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Mind the Macro
Michael Roberts and Jeff Baldwin
62 episodes
4 days ago
Weekly economic insights from Professional Forecasters in under 20 minutes
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Investing
Business
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All content for Mind the Macro is the property of Michael Roberts and Jeff Baldwin and is served directly from their servers with no modification, redirects, or rehosting. The podcast is not affiliated with or endorsed by Podjoint in any way.
Weekly economic insights from Professional Forecasters in under 20 minutes
Show more...
Investing
Business
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Dousing the Spinnaker: Removing Risk from the Portfolio (September 5, 2025)
Mind the Macro
27 minutes 54 seconds
2 months ago
Dousing the Spinnaker: Removing Risk from the Portfolio (September 5, 2025)

We trimmed the portfolio’s risk profile earlier this week,though the fund remains fully invested in equities. In March and April 2025, we shifted the portfolio toward higher-beta sectors, reducing positions in defensive areas such as healthcare while increasing allocations to more volatile technology stocks. At the time, we likened the maneuver to hoisting a spinnaker to catch an additional gust of market momentum. The move proved highly profitable. However, recent data has altered the calculus. A succession of weaker economic releases has diminished the prospective reward, while this week’s signs of labor-market softness have further underscored the case for caution. Although the FederalReserve may yet avert a recession, the slowdown is palpable. Thus, we are “dousing the spinnaker” and positioning for a more unsettled, and potentially more volatile, course ahead.

Mind the Macro
Weekly economic insights from Professional Forecasters in under 20 minutes