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Nicholas Gruen
Nicholas Gruen
148 episodes
1 day ago
A record of media podcast interviews I've done.
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Government
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A record of media podcast interviews I've done.
Show more...
Government
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Me on economic forecasting
Nicholas Gruen
9 minutes 38 seconds
1 year ago
Me on economic forecasting

Here I discuss a speech made by Andrew Hauser, Deputy Governor of the RBA on how little forecasters know and how much humbler we should all be. I focus on what he didn't say, which is that the best way to tackle hubris and improve forecasting is to run open forecasting tournaments. Only then can you access 'superforecasters' — those people made famous by Philip Tetlock's bestselling 2015 book but whom official forecasters have never heard of or, having heard of them, try to put out of their mind.

Nicholas Gruen
A record of media podcast interviews I've done.