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TrendsTalk
ITR Economics
401 episodes
19 hours ago
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain provides an update on the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index. After record highs earlier this year, uncertainty has been cut in half, setting the stage for accelerating growth in both CAPEX and Industrial Production. Taylor explains why this shift supports ITR Economics’ positive outlook through 2026 and what it means for business leaders preparing for expansion. Are you ready to keep pace with growth?
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Business
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This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain provides an update on the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index. After record highs earlier this year, uncertainty has been cut in half, setting the stage for accelerating growth in both CAPEX and Industrial Production. Taylor explains why this shift supports ITR Economics’ positive outlook through 2026 and what it means for business leaders preparing for expansion. Are you ready to keep pace with growth?
Show more...
Business
Episodes (20/401)
TrendsTalk
Economic Uncertainty and What It Means for 2026 Growth
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain provides an update on the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index. After record highs earlier this year, uncertainty has been cut in half, setting the stage for accelerating growth in both CAPEX and Industrial Production. Taylor explains why this shift supports ITR Economics’ positive outlook through 2026 and what it means for business leaders preparing for expansion. Are you ready to keep pace with growth?
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19 hours ago
4 minutes 36 seconds

TrendsTalk
The Safest States for Business Growth During the 2030s Depression
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain revisits ITR Economics’ long-standing forecast of a 2030s depression and outlines how businesses can prepare today. Taylor reveals which U.S. states are best positioned for success and which face greater risk based on ten key economic and demographic factors. Learn where your organization may find opportunity as the next decade approaches.
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1 week ago
4 minutes 46 seconds

TrendsTalk
Slight Slack in the Labor Market Before Tightening Returns
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain from ITR Economics breaks down the current labor market conditions and what they mean for your business strategy. With just over one unemployed person per job opening, there’s slight slack in the market, but not for long. Find out why the next 6 to 9 months may be your best window for hiring before tightening conditions and wage pressures hit hard. Taylor also covers workforce demographics, rising labor costs, and how AI and automation can help offset the people problem.
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2 weeks ago
5 minutes 22 seconds

TrendsTalk
Rising Energy Costs Could Threaten Business Growth
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain examines how soaring data center construction is fueling record-high electricity prices and what that means for your business. With U.S. electric power costs hitting new highs, companies face growing challenges tied to infrastructure strain and future energy policy changes.
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3 weeks ago
5 minutes 16 seconds

TrendsTalk
How 2025 Tariffs Are Reshaping Global Investment
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain breaks down where US exports and imports are growing, which countries are losing ground, and why the EU has emerged as the clear trade “winner” in 2025. Despite these changes, the US remains the top destination for foreign direct investment, a key driver for onshoring, reshoring, and long-term industrial growth. What will this mean for manufacturers and business leaders heading into 2026?
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4 weeks ago
5 minutes 42 seconds

TrendsTalk
Mild Industrial Growth Ahead with Sideways Indicators
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain from ITR Economics unpacks the latest leading indicators for the US Industrial Economy. While growth is still on the horizon for 2026, several key indicators are moving sideways, signaling a milder rise than previous recovery cycles. What does this mean for capacity planning and business strategy? Tune in to learn why understanding not just the direction but also the amplitude of growth is critical for accurate forecasting and planning.
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1 month ago
5 minutes 40 seconds

TrendsTalk
Positive Manufacturing Outlook for 2026
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain reviews the latest data showing manufacturing’s growth rate accelerating after a tough 2024. While some sectors like heavy-duty trucks, medical equipment, and light vehicle production remain under pressure, the outlook points to recovery in 2025 and broad-based growth by 2026. Will your business be ready to keep up with the pace of expansion?
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1 month ago
4 minutes 18 seconds

TrendsTalk
Profitless Prosperity: Revenue Growth, Margin Pressure
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain from ITR Economics explains the concept of “profitless prosperity”, a future where businesses see revenue growth but shrinking profit margins due to rising costs. While economic growth is expected through 2028, inflation and cost pressures may limit profitability. How can your business avoid this trap? Taylor outlines strategies for balancing pricing power with productivity and efficiency, and why developing a three-year plan is critical for protecting margins in an inflationary environment.
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1 month ago
4 minutes 28 seconds

