Today's October 27, 2025. The European Commission is poised to propose a sweeping package of financial market reforms with the fundamental aim of creating a deeper EU financial market capable of rivaling that of the United States and China.

This grand strategy seeks to make more investment capital available to Europe’s industry and halt the concerning trend of successful startups relocating to the U.S. for better access to growth funding.

However, the proposed mechanism for achieving this integration—a significant "shake-up" of financial supervision—is "certain to be politically divisive" and is forecast to "set the stage for a bitter political fight with the bloc’s governments".

The main point of contention is the plan to shift supervision of various firms, including all crypto asset service providers, large cross-border stock exchanges, clearinghouses, and central securities depositories, to the EU central supervisor, ESMA.

This move toward centralization, championed by countries like France but long opposed and "largely blocked by national capitals" in the past, risks deepening political divisions across the continent.

Further complicating the internal landscape, a preview of the Rule of Law Index showed that over two-thirds of EU member countries declined in performance, with Slovakia and Hungary recording the sharpest drops.

The EU’s urgent need to support Ukraine remains a critical external challenge following a recent EUCO summit deadlock. After Belgium shot down plans to use frozen Russian assets as a financial lifeline for Kyiv, EU countries are being called upon to consider a "Plan B" involving the raising of tens of billions of euros in joint debt to keep Ukraine afloat.

A final decision on this path is needed no later than the EUCO summit in December. This scramble for financing occurs against a backdrop of heightened global tension: Europe looks on nervously as Donald Trump prepares to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping, a meeting already preceded by news that Washington and Beijing have settled on a "framework" for a trade deal.

Meanwhile, while a two-week-old, Trump-inspired Gaza ceasefire has held, tensions remain high, and humanitarian aid delivery is insufficient to meet needs. Adding to the global security concerns, Russia claimed it had successfully tested its nuclear-powered Burevestnik missile.