In this part 2, Kevin Muir (@TheMarketHuddle) dives deep into macro trading philosophy, market psychology, and the seismic economic shifts reshaping global markets. From options strategies to geopolitical implications, this discussion reveals the mindset of a seasoned macro trader navigating unprecedented times.
Part 1: https://youtu.be/lkz5AD6yPT4
Timestamps:
00:00 - Trading philosophy: "If it's obvious, it's obviously wrong"
00:51 - Global fiscal spending competition and Trump's impact
02:33 - Potential reversal of US equity outperformance
04:24 - Why macro certainty is dangerous - the Ray Dalio trap
07:08 - The Cramer lesson: being right vs. market timing
09:13 - "Nobody knows nothing" - managing uncertainty in trading
10:54 - Portfolio construction and position sizing psychology
14:52 - Evolution to long-dated options strategies
20:32 - Volatility trading war stories from LTCM crisis
22:31 - FX volatility as undervalued opportunity
24:51 - Currency favorites: Yen and Brazil
28:47 - Historic economic inflection point thesis
33:17 - The end of globalization and tariff implications
36:41 - China contrarian view vs. doom scenarios
41:04 - Where to find Kevin's work
HOW TO REACH KEVIN:
🎥 YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@TheMarketHuddle
🐦X (Twitter) – https://x.com/kevinmuir
👔 LinkedIn – https://www.linkedin.com/in/kevin-muir
🌍 Website – https://themacrotourist.com/ and https://markethuddle.com/
🎙️ Podcast – The Market Huddle
FOLLOW THE TRADING BATTLE:
🐦Twitter – https://twitter.com/ttb_live
📸 Instagram – https://www.instagram.com/thetradingbattle/
🎥 YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/thetradingbattle
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