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Uncomfortable Collisions with Reality
Nicholas Gruen
33 episodes
1 week ago
In this podcast, Nicholas Gruen discusses the issues of today in a unique way. The three questions we've always got an eye to are 1) What's missing in the way people normally talk about these issues? 2) Where do they fit in the bigger picture, whether that's * the long history of our species or * the deeper aspects of the way we're thinking about it and 3) Do these ways of thinking help us improve the world we live in? (Which we often focus on in our shorter 'Policy Provocations' podcasts.)
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Government
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All content for Uncomfortable Collisions with Reality is the property of Nicholas Gruen and is served directly from their servers with no modification, redirects, or rehosting. The podcast is not affiliated with or endorsed by Podjoint in any way.
In this podcast, Nicholas Gruen discusses the issues of today in a unique way. The three questions we've always got an eye to are 1) What's missing in the way people normally talk about these issues? 2) Where do they fit in the bigger picture, whether that's * the long history of our species or * the deeper aspects of the way we're thinking about it and 3) Do these ways of thinking help us improve the world we live in? (Which we often focus on in our shorter 'Policy Provocations' podcasts.)
Show more...
Government
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Willows & Wind Vanes: Fixing Economics Forecasting
Uncomfortable Collisions with Reality
18 minutes 23 seconds
2 years ago
Willows & Wind Vanes: Fixing Economics Forecasting

In the wake of my column proposing that central banks should hold open forecasting competitions - and particularly suggesting it for Bernanke's review of the Bank of England's forecasting, Gene Tunny and I discuss the issues in more detail and some of the reactions to the column appearing in the comments section.

Kenneth Grahame and Wind in the Willows comes up. And why not?

I think you’ll find it pretty interesting.

If you'd like to watch the video, it's here.

00:00 Trailer

00:53 Proposal for Economic Forecasting

06:19 Comments & Criticisms

10:05 Modeling & Judgements

13:47 Feedback on Gene's Article

16:12 Museum Visit and Kenneth Graham

17:13 Closing Remarks


If you'd like to watch the video version, find it here.


Uncomfortable Collisions with Reality
In this podcast, Nicholas Gruen discusses the issues of today in a unique way. The three questions we've always got an eye to are 1) What's missing in the way people normally talk about these issues? 2) Where do they fit in the bigger picture, whether that's * the long history of our species or * the deeper aspects of the way we're thinking about it and 3) Do these ways of thinking help us improve the world we live in? (Which we often focus on in our shorter 'Policy Provocations' podcasts.)