Jason and Jeff go completely unscripted, diving into interest rates, market uncertainty, AI hype, and personal investing strategies in a candid, wide-ranging conversation.
02:40 – Reflections on the past year
04:45 – Interest rates, tariffs, and recurring macro themes
07:20 – The Fed, rate cuts, and market reactions
13:00 – How macro noise impacts personal investing decisions
15:20 – Homebuilders, housing affordability, and investment opportunities
18:00 – Adapting investment process: FOMO, bubbles, and Howard Marks’ advice
22:00 – Market exuberance: Is it 1996 or 1999?
26:30 – Pivot: Is AI overhyped? Parallels to the Internet bubble
29:00 – AI’s real impact, business integration, and valuation risks
33:00 – Energy, infrastructure, and the limits of AI scalability
35:00 – Personal portfolio management, risk, and long-term goals
40:00 – Index funds, risk allocation, and retirement planning
42:00 – Housekeeping, how to support the show, and closing thoughts
Companies mentioned: AAPL, ASML, BRK.B, CRM, GOOG, META, NVDA, TSM
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