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Orwellian Optics
Allio Capital
25 episodes
16 hours ago
Welcome to Orwellian Optics, a podcast by Allio Capital where macroeconomics, policy, politics, and personal finance intersect. Hosted by Joseph Gradante, Andrew J Giannone, and Christopher Morgan, we offer you the tools and insights you need to navigate. Unlike mainstream media, we cut through the noise, offering an educational and independent perspective on how government decisions impact your financial future. Tune in to learn how to take control of your investments and make better choices every time.
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Investing
Business,
News,
Business News
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All content for Orwellian Optics is the property of Allio Capital and is served directly from their servers with no modification, redirects, or rehosting. The podcast is not affiliated with or endorsed by Podjoint in any way.
Welcome to Orwellian Optics, a podcast by Allio Capital where macroeconomics, policy, politics, and personal finance intersect. Hosted by Joseph Gradante, Andrew J Giannone, and Christopher Morgan, we offer you the tools and insights you need to navigate. Unlike mainstream media, we cut through the noise, offering an educational and independent perspective on how government decisions impact your financial future. Tune in to learn how to take control of your investments and make better choices every time.
Show more...
Investing
Business,
News,
Business News
Episodes (20/25)
Orwellian Optics
Challenging the Gospel of GDP

The economic landscape today is shaped by ideas spanning centuries. From Benjamin Franklin’s wisdom to modern debates between Keynes and Hayek, history continues to frame today’s policies and challenges. Host Gareth da Cunha sits down with Mark Skousen, economist, presidential fellow at Chapman University and prolific author. Mark’s latest book, “The Greatest American,” is about Franklin, and in this episode we explore Franklin’s enduring relevance, gross output versus GDP and uncomfortable truths about globalization, debt and climate narratives.


Key Takeaways: 


00:00 Introduction.

01:46 Benjamin Franklin’s ideas offer modern lessons in finance, business and policy.

05:06 Calls for cheap government and peace clash with today’s reality.

11:13 Say’s Law, often misunderstood, shows how supply drives demand.

15:19 Gross output highlights business and innovation as true drivers of growth.

20:27 Most leading economic indicators come from the business sector, not consumers.

25:35 “Fortress America” policies undermine free trade, despite global offers to cut tariffs.

30:56 FreedomFest 2025 in Las Vegas centers on civil debates and “Think Independent.”

32:36 Top leaders join lively debates in Las Vegas.



Resources Mentioned:


Gareth da Cunha

https://www.linkedin.com/in/gareth-da-cunha/


Mark Skousen

https://www.linkedin.com/in/markskousen/


Chapman University

https://www.linkedin.com/school/chapman-university/


"The Making of Modern Economics" by Mark Skousen

https://www.amazon.com/Making-Modern-Economics-Lives-Thinkers/dp/0765622262


"The Greatest American" by Mark Skousen

https://www.amazon.com/Greatest-American-Benjamin-Franklin-Versatile/dp/1645721000


FreedomFest

https://freedomfest.com/




Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.



#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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1 month ago
34 minutes 28 seconds

Orwellian Optics
Challenging Media Narratives on the Economy

The way economic data gets presented can shape the story we believe about the economy. Numbers are often used selectively, sometimes masking the real picture behind them. In this episode, we sit down with Gene Epstein, Senior Economist at the Euro Stock Exchange, to explore how debates, data interpretation and media narratives shape public perception of capitalism, socialism and the broader economy.


Key Takeaways: 


00:00 Introduction.

01:28 One-on-one debates create more clarity than two-on-two.

05:13 Live audiences and Oxford-style voting make debates more engaging.

09:34 Econospinning shows how the media skews data to fit political bias.

11:47 Krugman misjudged unemployment by overlooking women’s workforce participation.

15:12 Statistical redundancy means using multiple data sources to confirm trends.

20:09 Powell’s rapid rate hikes fueled recession fears, but 2023 only muddled through.

25:13 CPI likely overstates inflation, a view that challenges free market orthodoxy.

29:24 Government aid reduced work incentives, cutting participation to one-third.


