Election Fallout - Carney’s Challenges, Poilievre’s Future, and the NDP Collapse

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On The Ledge - your Ontario politics podcast

Story Studio Network, Dave Trafford and iContact Productions

328 episodes

3 days ago

The Ledge, n: slang for the legislature. Mostly used by members of the legislative press gallery.
On the Ledge posts weekly when the Ontario Legislature is sitting. But there have been times when we've had to "recall" the Ledge for an emergency session to address pressing matters of Ontario politics when Queen's Park isn't sitting!

Our OTL team includes former Ontario Premier, Kathleen Wynne, former Progressive Conservative Leader, (and Wynne's erstwhile parliamentary sparring partner), Tim Hudak, Queen's Park broadcast commentator Keith Leslie, John Wright, our veteran pollster and co-founding host, and Dave Trafford, Chief Executive Producer at Story Studio Network.

All content for On The Ledge - your Ontario politics podcast is the property of Story Studio Network, Dave Trafford and iContact Productions and is served directly from their servers with no modification, redirects, or rehosting. The podcast is not affiliated with or endorsed by Podjoint in any way.

Politics

News,

News Commentary

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Election Fallout - Carney’s Challenges, Poilievre’s Future, and the NDP Collapse

On The Ledge - your Ontario politics podcast

49 minutes

6 months ago

Election Fallout - Carney’s Challenges, Poilievre’s Future, and the NDP Collapse

On the Ledge – Special Election Edition

Host: Dave Trafford
Guests: Keith Leslie, Kathleen Wynne, Tim Hudak, John Wright

Summary:
In this special post-election edition of On the Ledge, Dave Trafford convenes the panel to break down the federal election results.

Keith Leslie, Kathleen Wynne, Tim Hudak, and John Wright dive into what the Liberal minority outcome means for the country, why polling predictions missed key shifts, and how the ground game, turnout, and last-minute voter motivations shaped the final result.

They also examine the collapse of the NDP, the future of Pierre Poilievre’s leadership after losing his seat, and the challenges facing Prime Minister Mark Carney as he seeks to unify a fractured Parliament and prepare for an unpredictable Trump-led U.S.

Key Takeaways:

Poll Accuracy & Aggregators: John Wright defends pollsters but criticizes seat projection aggregators for inaccuracies that fueled public distrust.
High Voter Turnout: Motivated by stark party contrasts and affordability concerns, Canadians turned out in record numbers.
NDP Collapse: The New Democrats suffered devastating losses, notably in Hamilton and Northern Ontario, fueling leadership questions.
Pierre Poilievre's Future: Despite leading the Conservatives to strong seat gains, losing his own riding could trigger leadership challenges.
Carney’s Challenges: The new PM must rebuild Western trust, advance critical infrastructure projects, and present a fresh cabinet distinct from Trudeau’s.
Minority Government Dynamics: Carney will rely heavily on NDP cooperation to survive, though few are eager for another election soon.
Trump Factor: While the Trump threat remains, voters increasingly focused on domestic issues like affordability in the final campaign days.