti and Smeet Bhatt, co-founders of Horizon, discuss the innovative financial product Horizon, which allows homeowners to tap into their home equity to invest in Bitcoin. They explain the mechanics of home equity investments, the potential market size, and the risks involved. They emphasize the importance of Bitcoin as a long-term investment and how Horizon aims to bridge the gap between traditional home equity and cryptocurrency investments. T...

1 month ago

52 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Market analyst Caleb Franzen: A key risk going forwards is interest rate volatility

In this conversation, Pascal Huegli and Caleb Franzen discuss their background in wealth management and the founding of Cubic Analytics. They delve into macroeconomic trends, particularly focusing on inflation, monetary policy, and the dynamics of risk assets like equities and Bitcoin. They emphasize the importance of understanding inflation metrics, the impact of tariffs, and the current state of the labor market. They also share insights on technical analysis, investment strategies, and the...

1 month ago

41 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Macro economist Henrik Zeberg: The largest bubble ever is about to pop

In this conversation, Pascal Hugli and Henrik Zeberg discuss the current economic landscape, emphasizing the inevitability of economic cycles and the importance of leading indicators in predicting recessions. They critique the notion that 'this time is different' in economic contexts, arguing that historical patterns tend to repeat. The discussion also covers the dynamics of digital assets, particularly the role of Ethereum in market movements, and the potential for an upcoming recession as e...

1 month ago

43 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Trader legend Benjamin Cowen: All cycles ended after THIS happened

In this conversation, Pascal Hugli and Benjamin Cowen delve into the current state of the cryptocurrency market, focusing on Bitcoin's support levels, historical trends, and the implications of September seasonality. They discuss investment strategies for Bitcoin versus altcoins, the divergence between gold and Bitcoin, and the potential impact of midterm elections on market dynamics. The conversation also covers portfolio management techniques, the relevance of market cycle indicators, and t...

2 months ago

50 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Glassnode co-founder: The real bitcoin top was in July

In this conversation, Pascal Hugli and Yann Allemann, co-founder of Glassnode and SwissBlock, discuss the current market environment for Bitcoin and altcoins, emphasizing the importance of liquidity and systematic strategies in trading. He explains how liquidity acts as a key indicator for market movements and the potential for future altcoin seasons. Yann also shares insights into the frameworks developed for analyzing market phases and signals, providing a comprehensive overview of the cryp...

2 months ago

1 hour 7 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Market structure expert Tyler Neville: Welcome to Weimar America

In this conversation, Pascal Hugli and Tyler Neville, a macro expert and market structure analyst, discusses the current state of the financial system, which he refers to as 'Weimar America.' They explore the implications of government policies, market structures, and the role of buybacks in corporate strategies. Tyler shares his insights on managing risk in the short term while maintaining a long-term bullish outlook. The discussion also delves into the geopolitical landscape, the future of ...

2 months ago

1 hour 9 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Macro thinker Mel Mattison: The next big driver of this bubble is unlocking financing in US housing

In this conversation, Mel Madison and Pascal Hügli discuss the current economic landscape, focusing on the impact of AI and fiscal initiatives, the significance of tariffs, and the dislocation between financial markets and the real economy. They explore the role of AI in driving economic growth, the dynamics of the housing market, and the implications of energy costs on inflation. Additionally, Mel shares insights on market cycles, interest rates, and the influence of MMT principles on govern...

2 months ago

1 hour 15 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Head Strategist at Tether Gabor Gurbacs: We are rebuilding the entire capital market stack

In this conversation, Gabor Gurbache and Pascal Hugli discuss Tether's evolution towards a comprehensive capital market structure, emphasizing the importance of tokenization and Bitcoin's role in creating a more efficient financial system. They highlight the challenges of traditional financial markets, the impact of regulation on stablecoins, and the future of asset ownership in a digital world. Chapters: 00:00 Intro 01:54 Tether's Vision for Capital Markets 10:00 The Role of Bitcoin in New ...

2 months ago

42 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Climate tech investor Daniel Batten: Bitcoin is absolutely critical to the green energy transition

In this conversation, Daniel Batten and Pascal Hugli discuss the critical role of Bitcoin mining in the green energy transition, debunking myths surrounding its environmental impact. They draw parallels between Bitcoin and other disruptive technologies, emphasizing its potential to solve pressing climate issues. Batten highlights Bitcoin's social utility, particularly in empowering underserved communities, and addresses concerns about governance and decentralization. They conclude by encourag...

2 months ago

1 hour 19 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Mexican billionaire Ricardo Salinas: Bitcoin is like your house - just see its value go up!

In this conversation, Ricardo Salinas and Pascal Hugli discuss the transformative potential of Bitcoin, likening it to digital gold and emphasizing the importance of education in achieving financial freedom. He shares insights on corporate strategies for Bitcoin investment, the implications of government involvement, and his libertarian views on state power. Salinas also highlights the significance of continuous education and social initiatives aimed at fostering understanding of Bitcoin. He ...

3 months ago

33 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Michael Howell on GENIUS Act: Stablecoin adoption could mean slower credit growth

In this conversation, Michael Howell and Pascal Hügli explore the late stages of the current liquidity cycle, noting how policymakers are working to extend it by injecting more liquidity. They examine how a weakening dollar supports global liquidity, the relevance of the MOVE index, and how Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent aims to shorten duration—despite criticizing his predecessor, Janet Yellen. The discussion also covers the role of stablecoins in the U.S. debt landscape, why they differ f...

3 months ago

1 hour 1 minute

Less Noise, More Signal

James Check: Here’s what’s weird about this Bitcoin all-time high

In this conversation, James Check from Checkonchain and Pascal Hügli discuss the current market dynamics, Bitcoin price discovery, and investor sentiment surrounding Bitcoin. James emphasizes the importance of understanding market psychology, the need for patience among investors, and the potential coexistence of Bitcoin and fiat currencies in the future. The discussion also touches on strategies for navigating the market, recognizing blind spots, and preparing for potential bear markets.&nbs...

3 months ago

48 minutes

Less Noise, More Signal

Portfolio Manager Ben Kizemchuk: Stop using 20th century investment models in a 21st century market

In this conversation, Ben Kizemchuk and Pascal Hugli delve into the concept of fiscal dominance and its implications for the economy, exploring how government spending is becoming the primary driver of economic growth. They introduce the 'Four F's' framework—fiscal dominance, financial repression, passive flows, and fiat—as a way to understand the current economic regime. The discussion also covers the impact of passive investment flows on market dynamics, the relevance of gold and Bitc...

3 months ago

1 hour 46 minutes