
John Caruso, Senior Market Strategist at RJO Futures, explains why the Fed’s recent
25-basis-point cut is “risk management” and why another 25 basis points may come in October
and December. He describes how monetary and fiscal policies are creating a reflationary
backdrop in the U.S. and globally, making the Fed’s path back to 2% inflation long and
uncertain. Caruso highlights the structural headwinds facing the U.S. dollar, why deficits and
debt keep pressure on policymakers, and how this environment supports commodities, with gold
breaking out and silver gaining strength.