Intelligence Assessment: The 2025 Irish Presidential Election

As Ireland approaches its tenth presidential election since independence, the country faces a significant political transition with the conclusion of Michael D. Higgins' transformative 14-year presidency. The upcoming election, scheduled for late October 2025, occurs against a backdrop of critical domestic challenges—most notably an acute housing crisis—and evolving international dynamics that have redefined Ireland's role on the global stage. Current intelligence indicates a multi-candidate contest featuring representatives from across the political spectrum, with early positioning suggesting this may be one of the most consequential presidential races in decades.