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Decision Advantage
Jonathan Pan
9 episodes
2 days ago
Decision Advantage is a content series centered on how to achieve decision advantage and dominance for the United States military.
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All content for Decision Advantage is the property of Jonathan Pan and is served directly from their servers with no modification, redirects, or rehosting. The podcast is not affiliated with or endorsed by Podjoint in any way.
Decision Advantage is a content series centered on how to achieve decision advantage and dominance for the United States military.
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Government
Episodes (9/9)
Decision Advantage
Stuart Williams: Sustainment at the Tactical Edge | Decision Advantage #9

Stuart is a career Army officer with over 25+ years of distinguished service, blending deep expertise in logistics, sustainment, and strategic planning. Most recently, he commanded the Army Field Support Battalion – Charleston (AFSBn-CHS), home of the Army’s Prepositioned Stocks (APS-3) program, where he led a 600-person organization responsible for maintaining and deploying combat power positioned aboard ships worldwide.

His career has spanned tactical, operational, and strategic levels. Stuart has commanded at company and battalion levels, deployed multiple times to Iraq, Korea, and Europe, and served in elite assignments including Regimental S4 for the 160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment (Airborne) and SAMS planner for the XVIII Airborne Corps. He holds master’s degrees in business administration, Military Arts and Science, and Military Operations, and is a graduate of the School of Advanced Military Studies.

#decisionadvantage #decisiondominance

02:18 - Stuart introduction

07:17 - School of Advanced Military Studies overview

11:14 - Why sustainment is such a critical, but overlooked component of Army operations

16:41 - How is the role of the logistician evolving in an era of contested logistics

21:41 - Why should people pay attention to sustainment at the tactical edge, not just headquarters?

26:20 - AI-enabled sustainment at the tactical edge

29:56 - How Stuart defines "AI" for defense

32:45 - Where sustainment is going in the next 5-10 years

36:00 - Great books for sustainment

37:10 - Superbowl prediction!

Referenced in the show

-https://www.amazon.com/Logistics-Falklands-War-Expeditionary-Warfare/dp/1473899044

-https://www.amazon.com/Engineers-Victory-Problem-Solvers-Turned/dp/0812979397

-https://armyuniversity.edu/cgsc/sams/sams

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3 weeks ago
38 minutes 15 seconds

Decision Advantage
Kent Park: The Paradox of Combined Operations | Decision Advantage #8

Colonel Kent Park has served in the U.S. Army as an Infantry officer for over 25 years. Most recently, he was the Joint Base Commander of Joint Base Lewis-McChord, leading one of the Army’s largest and most complex installations. During his career, Park commanded at every level and deployed multiple times to Iraq and Afghanistan in support of combat operations. Park served in key strategic assignments, including U.S. Army Pacific and Combined Forces Command, Republic of Korea, where he advanced U.S.–ROK military cooperation and combined defense planning.

A graduate of West Point, the U.S. Army War College, and Harvard Kennedy School, Colonel Park has shaped Army modernization, installation management, and international security policy. His leadership has spanned combat operations, strategic planning, and institutional reform, reflecting a career dedicated to national defense and the profession of arms.


00:12 – Introduction

01:10 – The next major war

02:35 – The paradox of combined operations: combined, fast, precise

04:06 – Why segregating different national armies into separate areas doesn't work

04:27 – Interoperability challenges as the root cause of failure of combined operations; types of interoperability

07:20 – Examples of cultural interoperability

08:53 – Solutions for interoperability challenges

13:36 – Crisis action SOP

17:50 – What's needed at the tactical echelon to help with cultural interoperability


Referenced in the episode:

-https://www.poetryfoundation.org/poems/45319/the-charge-of-the-light-brigade

-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Balaclava

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4 weeks ago
21 minutes 32 seconds

Decision Advantage
Serj Kazar: The Technology Behind Decision Dominance | Decision Advantage #7

Serk Kazar is Co-Founder and Chief Technology Officer of Exia Labs.


00:12 Decision advantage definition

01:43 What technology is required to generate feasible courses of action

02:43 Spatial awareness proof of concept


Referenced in this episode:

https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.08545

https://mapeval.github.io/

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4 weeks ago
4 minutes 19 seconds

Decision Advantage
Brian Steed: Narrative War | Decision Advantage #6

Brian L. Steed is a retired US Army lieutenant colonel with more than thirty two years of civilian and uniformed experience in artillery, armor, cavalry (reconnaissance and security), international engagement, and professional military education. He is a practitioner, student, and writer of military theory, Middle East culture, and history.

The views expressed are those of the speaker and do not reflect the official policy or position of the U.S. Army, the U.S. Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government.

