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The Alpha Architect Round Up
Alpha Architect
65 episodes
1 month ago
Can stocks really underperform for bonds decades?! In this special Alpha Architect Round Up celebrating 3,000 subscribers, we sit down with Meb Faber to dig into surprising market truths, diversification challenges, and why buy-and-hold doesn’t always work outside the U.S. In this episode, we discuss: • Why stocks can stagnate or trail other assets like bonds and gold for decades • The hidden role of farmland and housing in the global portfolio • Vanguard’s surprising call for international bonds • Trend-following: misunderstood or just out of favor? • The pitfalls of institutional investing and why complexity often loses • Behavioral mistakes investors keep repeating (performance chasing, sitting on cash) • Which countries and strategies are “totally not crushing it” today—but might be tomorrow Follow Meb's summer series "20 Things You May Not Know About Markets (or That Might Surprise You)": https://x.com/MebFaber/status/1936136442079855067 Follow the Alpha Architect Team and Meb on X: Wes Gray, PhD: https://x.com/alphaarchitect Jack Vogel, PhD: https://x.com/jvogs02 Ryan Kirlin: https://x.com/RyanPKirlin Jose Ordoñez Jr: https://x.com/JOrdonezJr Meb Faber: https://x.com/MebFaber Subscribe for more insights on diversification, market trends, and smart investing strategies! For more educational resources, visit: https://www.alphaarchitect.com Disclosures: https://www.alphaarchitect.com/disclosures
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Can stocks really underperform for bonds decades?! In this special Alpha Architect Round Up celebrating 3,000 subscribers, we sit down with Meb Faber to dig into surprising market truths, diversification challenges, and why buy-and-hold doesn’t always work outside the U.S. In this episode, we discuss: • Why stocks can stagnate or trail other assets like bonds and gold for decades • The hidden role of farmland and housing in the global portfolio • Vanguard’s surprising call for international bonds • Trend-following: misunderstood or just out of favor? • The pitfalls of institutional investing and why complexity often loses • Behavioral mistakes investors keep repeating (performance chasing, sitting on cash) • Which countries and strategies are “totally not crushing it” today—but might be tomorrow Follow Meb's summer series "20 Things You May Not Know About Markets (or That Might Surprise You)": https://x.com/MebFaber/status/1936136442079855067 Follow the Alpha Architect Team and Meb on X: Wes Gray, PhD: https://x.com/alphaarchitect Jack Vogel, PhD: https://x.com/jvogs02 Ryan Kirlin: https://x.com/RyanPKirlin Jose Ordoñez Jr: https://x.com/JOrdonezJr Meb Faber: https://x.com/MebFaber Subscribe for more insights on diversification, market trends, and smart investing strategies! For more educational resources, visit: https://www.alphaarchitect.com Disclosures: https://www.alphaarchitect.com/disclosures
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The Trump Bear Trap | May Round Up
The Alpha Architect Round Up
40 minutes 13 seconds
6 months ago
The Trump Bear Trap | May Round Up
The Trump Bear Trap: Volatility, Tariffs, and Factor Frustration Markets whipsawed through April, with sudden drawdowns, massive rebounds, and political catalysts fueling confusion. In this episode of the Alpha Architect Roundup, we break down whether this is a true bear trap—or just the cost of being a long-term, evidence-based investor. Key Topics Covered: •Is this a bear trap or just market noise? •The impact of Trump’s tariff threats and 90-day delays •Why GDP shrank—and whether it means recession •Crisis alpha and trend following: when should it work? •Small-cap drawdowns and doubts about the size premium •Do value and momentum still deserve investor trust? •What it takes to stick with factor investing through pain Timestamps: 00:00 –Intro/ Factor investing should be hard 01:27 – April volatility: bear trap or bull trap? 06:39 – "Kicking the can down the road" 12:29 – GDP contraction: signal or noise? 15:31 – Crisis alpha and trend disappointment 19:49 – Is the size premium dead? 21:40 – Factors and the problem of timing 27:04 – Are factors dead? 36:49 – Is technical analysis for n00bs? 40:12 – Final thoughts Subscribe for more insights on diversification, market trends, and smart investing strategies! Website & Disclosures For more educational resources, visit our website: https://www.alphaarchitect.com Disclosures: https://www.alphaarchitect.com/disclosures
The Alpha Architect Round Up
Can stocks really underperform for bonds decades?! In this special Alpha Architect Round Up celebrating 3,000 subscribers, we sit down with Meb Faber to dig into surprising market truths, diversification challenges, and why buy-and-hold doesn’t always work outside the U.S. In this episode, we discuss: • Why stocks can stagnate or trail other assets like bonds and gold for decades • The hidden role of farmland and housing in the global portfolio • Vanguard’s surprising call for international bonds • Trend-following: misunderstood or just out of favor? • The pitfalls of institutional investing and why complexity often loses • Behavioral mistakes investors keep repeating (performance chasing, sitting on cash) • Which countries and strategies are “totally not crushing it” today—but might be tomorrow Follow Meb's summer series "20 Things You May Not Know About Markets (or That Might Surprise You)": https://x.com/MebFaber/status/1936136442079855067 Follow the Alpha Architect Team and Meb on X: Wes Gray, PhD: https://x.com/alphaarchitect Jack Vogel, PhD: https://x.com/jvogs02 Ryan Kirlin: https://x.com/RyanPKirlin Jose Ordoñez Jr: https://x.com/JOrdonezJr Meb Faber: https://x.com/MebFaber Subscribe for more insights on diversification, market trends, and smart investing strategies! For more educational resources, visit: https://www.alphaarchitect.com Disclosures: https://www.alphaarchitect.com/disclosures