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Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Keith Lanton
244 episodes
1 week ago
October 20, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 39 Fear is loud, but context is louder. We open with the classic wall of worry and show why widespread crash talk can be oddly protective, then parse what actually matters now: a Fed tilting to cuts, resilient big-bank earnings, and a stealth risk that portfolios are measured in weakening dollars, not just rising prices. Along the way, we size up tech’s towering influence—more than a quarter of the S&P 500 in four names—and the uncomfortable truth tha...
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October 20, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 39 Fear is loud, but context is louder. We open with the classic wall of worry and show why widespread crash talk can be oddly protective, then parse what actually matters now: a Fed tilting to cuts, resilient big-bank earnings, and a stealth risk that portfolios are measured in weakening dollars, not just rising prices. Along the way, we size up tech’s towering influence—more than a quarter of the S&P 500 in four names—and the uncomfortable truth tha...
Show more...
Investing
Education,
Business,
News,
Business News,
Self-Improvement
Episodes (20/244)
Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Riding The Wall Of Worry
October 20, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 39 Fear is loud, but context is louder. We open with the classic wall of worry and show why widespread crash talk can be oddly protective, then parse what actually matters now: a Fed tilting to cuts, resilient big-bank earnings, and a stealth risk that portfolios are measured in weakening dollars, not just rising prices. Along the way, we size up tech’s towering influence—more than a quarter of the S&P 500 in four names—and the uncomfortable truth tha...
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1 week ago
36 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Tariffs, Rare Earths, And A Flight To Gold: How Geopolitics Hit Your Portfolio
October 13, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 38 A sudden policy shock from Beijing and a hardline tariff posture from Washington can erase trillions in market value in a day—and that’s exactly what just happened. We walk through the sequence: China widens export controls on rare earths and related technologies, the White House floats a 100% additional tariff that would lift rates to 140%, and both sides layer on shipping levies that threaten to raise costs on everything from refined fuels to consume...
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2 weeks ago
37 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Shutdown, Markets, And The Big Bill
October 6, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 37 A government shutdown should spook investors, yet stocks are climbing, futures are green, and deal flow is perking up. We unpack why markets often rally through shutdowns, where this one could truly bite if furloughs turn into layoffs, and what a data blackout does to sentiment and positioning. From there, we zoom out to structural shifts: Thomas Peterffy’s argument that 9:30–4:00 is a relic in a global, algorithmic market, why 24/7 trading for liquid m...
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3 weeks ago
36 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Volatility, Policy, and AI: Choosing Growth When Currency Blurs the Scoreboard
September 29, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 36 Forget the spooky stories—October’s market script is more complex and more constructive than memory suggests. We open by challenging the “October effect,” tracing how volatility and returns actually stack up, and why certain election cycles—not the month itself—deserve the caution label. From there we walk through a potential U.S. government shutdown with a clear, practical lens: what functions continue, where services stall, how a delay in key econo...
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1 month ago
35 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Beyond the Markets: Finding Confidence Through Courage in Finance and Life
September 22, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 35 What happens when a tech giant can borrow money at lower rates than the U.S. government? This fascinating development signals a potential paradigm shift in how markets view sovereign debt risk—and it's just one of many remarkable insights from the aftermath of the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut decision. The Fed's quarter-point reduction marks the first cut since December, but market reactions have been surprisingly complex. While short-term vari...
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1 month ago
39 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
The Fed Walks a Tightrope Between Inflation and Employment This Week
September 15, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 34 The financial world holds its breath as the Federal Reserve prepares for its most consequential meeting in months. Markets have climbed to record highs, yet beneath this strength lies a complex economic puzzle that affects every investor's decision-making process. At the heart of this week's financial drama is the Fed's delicate balancing act. Fresh data reveals a labor market losing steam faster than expected, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics dr...
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1 month ago
35 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Jobs, Immigration, and Portfolio Allocation: Where the Puck is Going
September 8, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 33 The financial landscape is shifting beneath our feet, and savvy investors are taking notice. Recent employment data has revealed troubling signs of economic weakness—just 22,000 jobs added in August (far below expectations), unemployment rising to a four-year high of 4.3%, and downward revisions showing actual job losses in June for the first time since 2020. But within this uncertainty lies opportunity. BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, ...
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1 month ago
38 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Wall Street's Annual Jitters: How to Survive September
September 2, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 32 September has historically been Wall Street's most challenging month, with the S&P 500 declining 56% of the time by an average of 1.17% since 1927. As we navigate this traditionally difficult period, several key events could significantly impact market performance – most notably the Federal Reserve's September 17th meeting, where there's currently a 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. The upcoming August jobs report (September 5th) will...
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2 months ago
40 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Are You Really Diversified? The Hidden Truth Behind Index Investing
August 18, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 31 The financial landscape is undergoing a remarkable transformation that demands our attention. Tech stocks have quietly reshaped the S&P 500, creating a concentration that challenges traditional notions of diversification. What many investors don't realize is that technology now represents a staggering 45% of the index when accounting for companies like Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon—despite their classification in other sectors. This concentration crea...
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2 months ago
37 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Are Tariffs Becoming America’s New Income Tax?
August 4, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 30 The financial landscape shifted dramatically last week as markets processed a surprisingly weak jobs report amidst record highs for major indices. Friday's employment data revealed not just lower-than-expected job growth but massive downward revisions to previous months, sending markets tumbling despite stellar earnings from tech giants. This unexpected weakness has resurrected concerns about stagflation – that dreaded combination of sluggish growt...