Resources Mentioned:


Gene Epstein

https://www.linkedin.com/in/gene-epstein-4215416/


Soho Forum

https://www.thesohoforum.org/


Bureau of Labor Statistics

https://www.bls.gov/


Institute for Supply Management

https://www.ismworld.org/




Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.



#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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1 month ago
31 minutes 1 second

Orwellian Optics
The End of Easy Money and the Case For Bitcoin

Sound money is the cornerstone of economic stability, yet our financial system has drifted far from it. In this episode, Lawrence Lepard, Author of “The Big Print” and Advisory General Partner of Bitcoin Opportunity Fund, LP, discusses the causes of our monetary dysfunction and how assets like Bitcoin and gold could provide solutions. Lawrence shares his perspective on the Federal Reserve’s role in exacerbating economic instability, the inevitability of further money printing and how investors can position themselves to protect and grow their wealth in an inflationary world.


Key Takeaways: 



00:00 Introduction.

06:16 Stablecoins run on digital rails but stay tied to the dollar.

09:49 Persistent inflation could push a shift to end the Fed and restore sound money.

14:54 Despite resistance, ETF approval shows Bitcoin is gaining ground.

20:22 In times of crises, the government always prints money to avoid collapse.

27:55 AI will transform the world, but we now face an inflationary era.

31:27 Ethereum’s changing rules hurt its value, while Bitcoin holds firm.

35:56 Globalization thrives when distributed but control erodes trust.

37:11 As inflation persists and trust fades, people will abandon fiat and turn to Bitcoin.


Resources Mentioned:


Lawrence Lepard

https://www.linkedin.com/in/lawrence-lepard-5b4a316/


Bitcoin Opportunity Fund, LP | LinkedIn

https://www.linkedin.com/company/bitcoin-opportunity-fund-lp/


Bitcoin Opportunity Fund, LP | Website

https://www.bitcoinopportunity.fund/


"The Big Print" by Lawrence Lepard

https://www.amazon.com/Big-Print-Happened-America-Sound/dp/B0DVTCVX8J


Bitcoin

https://bitcoin.org/en/




Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.



#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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2 months ago
40 minutes 7 seconds

Orwellian Optics
The Hidden Costs of Progressive Economics

The economic costs of political excitement are often overlooked, especially when idealism masks the realities of policy. In this episode, we speak with Germinal Van, Economist, Scholar, and two-time Best Indie Book Award-winning author of “Thomas Sowell: A Misunderstood Economist” and “The Economic Condition of Black America in the Twentieth Century: A Historical and Empirical Analysis.” 


He is also the founder of GGV Publishing Company, an independent publishing house dedicated to enhancing scholarship and high-quality writing that helps authors leave their indelible marks on the world. We explore the persistent tension between good politics and sound economics, and what the founding fathers foresaw about the dangers of centralized power.


Key Takeaways:


(01:30) Zoran Ani’s appeal masks socialist policies that have repeatedly failed.

(03:18) Minimum wage hikes fuel inflation and hurt small businesses.

(05:22) Easy student loans drive tuition hikes and mask true costs.

(09:28) Failed policies drive up government spending and operational costs.

(12:56) Trump’s spending bill breaks promises, grows the deficit and fuels inflation.

(15:05) Ron Paul couldn’t win because he was too honest about necessary reforms.

(22:50) The Westward Expansion was necessary, though carried out harshly.

(24:17) In today’s digital economy, wealth comes from owning and processing data.


Resources Mentioned:


Germinal Van

https://www.linkedin.com/in/germinal-van-3888201b3/


GGV Publishing Company | LinkedIn

https://www.linkedin.com/company/ggv-publishing-company/


GGV Publishing Company | Website

https://www.ggvpublishingcompany.com/?srsltid=AfmBOop8LUtoDZmA1yFXbtMBs6BHaxveESoq_YdsHI_hKQixO7tGQrto


“Thomas Sowell: A Misunderstood Economist”

https://www.amazon.com/Thomas-Sowell-Misunderstood-Germinal-Van-ebook/dp/B0D38DMXD1


“The Economic Condition of Black America in the Twentieth Century”

https://www.amazon.com/Economic-Condition-America-Twentieth-Century/dp/B08C49FNRD


Cantillon Effect

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cantillon_effect




Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.



