Markets witnessed a sharp jump on Friday which helped Nifty to end 5 weeks of losing streak and post weekly gains of closer to 1%. Friday’s rebound was mainly on the back of retail euphoria which suddenly pumped an additional Rs 32,000 crore into the system compared to the previous day and this may be termed as unusual buying to protect weekly closing. Friday’s up move has the maximum potential to extend towards 19,520 which turns out to 38.2% retracement of the entire down move and is likely to be followed by a severe down leg towards 17,500.
The key trigger which may cause a sharp decline in Indian markets is Brent crude crossing the USD 90 a bbl mark after a recent upsurge beyond 38-week highs. overall outlook for the market remains highly cautious as US bond yields especially 2-yr and 10-yr have already shown an inverted curve. Short positions can be added on moves below 65,174 in Sensex.
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