00:22: Brian introduction

01:33: 9/11 story

05:23: Foreign area officer, Middle East experience

09:30: Debating the center of gravity for ISIS

10:45: Big ideas of Narrative War

13:40: Narrative space as a geological metaphor: space, terrain, landscape, shape

16:33: Narrative War well

20:13: Narrative War is how our opponents fight

21:20: The narrative environment: transient, enduring, societal

25:25: Narrative entrepreneur, governments, and political campaigns

27:55: Explaining how the Taliban navigated the Afghan societal narrative

31:26: TikTok as a mechanism to make Americans hate and fight each other

31:53: All war issues are domestic

33:39: Currencies of Narrative war

36:60: Proactive story vs. counter-narrative

37:53: Operations orders as stories

41:04: Rules of Social Conflict

44:26: Consolidation of gains

46:52: Narrative Space Terrain

51:20: Narrative strategy: Domestic, Expeditionary, Third Party, Great Power

54:05: Narrative strategy during IPOE and Mission Analysis

59:00: Brian's contact information


Referenced in this episode:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tip_O%27Neill

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Mosul_(2016%E2%80%932017)

https://www.newsweek.com/gavin-newsom-breaks-through-trolling-trump-his-own-meme-game-2114281

https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Media/News/Article/607722/three-approaches-to-center-of-gravity-analysis-the-islamic-state-of-iraq-and-th/

https://www.understandingwar.org/jaysh-al-mahdihttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fX_NZtMDd3A

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1 month ago
59 minutes 44 seconds

Decision Advantage
John Herrman: Agentic AI and the Future of Decision Dominance | Decision Advantage #5

0:16 John's background

1:00 Framework for decision dominance

3:26 Understand: Carl von Clausewitz, not taking shortcuts on mission analysis

5:17 Visualize: George C. Marshall's canal-side vision for the Meuse-Argonne Offensive

7:40 Direct: Noncombatant Evacuation Operations planning in Sudan

8:16 Assess: Spotting HIMARS flaw through data


Referenced in this episode:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/03/29/world/europe/us-ukraine-military-war-wiesbaden.html

https://blog.exialabs.com/p/exia-welcomes-john-herrman-jay-miseli

https://www.thehistoryreader.com/military-history/marshall-mitchell-meuse-argonne/

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1 month ago
10 minutes 32 seconds

Decision Advantage
Craig Broyles: Effective Military Decision-Making Frameworks | Decision Advantage #4

Colonel Craig Broyles is the Commander of the 81st Stryker Brigade Combat Team.


01:40 Worshiping the MDMP process

04:32 Origins of the word "Decide"

05:30 John Boyd's OODA Loop

06:50 Focusing on what's worked in the past

07:40 Understanding that the context will evolve

08:10 METT-TC / S

13:28 Deep dive on terrain analysis

17:08 Adjusting the plan when the environment changes

19:05 Intelligence Preparation of the Operational Environment

21:20 Planning the mission from the opponent's point of view

26:20 Commander's intent


Referenced in this episode:

https://www.etymonline.com/word/decide

https://www.usmcu.edu/Outreach/Marine-Corps-University-Press/MCU-Journal/JAMS-vol-14-no-1/Colonel-John-Boyds-Thoughts-on-Disruption/

https://www.armyupress.army.mil/Journals/Military-Review/English-Edition-Archives/May-June-2023/Furthering-the-Discussion/

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1 month ago
32 minutes 46 seconds

Decision Advantage
Kent Park: AI for Tactical Decision Making | Decision Advantage #3

Colonel Kent Park has served in the U.S. Army as an Infantry officer for over 25 years. Most recently, he was the Joint Base Commander of Joint Base Lewis-McChord, leading one of the Army’s largest and most complex installations. During his career, Park commanded at every level and deployed multiple times to Iraq and Afghanistan in support of combat operations. Park served in key strategic assignments, including U.S. Army Pacific and Combined Forces Command, Republic of Korea, where he advanced U.S.–ROK military cooperation and combined defense planning.

A graduate of West Point, the U.S. Army War College, and Harvard Kennedy School, Colonel Park has shaped Army modernization, installation management, and international security policy. His leadership has spanned combat operations, strategic planning, and institutional reform, reflecting a career dedicated to national defense and the profession of arms.

00:00 – Personal Experience in Mosul, Iraq

01:28 – Introduction

02:12 – Part 1: Malcolm Gladwell’s Blink

02:46 – The Getty Kouros

04:12 – John Gottman’s Marriage Prediction Studies

05:39 – Case Study: Mr. Amadou Diallo Shooting

06:58 – NCT Scenario Example

11:15 – The Limits of Human Cognition

11:33 – Insights from The User Illusion by Tor Nørretranders

12:55 – Thin Slicing and Summary of Blink

15:25 – The 10,000-Hour Rule from Outliers

18:52 – Introduction to AI in Military Contexts

20:11 – Project Maven Overview

20:28 – Palantir’s Role in Military Intelligence

21:56 – Exia Labs: Project Blue

22:24 – AlphaGo, Move 37, and Military Applications

24:46 – Centaur Chess – Human-AI Collaboration

26:31 – Adversaries and AI

27:57 – Exponential Progress & Future of Military Operations

29:42 – Tactical Recommendations for Modern Leaders

35:12 – Closing


Referenced in this episode:

Malcom Gladwell's Blink: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blink:_The_Power_of_Thinking_Without_Thinking

The Getty's Kouros: https://www.getty.edu/art/collection/object/103VNP

Gottman Institute Marriage and Couples Research: https://www.gottman.com/about/research/couples/

Case of Mr. Amadou Diallo: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Amadou_Diallo

The User Illusion by Tor Nørretranders: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/106732.The_User_Illusion

https://deepmind.google/research/projects/alphago/

Malcom Gladwell's Outliers https://www.amazon.com/Outliers-Story-Success-Malcolm-Gladwell/dp/0316017930

Project Maven https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Maven

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1 month ago
36 minutes 53 seconds

Decision Advantage
Jay Miseli: Practical Applications of Maneuver Theory (How vs. What) | Decision Advantage #2

Jay Miseli is a retired US Army officer and proven executive leader, founder, and innovator with 30 years of experience delivering results in military organizations and industry. Jay is Co-Founder of Red Thread X and has led Sales and Business Development for a $50M technology firm as a Senior Vice President.

His military career spanned a broad range of responsibilities including large unit command, executive-level plans and operations, multinational and cross-agency coordination, US Army combat vehicle modernization, human resource and program management, and budget programming and execution. Jay continues to support strategic wargaming and analysis as a highly qualified expert for Army Futures Command.

Jay attended the United States Military Academy at West Point, New York, where he completed a bachelor’s degree in mechanical engineering. Jay holds a master’s degree in operations research from the Georgia Institute of Technology, and he earned the academic title of Assistant Professor of Mathematics as course director for the advanced mathematics program at West Point.Jay lives and works in the greater Austin area where he can enjoy the many opportunities to mountain bike, hike, and be outdoors and working in the burgeoning tech and defense innovation sectors.


00:05 - Intro

00:34 - Controlling transitions

02:51 - Force the enemy's transitions

04:57 - Enemy SITTEMP

07:03 - Key Terrain

07:52 - Gettysburg

08:57 - When/where to dismount?

15:30 - COP - digital and analog

16:11 - Digital Fires and PTT Command Nets

18:49 - Graphic control measures and boundaries / FSCMs

23:13 - METT - TC variables and forms of contact

25:25 - Tracking and reporting Enemy BDA


Referenced in the episode:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Gettysburg,_third_day_cavalry_battles

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1 month ago
29 minutes 14 seconds

Decision Advantage
Jay Miseli: Maneuver Theory, Surfaces and Gaps, OODA Loop | Decision Advantage #1

Jay Miseli is a retired US Army officer and proven executive leader, founder, and innovator with 30 years of experience delivering results in military organizations and industry. Jay is Co-Founder of Red Thread X and has led Sales and Business Development for a $50M technology firm as a Senior Vice President.

His military career spanned a broad range of responsibilities including large unit command, executive-level plans and operations, multinational and cross-agency coordination, US Army combat vehicle modernization, human resource and program management, and budget programming and execution. Jay continues to support strategic wargaming and analysis as a highly qualified expert for Army Futures Command.

Jay attended the United States Military Academy at West Point, New York, where he completed a bachelor’s degree in mechanical engineering. Jay holds a master’s degree in operations research from the Georgia Institute of Technology, and he earned the academic title of Assistant Professor of Mathematics as course director for the advanced mathematics program at West Point.Jay lives and works in the greater Austin area where he can enjoy the many opportunities to mountain bike, hike, and be outdoors and working in the burgeoning tech and defense innovation sectors.

00:05 Background

00:38 War of Words in the Kinetic Activity in North Korea

00:52 BCT vs. BN Fight

02:21 Bicycle Wheels

03:17 Maneuver Theories Intro

04:05 Move Strike Protect

04:06 JFC Fuller

06:32 Interior and Exterior Lines

06:52 Battle of LC X-Ray

07:40 Battle of Little Bighorn

08:10 Surfaces and Gaps

10:27 Maneuver Based Fires vs Fire Based Maneuver

11:24 Pacific Theater

12:05 World War II European Theater

13:20 ISD Methodology

17:32 Expanding Torrent Model

18:58 Boyd Cycle / OODA LoopReferenced in the episode:

https://www.americanprogress.org/article/north-korea-and-the-war-of-words/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/J._F._C._Fuller

https://lzxray.com/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_the_Little_Bighorn

https://www.nationalww2museum.org/war/articles/pacific-strategy-1941-1944

https://www.nationalww2museum.org/sites/default/files/styles/wide_large/public/2017-07/Pacific%20Strategy%20Map.jpg?h=33be4f59

https://www.nationalww2museum.org/war/topics/european-theater-operations

https://web.archive.org/web/20181215223002/https://history.amedd.army.mil/booksdocs/wwii/woundblstcs/chapter1.htm

https://gacbe.ac.in/pdf/ematerial/18BDS62C-U3.pdf

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1 month ago
21 minutes 28 seconds

Decision Advantage
Decision Advantage is a content series centered on how to achieve decision advantage and dominance for the United States military.