TrendsTalk
Income Brackets and Spending Challenges
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain break down how different income brackets are handling rising costs in food, housing, and healthcare. While higher earners continue to see spending remain below historical averages, lower and middle-income households are facing mounting affordability challenges. What does this divide mean for consumer spending and long-term economic growth?
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1 month ago
4 minutes 30 seconds

TrendsTalk
Housing Market Lull Before Growth
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain shares the latest housing market update. Single-family housing starts are in a slowdown now, but forecasts point to growth in 2026 and 2027. We review current mortgage rates, home prices, and how incomes are expected to outpace inflation. What do the latest trends mean for homebuyers, builders, and the real estate market outlook? Tune in to learn more!
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2 months ago
4 minutes 43 seconds

TrendsTalk
High-Tech Sectors Powering US Economic Growth
Purchase the recording of our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we discuss where we are seeing some exciting growth happening in the US economy, with high-tech sectors such as data centers and semiconductors surging ahead while legacy industries remain flat. Which of these high-tech markets holds the biggest opportunities for your business? Tune in to find out!
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2 months ago
5 minutes 1 second

TrendsTalk
US Economy Poised for Growth Despite Uncertainty
Purchase the recording of our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we discuss the promising signs of near-term US economic growth, which include renewed momentum in industrial, manufacturing, and business investment. But with economic uncertainty still lingering, how can businesses best position themselves now to thrive when the economy soars? Tune in to find out.
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2 months ago
7 minutes

TrendsTalk
Weaker Labor Market Presents Business Opportunities
Purchase the recording of our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we unpack the latest July jobs report and highlight what the data really says about the current state of the labor market. Tune in for strategic insights into cutting through the negative headlines and optimizing your hiring strategy in a weaker labor market!
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3 months ago
5 minutes 4 seconds

TrendsTalk
Interest Rates Held Steady – But for How Long?
Purchase our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Lauren Saidel-Baker joins the show to discuss the recent Federal Reserve decision to keep rates steady. With a growing internal division within the Fed, are we anticipating rate cuts in September? Watch this week’s episode to find out!
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3 months ago
12 minutes 8 seconds

TrendsTalk
Private Nonresidential Construction Now in Recession
Register for our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we discuss how Private Nonresidential Construction has entered Phase D, Recession, as we highlight which sectors are contracting and which still show growth. How significant will this downturn be and when will we start to see signs of recovery for the segment? Tune in to find out!
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3 months ago
5 minutes 34 seconds

TrendsTalk
Planning for Growth Amid Persistent Inflation and Rising Costs
Register for our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we break down why inflation remains a major hurdle for businesses, with interest rate relief unlikely and costs expected to climb through 2029. Want to grow your business without sacrificing margins in this high-cost environment? Tune in to learn how!
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3 months ago
5 minutes 57 seconds

TrendsTalk
Economic Implications of the One Big Beautiful Bill
Register for our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we explore how the recently signed One Big Beautiful Bill relates to our 2030s Great Depression forecast. How will the record-setting government spending of today shape your business strategy for the next decade? Tune in to find out!
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4 months ago
5 minutes 50 seconds

TrendsTalk
Positive Outlook for Capital Expenditures
Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain discusses the current lull in capital expenditures due to heightened trade policy uncertainty. However, with promising signs of recovery in the second half of the year, what can businesses do now to best position themselves for the expected growth through 2026? Tune in to find out!
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4 months ago
4 minutes 29 seconds

TrendsTalk
What is Driving Growth for US Industrial Production?
Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain highlights US Industrial Production, noting it is gaining momentum and is forecasted to improve steadily through 2026. What are the main sectors driving this growth? Are you positioning your business to make the most of the growth ahead? Watch the full episode to learn more!
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4 months ago
4 minutes 18 seconds

TrendsTalk
Consumer Expectations vs. Retail Sales and US GDP Data
Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain notes that while US Retail Sales and GDP remain strong, consumer expectations are down – as sentiment is aligning more with stock market performance. Tune in this week to find out why headlines about consumer anxiety can be misleading for the broader economy.
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4 months ago
4 minutes 20 seconds

TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain provides an update on the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index. After record highs earlier this year, uncertainty has been cut in half, setting the stage for accelerating growth in both CAPEX and Industrial Production. Taylor explains why this shift supports ITR Economics’ positive outlook through 2026 and what it means for business leaders preparing for expansion. Are you ready to keep pace with growth?