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3 months ago
40 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Are Animal Spirits Taking Over Wall Street Again?
July 27, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 29 A major shift in global trade dynamics unfolded today as the United States and European Union reached a preliminary agreement setting a 15% baseline tariff on most European imports—significantly lower than the threatened 30% that loomed without a deal. The implications ripple across multiple sectors, with pharmaceuticals hanging in balance as the largest trade category between these economic powers. The deal reveals striking contrasts across industries. ...
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3 months ago
34 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Are Stock Buybacks Fueling a Hidden Market Bubble?
July 21, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 28 The invisible forces of supply and demand are reshaping financial markets in ways that savvy investors need to understand. This deep dive explores how stock buybacks have overtaken dividends as the primary method companies return capital to shareholders—and why timing matters tremendously. When companies repurchase shares, they reduce market supply, potentially boosting earnings per share and stock prices. But there's a crucial distinction between disc...
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3 months ago
35 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Is the Bond Market the Real Fed Chair?
July 14, 2025 | Season 7 | I-Episode 27 The resilience of financial markets amid escalating tariff rhetoric takes center stage in this comprehensive market analysis. Despite President Trump's announcements of potential 30% tariffs on the European Union and Mexico, market indices have remained surprisingly stable, highlighting a fascinating disconnect between policy uncertainty and investor sentiment. Drawing on insights from Citadel founder Ken Griffin, we explore why beating professional in...
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3 months ago
43 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Tax Cuts, Trump IRAs, and Trade Wars: Navigating Today's Financial Landscape
July 7, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 26 The financial landscape is shifting dramatically with President Trump's newly signed "Big Beautiful Bill" extending the 2017 tax cuts that were set to expire this December. This sweeping legislation keeps the top tax rate at 37% while expanding the estate tax exemption to a generous $15 million per person ($30 million per couple), providing substantial benefits for wealth transfer planning. For everyday Americans, the bill introduces tax exemptions on tip...
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3 months ago
40 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Too Much Noise, Too Little Change: A Mid-Year Market Review
June 30, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 25 The financial landscape of 2025 has been a study in contrasts—headlines scream chaos while markets whisper stability. As we close the first half of the year, this paradox becomes our focal point. Despite a backdrop of Middle East conflicts, Russia-Ukraine escalations, nuclear tensions between India and Pakistan, and significant domestic policy shifts including President Trump's inauguration, major US equity indices have remained surprisingly steady. The ...
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4 months ago
34 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Peace Through Strength: How Markets Respond to Global Conflicts and Policy Shifts
June 23, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 24 How do markets respond when geopolitical tensions escalate? Despite US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and ongoing Middle East conflict, investors displayed remarkable calm - demonstrating a pattern we've seen repeatedly where buying during military uncertainties has historically proven profitable. Markets showed minimal movement across global indices, with even traditional safe-haven assets seeing only modest shifts. This pattern highlights a...
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4 months ago
38 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Oil, Bonds, and Resilience: Financial Markets Amid Middle East Escalation
June 16, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 23 Financial markets are navigating a complex landscape of geopolitical tensions, monetary policy uncertainty, and technological disruption with remarkable resilience. Despite Israel's strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities triggering initial volatility, investors have demonstrated measured responses – a significant departure from the panicked selling that characterized previous global crises. The Israel-Iran conflict represents a potential flashpoint that c...
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4 months ago
36 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Financial landscapes are shifting as private markets outpace public ones.
June 9, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 22 The financial world is undergoing a seismic shift that few everyday investors fully grasp. Private credit and private equity markets have exploded from virtually nothing to controlling trillions in assets and thousands of companies—all while operating largely outside traditional regulatory frameworks. We take you on a fascinating journey through Wall Street's innovation cycles, connecting today's private market boom to previous financial revolutions lik...
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4 months ago
41 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
The Big Beautiful Bill, Social Security, and Your Investment Strategy
June 2, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 21 The global investment landscape may be approaching a pivotal shift after 15 years of US market dominance. While American markets have delivered exceptional returns, mounting evidence suggests international opportunities deserve renewed attention from investors seeking to optimize their portfolios. At the heart of this potential transition is a stark contrast in fiscal trajectories. Since 2000, the US debt-to-GDP ratio has skyrocketed from 33% to ove...
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5 months ago
42 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
Everything Is Relative: A Fresh Look at Market Valuation
May 27, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 20 Take a fascinating journey through market valuation that challenges conventional wisdom about wealth measurement. In this eye-opening episode, we explore how perceiving markets solely through dollar-denominated prices creates an illusion of stability, when deeper analysis reveals a more complex reality. The real story emerges when we examine the Dow-to-gold ratio across a century of market history. From its peak of 18 during the 1929 market bubble to 41 d...
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5 months ago
38 minutes

Enlightenment - A Herold & Lantern Investments Podcast
October 20, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 39 Fear is loud, but context is louder. We open with the classic wall of worry and show why widespread crash talk can be oddly protective, then parse what actually matters now: a Fed tilting to cuts, resilient big-bank earnings, and a stealth risk that portfolios are measured in weakening dollars, not just rising prices. Along the way, we size up tech’s towering influence—more than a quarter of the S&P 500 in four names—and the uncomfortable truth tha...