Join C.A.R. economists as they discuss the trade tension between U.S. and China, the on-going government shutdown, and what it means for the economy and housing market. With job growth stalling and consumer confidence fading, lower rates are giving homebuyers a boost amid uncertainty.

Join C.A.R. economists as they discuss the latest economic update and market predictions for 2025 and 2026. We also discuss the Fed’s September meeting, resilience in retail sales, and the latest CPI report.

California home sales and prices declined again in July while pending sales posted their steepest fall since November 2023. Mortgage rates, however, fell to their lowest level since last fall as the Fed suggests a possible rate cut in September. Join C.A.R. economists as they break down the latest housing market data, consumer spending and construction trends.

July’s data shows headline inflation steady at 2.7% annually while job growth slows. Tune in to listen to our economists' discussion on the latest CPI trends, labor market revisions, shifts in business confidence, and the Federal Reserve’s next move on rates in September.

Join C.A.R. economists as they discuss the second quarter GDP report, their take on the latest FOMC meeting, and the progress on recent trade deals.

In this episode, C.A.R. economists break down the latest economic data, including a modest rise in CPI while PPI remain flat. We explore why mortgage rates are trending upward, how tariffs are hitting consumers more than producers, and what these trends could mean for the housing market. We also take a closer look at June's housing report, including a drop in the median home price below $900K and another decline in pending sales.

In this episode, C.A.R. economists explore the latest decline in the statewide median price, and its implications to the housing market in the months ahead. We also discuss the recent Fed's decision on rates, the drop in retail sales, and how the shifting in consumer confidence and builder sentiment could affect the market outlook for the rest of the year.

California home sales have declined for the second time in four months compared to the previous year, as elevated interest rates and ongoing economic uncertainty continue to impact the market. The condo market, which previously provided more opportunities for first-time buyers, has also softened due to worsening affordability. Although the tariff situation has slightly improved, the recent U.S. credit downgrade has adversely affected rates, likely causing the housing market to stall in the coming months.

In this episode, C.A.R. economists break down the latest Federal Reserve decision to keep interest rates unchanged. They also discuss the first negative economic growth in three years, the impact of rising tariffs, home price fundamentals, and the latest update on insurance.

In this episode, C.A.R. economists break down the latest trends in inflation, retail activity, and the consumer sentiment. They also discuss the March home sales report, the latest housing affordability by ethnicity index, and the outlook for the spring homebuying season.

In this episode, C.A.R. economists discuss the latest concerns about the economy and the odds of a recession. We dive into how some of the macroeconomic variables are affecting everything from retail sales slowing down to consumer confidence hitting its lowest point since 2021. And while inflation appears to be ok for now, recently implemented tariffs could create headwinds in coming months. Interest rates may also remain elevated as the the Fed suggests that they could "wait-and-see" for a little longer.

C.A.R. economists discuss the aftermath of the wildfires in LA County, the economic/regulatory implications of the new administration to the market, and the latest trend on inflation.

C.A.R. research discusses the latest housing market update as well as the final fed rate cut for 2024 and how that will affect the forecast for 2025.

The outcome of the election has an impact on the housing market, but the net effect in the short term is yet to be determined. Inflation will likely be stickier next year than previously thought since after the election, while the economy could grow faster in 2025. While interest rates are expected to decline more slowly than what was projected before, the market outlook is murkier than a month ago as the election results created more uncertainty for the market in the path ahead.

With mortgage rates expected to moderate further in 2025, California homes sales and price are projected to increase as buyers and sellers return to the market. Join C.A.R. economists as they discuss the latest economic update and look ahead at potential market changes in the upcoming year.

The fed funds rate was lowered by half a percentage point for the first time since 2020. The central bank’s latest move and its plan on future rate reductions will benefit homebuyers and home sellers in the coming months. With mortgage rates remaining near the lowest level in two years, housing activity could pick up in the fall.

California home sales bounced back to the highest level in five months in July, while more listings became available. With mortgage rates reaching the lowest level since May 2023, the market should see more sales and an increase in housing supply in the second half of the year. Meanwhile, the economy is expected to slow but continues to see positive growth in Q3.

With inflation easing more sustainably in the last couple months, interest rates have been trending down to the lowest level in the past five months. Despite having a softer-than-expected first half in 2024, the housing market should improve in sales in the next six months. Join C.A.R. economists in this episode as they discuss the latest trend in the market and the impact of recent developments in the economy.

The Federal Reserve decided to keep rates unchanged in the latest FOMC meeting but signaled that at least one rate cut is still on the table. Meanwhile, rate volatility has stabilized over the past couple weeks and more properties continued to be listed on the market. Home sales in the California housing market remain soft but are expected to improve in coming months.

Active listings at the state level continue to climb, with new for-sale properties rising for the fourth straight month in April. Housing supply remained tight, however, and continued to put upward pressure on prices. The statewide median price surged more than 10% from last year and set a new record high in April. As the market continues to speculate on the next Fed’s rate move and its outlook on future rate cuts, interest rates will likely remain volatile in the coming month.