#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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2 months ago
27 minutes 16 seconds

Orwellian Optics
Big Beautiful Bills on Parade

Welcome to Season 2 of “Orwellian Optics”! 


A razor-thin House vote on a trillion-dollar bill sends ripples across Washington — and the economy. As we wait to see how the Senate reshapes it, we break down what’s at stake. Co-hosts Joseph Gradante, Tyler Goering and Emil Sadofsky unpack the macroeconomic implications, the legislative chaos and the political theater playing out in real time. From the role of deregulation in sparking growth to the philosophical divide within the GOP, they dissect how fiscal clarity, or the lack of it, will impact markets, portfolios and America’s global standing.


Key Takeaways: 


00:00 Introduction.

00:56 The reconciliation bill may boost growth through tax cuts and deregulation.

04:39 The Senate will amend the reconciliation bill to meet the July 4th goal.

10:01 Pro-business policies may outweigh spending concerns for foreign investors.

15:08 Lower taxes and freer markets could boost GOP chances in the next election.

20:37 Military strength deters threats like the Taiwan invasion and protects US hegemony.

25:32 Rand Paul’s theatrics overlook practical solutions and risk GOP credibility.

29:37 The 6% across-the-board cut sounds bold but fails the test of practicality.

31:45 Fiscal clarity may boost crypto and AI, but rising debt keeps gold in play.


Resources Mentioned:


Joseph Gradante

https://www.linkedin.com/in/yoda-josephgradante/


Tyler Goering

https://www.linkedin.com/in/tyler-goering-cfa/


Emil Sadofsky

https://www.linkedin.com/in/emil-sadofsky/


CNBC Interview with Senator Markwayne Mullin

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2025/06/02/sen-markwayne-mullin-overall-structure-of-the-house-reconciliation-bill-will-stay-intact.html


CNBC Interview with Senator Rand Paul

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2025/06/03/sen-rand-paul-on-reconciliation-bill-i-will-not-vote-to-raise-the-debt-ceiling-by-5-trillion.html




Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.



#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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3 months ago
33 minutes 27 seconds

Orwellian Optics
Idiots in Washington

A razor-thin House vote on a trillion-dollar bill sends ripples across Washington — and the economy. As we wait to see how the Senate reshapes it, we break down what’s at stake. Co-hosts Joseph Gradante, Tyler Goering and Emil Sadofsky unpack the macroeconomic implications, the legislative chaos and the political theater playing out in real time. From the role of deregulation in sparking growth to the philosophical divide within the GOP, they dissect how fiscal clarity, or the lack of it, will impact markets, portfolios and America’s global standing.

Key Takeaways: 

(00:56) The reconciliation bill may boost growth through tax cuts and deregulation.

(04:39) The Senate will amend the reconciliation bill to meet the July 4th goal.

(10:01) Pro-business policies may outweigh spending concerns for foreign investors.

(15:08) Lower taxes and freer markets could boost GOP chances in the next election.

(20:37) Military strength deters threats like the Taiwan invasion and protects US hegemony.

(25:32) Rand Paul’s theatrics overlook practical solutions and risk GOP credibility.

(29:37) The 6% across-the-board cut sounds bold but fails the test of practicality.

(31:45) Fiscal clarity may boost crypto and AI, but rising debt keeps gold in play.


Resources Mentioned:


Joseph Gradante -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/yoda-josephgradante/

Tyler Goering -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/tyler-goering-cfa/

Emil Sadofsky -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/emil-sadofsky/

CNBC Interview with Senator Markwayne Mullin -

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2025/06/02/sen-markwayne-mullin-overall-structure-of-the-house-reconciliation-bill-will-stay-intact.html

CNBC Interview with Senator Rand Paul -

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2025/06/03/sen-rand-paul-on-reconciliation-bill-i-will-not-vote-to-raise-the-debt-ceiling-by-5-trillion.html



Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.



