It’s crunch time in Caerphilly. New polling puts Reform UK ahead of Plaid Cymru — and Welsh Labour facing a nightmare scenario. On this week’s Senedd Sources Podcast, Ollie Cole, Jo Kiernan, and Craig Lawton break down what’s really happening on the ground, the fallout from Plaid Cymru’s party conference, and the latest twists in the Senedd budget negotiations.

We cover:

• 📊 The latest Caerphilly by-election poll — Reform UK leads Plaid Cymru 42–38
• ⚡ The impact of Nigel Farage’s visit and questions over Russian links
• 🏛️ Labour’s struggles in Welsh Government and locally in Caerphilly
• 🌱 Plaid Cymru’s childcare policy, energy protests, and independence debate
• 💷 Budget brinkmanship in Cardiff Bay — and could Welsh Conservatives cut a deal?
• 🎙️ Plus: The disastrous TV hustings that turned voters off

👉 Subscribe for more in-depth analysis of Welsh politics, from those who’ve worked inside the Senedd and advised First Ministers.

📱 WhatsApp your questions and voice notes to 0333 404 6507 (start your message with Senedd).

📩 Email: hello@seneddsources.com

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