In this episode of Nothing Ventured, host Aarish Shah welcomes Joe Knowles, a partner at Smedvig Capital. Joe shares insights from his diverse background as an Airbus engineer, investment banker, and startup founder. He discusses Smedvik's unique approach to venture capital, emphasizing patient capital and a focus on integrity and founder trust rather than chasing hype cycles. The conversation explores the reality of the power law in venture capital, highlighting that while there are thousands of VC-backed companies in Europe, a small number account for a significant portion of exit value. Joe also addresses the advantages of being a single LP fund, the importance of execution in the commoditized tech landscape, and the need for improved physical infrastructure in Europe to support ambitious growth. Tune in for valuable perspectives on navigating the venture capital landscape and the future of value creation. Timestamps: 00:00:00 - Introduction to Joe Knowles and Smedvig Capital. 00:00:42 - The Reality of the Power Law in Venture Capital 00:01:24 - The Golden Age for Value Creation and Commoditisation of Code 00:01:50 - Aarish Shah's Background and Podcast Introduction 00:02:33 - Joe Knowles' Background and Recommendations 00:03:11 - The Power Law Myth and Its Impact on Venture Returns 00:05:44 - The Symbiotic Relationship Between Outliers and Middle-Tier Companies 00:07:23 - The Importance of Good Outcomes for the Ecosystem and Economy 00:08:56 - Venture-Backed Companies in Europe: Key Statistics 00:10:25 - The Overlap Between Power Law Strategies and Middle-Tier Strategies 00:11:18 - Can VCs Pursue Both Power Law and Middle-Tier Strategies? 00:13:24 - The Impact of AI and Software Costs on Venture Capital 00:17:06 - The Reckoning in AI and Its Impact on Venture Capital 00:19:58 - The Shift in Venture Capital Strategies Due to AI and Market Dynamics 00:21:50 - The Role of Single LP Funds and Family Offices in Venture Capital 00:23:37 - The History and Structure of Smedvig Ventures 00:25:18 - Dependence on a Single LP and Fund Size Discipline 00:27:09 - The Branding and Messaging Challenge of Single LP Funds 00:28:41 - The Trend of Family Offices Entering Venture Capital 00:31:09 - The Flexibility of Single LP Funds in Exits and Returns 00:33:02 - The Importance of IRR and Flexibility in Single LP Funds 00:35:12 - Understanding Venture Capital from a Founder's Perspective 00:37:19 - The Opacity and Decision-Making in Venture Capital 00:38:07 - The Commoditisation of Code and Its Impact on Venture Capital 00:41:01 - The Importance of Speed and Non-Code Moats in Venture Capital 00:45:09 - The Role of Domain Expertise and Market Niches in Venture Capital 00:47:05 - The Augmentation of Coders and the Contextual Nature of Expertise FindJoe Knowles online at: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/joe-knowles-196a896b/ Twitter: https://x.com/joeknowlesuk / https://x.com/smedvigventures Smedvig Capital: https://smedvig.vc/ This episode is sponsored by EmergeOne, fractional CFOs for venture backed tech startups from Seed to Series B. Get in touch at https://emergeone.co.uk/contact-us/ or join the CFO team at https://emergeone.co.uk/join-the-cfo-team/ Sign up for EmergeOne’s weekly newsletter, Off Balance at https://off-balance.beehiiv.com/subscribe