#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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3 months ago
33 minutes 27 seconds

Orwellian Optics
De-Dollarization and Gold, and What It Means for Markets

Mainstream narratives don’t always reflect economic reality — and that gap has never been more important to understand. Co-hosts Joseph Gradante, AJ Giannone and Emil Sadofsky unpack why key wins on the economic and geopolitical front are getting buried, and what investors should really be paying attention to. From media distortion to fiscal policy shifts and market responses, we trace how economic literacy is becoming essential for long-term success.



Key Takeaways:


(01:14) Trump logs major wins in trade, foreign policy and hostage negotiations.

(05:19) Inflation drops, markets rise and optimism grows ahead of America’s 250th anniversary.

(10:32) Media bias erodes trust but economic-focused leadership restores balance.

(16:26) Tax cuts and deregulation will create 4.2M jobs and raise wages by up to $11K.

(18:28) Anticipation of the reconciliation bill sparks massive capital inflows and US job creation.

(20:00) Innovation in AI and infrastructure needs long-term capital and clear policy.

(24:00) As de-dollarization grows, gold rises and investors must think independently.

(26:33) Trump’s bold tariff threats lead to modest, reciprocal trade deals.


Resources Mentioned:


Joseph Gradante

https://www.linkedin.com/in/yoda-josephgradante/


AJ Giannone

https://www.linkedin.com/in/agiannone-cfa/


Emil Sadofsky

https://www.linkedin.com/in/emil-sadofsky/


Office of Management and Budget

https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/


SoftBank’s Stargate project

https://group.softbank/en/news/press/20250522


Eli Lilly

https://www.lilly.com/


Bristol Myers Squibb

https://www.bms.com/




Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.



#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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4 months ago
28 minutes 7 seconds

Orwellian Optics
Decoding the Political Theater Behind Trade Policy

A 30-year-old speech on trade resurfaces — and it could’ve been delivered yesterday. Co-hosts Joseph Gradante, AJ Giannone, and Tyler Goering react in real time to a vintage clip of Nancy Pelosi criticizing US-China trade relations and unpack how little has changed. We explore the persistent economic asymmetry between China and the United States, from trade deficits to technology transfers. We also break down Trump’s trade strategy, why it may be the right medicine at the right time, and how sudden macroeconomic policy shifts ripple through the markets, even as we are recording.


Key Takeaways:


(01:27) Nancy Pelosi’s 1990s stance on China’s MFN status feels eerily relevant today.

(07:10) Trump’s trade policy mirrors Pelosi’s old position, suggesting bipartisan concern.

(08:32) The parties have flipped roles in trade policy, but billionaires always win.

(15:20) America’s consumer base remains its biggest bargaining chip.

(17:21) The political class benefits while the people fight each other.

(20:43) Policy — not ideology — is the path to equitable economic outcomes.

(24:00) Staying invested is key; pulling out during volatility means missing rallies.

(25:52) Smart investing means buying low, not chasing highs.



Resources Mentioned:


Joseph Gradante

https://www.linkedin.com/in/yoda-josephgradante/


AJ Giannone

https://www.linkedin.com/in/agiannone-cfa/


Tyler Goering

https://www.linkedin.com/in/tyler-goering-cfa/


Nancy Pelosi Speech on China Trade

https://usinfo.org/wf-archive/2000/000217/epf406.htm




Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.



#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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6 months ago
27 minutes 5 seconds

Orwellian Optics
Why Economic Literacy Is the Key to a National Revival

As America stands at an economic crossroads, we explore whether a new industrial renaissance is within reach. Co-hosts Joseph Gradante, AJ Giannone and Tyler Goering break down the economic forces shaping America’s future, the strategic shift in investor behavior and the potential turning point in market valuations. From JD Vance’s rallying cry to repatriate innovation, to an urgent critique of globalization’s impact on the middle class, we explore what a sustainable economic revival could look like — and how Allio fits into the bigger picture.


Key Takeaways:


(01:19) JD Vance’s belief that cheap labor undermines innovation and national prosperity.

(04:55) America’s mid-20th-century strength stemmed from domestic production and tariffs.

(09:56) Explaining how short-term profit motives eroded long-term economic stability.

(13:30) Unions once helped ensure prosperity was shared fairly.

(21:45) DOGE is often misunderstood but plays a serious role in economic policy.

