This video essay discusses the Delinquency in a Birth Cohort study(ies) which looked into the causes of recidivism. This essay looks to understand why the causes of recidivism are so important to understand, how that understanding helps us to understand crime as a whole, and why the study(ies) show that our fundamental understanding of crime is flawed. And how does that flaw lead to increased crime. Recommended shows: Some More News: https://www.youtube.com/@UCvlj0IzjSnNoduQF0l3VGng Skip Intro: https://www.youtube.com/@UCKUm503onGg3NatpBtTWHkQ Münecat: https://www.youtube.com/munecat HBomberguy: https://www.youtube.com/@UClt01z1wHHT7c5lKcU8pxRQ Zoe Bee: https://www.youtube.com/@UCecF2icZlEIJ__9XS6woPGw Folding Ideas: https://www.youtube.com/@@UCyNtlmLB73-7gtlBz00XOQQ Also forgot to mention: Second Thought: https://www.youtube.com/@UCJm2TgUqtK1_NLBrjNQ1P-w Innuendo Studios: https://www.youtube.com/@UC5fdssPqmmGhkhsJi4VcckA Support The Shakedown at: https://www.patreon.com/TheShakedown More about The Shakedown at: https://shakedown.show Find Shakedown merch and support us at: https://wayword.press The Shakedown on IG, Threads, FB, BlueSky, or TikTok: @gettheshakedown Rainforest on IG: @lorax4life References for this video: Delinquency in a Birth Cohort Wolfgang, Marvin E. https://search.worldcat.org/title/1200289388 THE COMING OF THE SUPER — PREDATORS, John DiLulio https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/magazine/1558817/the-coming-of-the-super-predators/ What Really Lowers Crime - Nevada Department of Sentencing Policy https://sentencing.nv.gov/uploadedFiles/sentencingnvgov/content/Meetings/2022/08.24.22%20NSC%20Mtg.%20Agenda%20Item%208%20PFJ%20What%20Really%20Lowers%20Crime.pdf A Better Path Forward for Criminal Justice - Brookings Institute https://www.brookings.edu/articles/a-better-path-forward-for-criminal-justice/ Cumulative Prevalence of Arrest From Ages 8 to 23 in a National Sample, January 11 2012 James P. Smith https://publications.aap.org/pediatrics/article-abstract/129/1/21/31558/Cumulative-Prevalence-of-Arrest-From-Ages-8-to-23?redirectedFrom=fulltex Prison Reform: Reducing Recidivism by Strengthening the Federal Bureau of Prisons https://www.justice.gov/archives/prison-reform Clips at the end of the video: Scott Budnick - Reducing Recidivism through Connection and Community https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9slBJaSka4g Preventing Recidivism Through Education https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2rK3x1jD4Nk Criminal Justice Reform https://www.c-span.org/video/?433121-1/criminal-justice-reform Prison: hot to break the cycle of reoffending? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JBUSzXvMWCk Criminology: The Core 5th Edition by Larry J. Siegel https://www.amazon.com/Criminology-Core-Larry-J-Siegel/dp/1285068904 00:00 - Who talks about career criminals, repeat offenders, and superpredators 00:09 - Why do we need to talk about chronic offenders? 01:01 - Introduction to Delinquency in Birth Cohort 01:29 - The Study 01:38 - What is a "cohort"? 02:33 - What is the etiology of crime? 03:24 - What the birth cohort actually studied 03:55 - The Question 04:00 - Why is studying recidivism so important 04:29 - Rainforest's fantasy of a world that understands recidivism 05:24 - Tough on Crime 06:05 - The Findings 06:11 - What the birth cohort study actually discovered about recidivism 07:23 - Was this just one study? 08:36 - Superpredators 09:05 - Who is John DiLulio and where did the phrase "superpredators" come from? 10:23 - Moral Poverty and The Crime Bill 12:10 - The Crime Bill and Mass Incarceration 12:36 - What Everyone REALLY Gets Wrong 12:41 - Should we punish MORE people? 13:58 - Punishment causes crime 15:56 - Oh, So Now I CAN'T Burn Witches 16:28 - What helps, what doesn't, and who to vote for 21:38 - Thank you, suggestions, and outro