Crypto assets and blockchain technology are about to transform every trust-based interaction of our lives, from financial services to identity to the Internet of Things. In this podcast, host Laura Shin, an independent journalist covering all things crypto, talks with industry pioneers about how crypto assets and blockchains will change the way we earn, spend and invest our money. Tune in to find out how Web 3.0, the decentralized web, will revolutionize our world. Disclosure: I'm a nocoiner.
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Crypto assets and blockchain technology are about to transform every trust-based interaction of our lives, from financial services to identity to the Internet of Things. In this podcast, host Laura Shin, an independent journalist covering all things crypto, talks with industry pioneers about how crypto assets and blockchains will change the way we earn, spend and invest our money. Tune in to find out how Web 3.0, the decentralized web, will revolutionize our world. Disclosure: I'm a nocoiner.
How to Trade Prediction Markets Without an Opinion on the Event - Ep. 979
Unchained
1 hour 5 minutes
1 day ago
How to Trade Prediction Markets Without an Opinion on the Event - Ep. 979
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Walrus
The prediction market meta is piping hot and everyone wants a piece of the pie.
In this episode of Unchained, 10x Research founder Markus breaks down what the competition boils down to. Plus, will other platforms follow Polymarket's lead and launch a token?
He also walks through a “near certain” trade nestled in Polymarket and shares 10 strategies that can be used to trade prediction markets without an opinion.
One key nugget: “It's the wisdom within the crowd.”
Guest:
Markus Thielen, CEO of 10x Research
Previous appearance on Unchained:
How to Invest in This Bitcoin Downtrend: Bits + Bips
Links
Unchained:
Paradigm Claims Polymarket Trading Figures Are Double Counted
Polymarket Opens US App to Waitlisted Users
Intercontinental Exchange to Invest $2 Billion in Polymarket
Crypto.com and Kalshi Lead Prediction Market Coalition Setup
Kalshi Hits $11B Valuation After $1B Raise: Report
Timestamps:
🚀 00:00 Introduction
💡 3:07 Why Markus says prediction market adoption is still in its infancy
👀 6:23 Are speculators abandoning bitcoin for prediction markets?
🧏 8:10 How trading prediction markets differ from crypto markets
⚖️ 11:48 How Polymarket and Kalshi compare in strengths and weaknesses
⚡️ 15:12 Why Markus thinks Polymarket and Kalshi are likely to remain the dominant players
📝 19:15 What traders should consider when choosing a prediction market platform
💥 23:05 How the POLY Airdrop could give Polymarket an edge
⁉️ 26:39 Will other prediction markets launch a token?
💡 33:19 How risks in trading prediction markets differ from crypto markets
🧠 36:31 Markus walks through a “near certain” Bitcoin trade paying 63% annualized
🤯 39:58 Strategies to trade prediction markets without having an opinion
❕️ 51:48 Why Markus avoids “moon shot” trades
⚠️ 54:11 How to trade by finding “wisdom within the crowd”
🤺 1:00:17 How prediction markets enable hedging against real world outcomes
📃 1:02:34 Final thoughts on how traders should approach prediction markets
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Unchained
Crypto assets and blockchain technology are about to transform every trust-based interaction of our lives, from financial services to identity to the Internet of Things. In this podcast, host Laura Shin, an independent journalist covering all things crypto, talks with industry pioneers about how crypto assets and blockchains will change the way we earn, spend and invest our money. Tune in to find out how Web 3.0, the decentralized web, will revolutionize our world. Disclosure: I'm a nocoiner.