(26:02) Progressive taxation has a role in upholding basic rights and stability.

(27:48) Breaking down where valuations look attractive amid uncertainty.

(30:32) Now may be the time for buying into high-growth companies again.


Resources Mentioned:


Joseph Gradante

https://www.linkedin.com/in/yoda-josephgradante/


AJ Giannone

https://www.linkedin.com/in/agiannone-cfa/


Tyler Goering

https://www.linkedin.com/in/tyler-goering-cfa/

Ray Dalio – Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order

https://www.amazon.com/Changing-World-Order-Nations-Succeed/dp/1982160276


Tesla

https://www.tesla.com/


Nvidia

https://www.nvidia.com/


Apple

https://www.apple.com/




Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.




#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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6 months ago
35 minutes 9 seconds

Orwellian Optics
A Normal and Common Occurrence

From market corrections to tariff rollouts, recent developments are reshaping Americans’ view of the economy and their financial future. But what does it really mean for investors, businesses, and everyday citizens? 



Co-hosts Joseph Gradante, AJ Giannone and Tyler Goering unpack Scott Bessent’s recent interview and explore the broader implications of current economic policy, market movements and political dynamics. They reflect on the forces reshaping America’s economy and what needs to change for Main Street to thrive.


Key Takeaways:


(03:23) Scott Bessent echoes Warren Buffett’s message on short-term fear versus long-term fundamentals.

(10:02) Massive government spending can be as risky as market corrections if left unchecked.

(17:47) Tariffs get the spotlight, but energy independence and deregulation drive real disinflation.

(21:04) Innovation thrives when risk-taking is rewarded and capital is accessible.

(28:49) The VIX shows early signs of market stabilization.

(31:50) Returns across asset classes are now more evenly balanced.

(35:13) Mild economic cooling could reopen opportunities for risk-taking.

(36:40) Falling energy costs, deregulation and potential rate cuts signal a positive economic outlook.


Resources Mentioned:


Joseph Gradante

https://www.linkedin.com/in/yoda-josephgradante/


AJ Giannone

https://www.linkedin.com/in/agiannone-cfa/


Tyler Goering

https://www.linkedin.com/in/tyler-goering-cfa/


Scott Bessent

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scott_Bessent


J.P. Morgan

https://www.jpmorgan.com/




Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.




#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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7 months ago
37 minutes 57 seconds

Orwellian Optics
AI Meets Macro Investing: Optimizing Portfolios in a Shifting Economy

Market uncertainty and portfolio optimization take center stage in this discussion with Adam Damko, Chief Data Scientist at Allio Capital. With over a decade of experience applying machine learning in finance, Adam has worked on everything from spread forecasting to recession prediction in the fixed-income space. He is also the creator of Allio’s ALTITUDE AI, a systematic investment framework designed to optimize portfolios in real-time.



In this conversation with AJ Giannone and Joseph Gradante, Adam explains how predictive AI and macro investing intersect, why traditional portfolio models fall short, and what investors should focus on in a shifting economic landscape.


Key Takeaways:


(05:31) Parallels exist between the Reagan and Biden eras, but real economic change takes time.

(10:08) Government inflation metrics lag — Trueflation shows a sharper decline.

(13:29) The Magnificent Seven’s dominance is fading — diversification is key.

(18:06) Market uncertainty normalizes over time — adjusting strategies is crucial.

(20:32) Growth is coming but the administration remains cautious.

(22:50) Adaptive AI-driven portfolios offer better diversification and stability.

(25:51) Portfolio optimization is misunderstood — ignoring risk leaves value on the table.

(29:22) Sector positioning outweighs fundamentals in today’s market.


Resources Mentioned:


Adam Damko

https://www.linkedin.com/in/adam-damko-cfa/


AJ Giannone

https://www.linkedin.com/in/agiannone-cfa/


Joseph Gradante

https://www.linkedin.com/in/yoda-josephgradante/


Truflation Index

https://truflation.com/marketplace/us-inflation-rate





Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.




#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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7 months ago
30 minutes 58 seconds

Orwellian Optics
“I Love Gold!”

Government efficiency, fiscal reform and market volatility are the focus of today’s economic discussions. 


