Our Prophets Are always Wrong: A Tribute to French Wishful Thinking : If our pundits were weather forecasters, we'd be wearing flip-flops in blizzards and parkas in heat waves. But don't worry: they don't predict weather, just elections. Which is convenient, since nobody seems to hold them accountable for being systematically wrong. Milei was supposed to collapse in Argentina? He's thriving. Kamala Harris elected in a landslide? Trump's back. Brexit impossible? 52% for Leave. At this point, you'd make more money betting against their predictions than investing in Treasury bonds. But no: after each fiasco, the same experts pick up their pens, their microphones, their confidence. Because they're never really wrong. It's the people who vote incorrectly.