Co-hosts Joseph Gradante, AJ Giannone, and Tyler Goering analyze the latest policy shifts, including the potential of a US sovereign wealth fund, the DOGE dividend and the role of tariffs in global trade.


They discuss whether fiscal responsibility can drive long-term economic growth, how tax and trade policies affect markets and why gold and hard assets are gaining traction.


Key Takeaways:


(02:06) Would people notice if the federal government disappeared?

(09:00) Where taxpayer money really goes and why cutting waste matters.

(10:30) The DOGE dividend — helpful or inflationary?

(12:54) Why a US sovereign wealth fund could be a game-changer.

(15:47) Tariffs as a tool for fair trade.

(19:49) Sovereign wealth funds as an economic defense.

(26:38) Market volatility is rising — gold and hard assets gain appeal.

(29:22) 50% of US spending comes from the top 10% — what if they pull back?


Resources Mentioned:


Joseph Gradante -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/yoda-josephgradante/


AJ Giannone -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/agiannone-cfa/


Tyler Goering -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/tyler-goering-cfa/


US Sovereign Wealth Funds -

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sovereign_wealth_fund


DOGE Dividend Proposal -

https://nypost.com/2025/02/27/us-news/proposed-doge-dividend-could-become-law/


Tariff Policy -

https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11030


Market Volatility -

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/v/volatility.asp





Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.




#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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8 months ago
33 minutes 29 seconds

Orwellian Optics
Sum Total of Policy Changes

Tariffs, economic policy and market reactions continue to dominate discussions, shaping both short-term volatility and long-term investment strategies. Understanding the broader implications of these policies is essential to making informed decisions. Co-hosts Joseph Gradante, AJ Giannone, and Tyler Goering break down the current landscape, discussing the impact of tariffs, the importance of historical context in economic cycles, and what investors should focus on amid market noise.


Key Takeaways:


(01:13) Tariffs spark debate, but the broader economic impact depends on long-term trade negotiations.

(03:02) Market fluctuations often overreact to policy shifts — fundamentals matter more.

(09:00) Short-term market noise creates opportunities for those who take a long-term perspective.

(09:29) Economic cycles repeat — understanding history provides an advantage in navigating uncertainty.

(12:31) Rising interest rates will make debt refinancing more challenging for the economy.

(14:32) Long-term investing is about building sustainable wealth to secure financial stability for future generations.

(14:57) The growing US fiscal deficit is a risk that needs urgent policy attention.

(18:08) Sustainable economic growth requires balancing deregulation, fiscal discipline and investment.


Resources Mentioned:


Joseph Gradante -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/yoda-josephgradante/


AJ Giannone -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/agiannone-cfa/


Tyler Goering -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/tyler-goering-cfa/


Federated Hermes -

https://www.federatedhermes.com/us/home.do


NVIDIA -

https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/


US Treasury Market -

https://www.sifma.org/explore-issues/treasury-market-structure/





Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.




#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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8 months ago
19 minutes 24 seconds

Orwellian Optics
Trump Card: Day Trading vs. Macro Investing

The US is at a turning point. As the new administration takes shape, policies on energy, trade and national security are already in motion. But what does this mean for investors and the global economy?


Co-hosts Joseph Gradante, AJ Giannone and Tyler Goering break down Trump’s inauguration speech, the policy shifts that followed and their implications for markets. From China’s long game to the future of US energy independence, the team unpacks how these macro forces are reshaping investment strategies.


With volatility on the rise and fiscal policy uncertain, staying ahead of these trends is more critical than ever.


Key Takeaways:


(01:17) Trump’s inauguration speech set the tone for bold economic shifts.

(03:29) Why linking rhetoric to action is key to credibility.

(04:44) Energy independence could give the US a major advantage.

(06:29) The role of external conflict in uniting a divided nation.

(08:00) How China leveraged globalization to gain economic power.

(11:44) The US production crisis — why offshoring weakened supply chains.

(14:05) Trump’s policy approach: chaotic or calculated?

(21:18) Why the old investing playbook no longer works.

(30:35) The importance of dynamic investing over passive strategies.



Resources Mentioned:



Joseph Gradante -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/yoda-josephgradante/


AJ Giannone -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/agiannone-cfa/


Tyler Goering -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/tyler-goering-cfa/


US Energy Production Data -

https://www.eia.gov


China’s Trade & Economic Policies -

https://www.cfr.org/china


Historical CPI Reports & Inflation Trends -

https://www.bls.gov/cpi/


10-Year Treasury Yield Tracker -

https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10-year-bond-yield





Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.




#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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9 months ago
32 minutes 54 seconds

Orwellian Optics
Big Tech Gets Redpilled

The cultural shift in America is undeniable. From tech platforms embracing transparency to the evolving role of Bitcoin and gold as hedges, the team breaks down the macro trends shaping today’s markets. How do investors navigate this volatility while preparing for what’s next?


Co-hosts Joseph Gradante, AJ Giannone, Tyler Goering, and Chris Morgan explore the implications of tech industry shifts, fiscal policies and market volatility. The discussion dives into 10-year treasury yields, inflation concerns and the growing importance of diversification in uncertain times.


Key Takeaways:


(02:02) Tech titans embrace libertarian ideals in content moderation.

(04:28) Virtue-signaling has blocked problem-solving in public discourse.

(12:28) Impacts of possible changes to fiscal policy.

(19:00) Podcasts reshape political communication by bypassing legacy media.

(23:51) 10-year treasury yields climb as fiscal irresponsibility persists.

(27:14) Volatility dominates markets as fiscal clarity remains elusive.

(28:18) Gold and Bitcoin emerge as critical inflation hedges.

(31:04) Diversification remains essential amid economic uncertainty.


Resources Mentioned:


Joseph Gradante -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/yoda-josephgradante/


AJ Giannone -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/agiannone-cfa/


Tyler Goering -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/tyler-goering-cfa/


Chris Morgan -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/christophermorgan01/


10-Year Treasury Yields: Trends and Analysis -

https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10-year-bond-yield


Gold and Bitcoin as Inflation Hedges -

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-vs-gold-better-inflation-233119589.html


Diversification Strategies for Uncertain Markets -

https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/gold-inflation-hedge/


Macroeconomic Insights for Investment Portfolios -

https://www.barrons.com/articles/bond-yields-stocks-markets-c547ed93





Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.




#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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9 months ago
33 minutes 50 seconds

Orwellian Optics
Predicting 2025

Shifting coalitions of middle-class voters, geopolitical tensions and AI-driven innovation are reshaping the economic and political landscape in 2025. How will these forces impact growth, markets and global stability?


Co-hosts AJ Giannone, Tyler Goering, Chris Morgan, and Joseph Gradante analyze the Fed’s monetary policy stance, the rise of American manufacturing, and the challenges posed by the China-Taiwan conflict. They also explore the potential of community banks, regulatory reforms and the ongoing boom in artificial intelligence.


Key Takeaways:


(02:14) Middle-class coalitions are redefining American politics.

(04:28) Consumer-driven growth and AI innovation dominate 2025 forecasts.

(07:10) The Fed likely won’t cut rates in 2025; inflation concerns remain.

(09:27) Reshoring production could reduce dependence on Taiwan and China.

(16:03) Consumers show resilience despite potential goods inflation.

(20:05) Pro-business policies must show results before midterm elections.

(27:00) Regulatory capture consolidates big banks’ power over smaller competitors.

(28:00) Reviving community banks is crucial for small business growth.


Resources Mentioned:


AJ Giannone -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/agiannone-cfa/


Tyler Goering -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/tyler-goering-cfa/


Chris Morgan -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/christophermorgan01/


Joseph Gradante -

https://www.linkedin.com/in/yoda-josephgradante/


Federal Reserve Monetary Policy: Insights into the Fed’s 2025 strategy -

https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/december-2024-annual-performance-plan-2025.htm


China-Taiwan Conflict: How it impacts global markets -

https://rhg.com/research/taiwan-economic-disruptions/


Regulatory Capture in Banking: Challenges for small and community banks -

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/how-will-the-federal-reserve-revise-its-framework-in-2025/




Thanks for listening to “Orwellian Optics.” If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review. And be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss out on new releases.




#Macroeconomics #PersonalFinance #InvestmentResearch

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9 months ago
32 minutes 49 seconds

Orwellian Optics
US Election Prediction: Prosperity or Poverty
Our hosts on this episode of Orwellian Optics dive deep into the 2024 election, analyzing the key drivers behind the razor-thin margins in swing states and the unexpected dynamics in public opinion. Despite 71% of Americans feeling the country is on the wrong track, the polls remain tight between Trump and Harris. They look at the double-edged sword that is the media and the reemergence of tariffs as a policy tool. They explore how modern globalization has failed to deliver on its promise of stability and discuss the erosion of trust in traditional news outlets – are podcasts like this the way forward? Listen now for fresh perspectives on the state of democracy and what's at stake for the next generation. Disclaimer: All opinions and views expressed on the podcast are their own and not representative of any current or previous employees or organizations.
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1 year ago
58 minutes 26 seconds

Orwellian Optics
Vance Wants This for America
This time on the Orwellian Optics podcast, with Chris on his honeymoon, the boys have a guest! Tyler Goering, Chief Risk Officer at Allio, joins Joseph Gradante and AJ Giannone to engage in a spirited discussion following the recent vice presidential debate. They reflect on the performances of the candidates, particularly focusing on J.D. Vance’s poised and articulate delivery. Green shoots of hope? A promising future for the Republican Party? One thing was for sure, the debate highlighted the importance of respectful political discourse and how Vance’s approach could signify a new era of engagement in American politics. National debt and the importance of dynamic investment portfolios are other hot topics this week, so don’t waste time and get listening now! Disclaimer: All opinions and views expressed on the podcast are their own and not representative of any current or previous employees or organizations.
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1 year ago
37 minutes 26 seconds

Orwellian Optics
Buffett, Soros and Dalio: Investment Strategies of Financial Titans
In this episode of the Orwellian Optics podcast, hosts Joseph Gradante, AJ Giannone, and Chris Morgan delve into the complexities of modern investing, contrasting traditional stock-picking with a top-down macro approach. They reflect on Joseph’s experiences in equity research, highlighting how understanding sector dynamics can lead to better investment decisions. The discussion shifts to the illusion of trading apps that gamify investing, which often mislead users into making impulsive trades without grasping the fundamentals. AJ emphasizes the significance of building diversified portfolios that mitigate risk and adapt to macroeconomic shifts. The trio also examines the historical context of financial crises, arguing that understanding systemic incentives is crucial for effective investing. Tune in for a thought-provoking analysis of today’s investment landscape and practical strategies for navigating financial uncertainties. Disclaimer: All opinions and views expressed on the podcast are their own and not representative of any current or previous employees or organizations.
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1 year ago
32 minutes 1 second

Orwellian Optics
The US Economy’s Decline: Interest Rate Cuts & the Future of the Dollar
In this episode of the Orwellian Optics podcast, hosts Joseph Gradante, AJ Giannone, and Chris Morgan explore the Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut interest rates, discussing its political implications ahead of an upcoming election. They also highlight the potential risks of rising national debt and inflation while emphasizing the importance of adapting investment strategies. From the historical context of figures like Andrew Jackson to modern fiscal policies, the trio talk about resilient equities, gold, Bitcoin, and energy commodities as key investment opportunities, and address challenges like housing affordability and geopolitical risks. Tune in for insightful analysis and actionable strategies that could shape your financial future, and to learn the value of staying informed and proactive in today's complex economic landscape. Disclaimer: All opinions and views expressed on the podcast are their own and not representative of any current or previous employees or organizations.
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1 year ago
26 minutes 57 seconds

Orwellian Optics
Welcome to Orwellian Optics, a podcast by Allio Capital where macroeconomics, policy, politics, and personal finance intersect. Hosted by Joseph Gradante, Andrew J Giannone, and Christopher Morgan, we offer you the tools and insights you need to navigate. Unlike mainstream media, we cut through the noise, offering an educational and independent perspective on how government decisions impact your financial future. Tune in to learn how to take control of your investments and make better choices every time.