In the 2019 AVİM analysis, it was emphasized that post-2014 Ukraine conflict, most arms control regimes in Europe, especially within the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) area, diminished in significance. This deterioration was evident when the U.S. withdrew from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty in 2019, a move followed by Russia. Amid this backdrop, while nuclear weapon states under the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) maintain the relevance of deterrence in ensuring regional and global security, non-nuclear states express apprehension about a potential nuclear arms race. The New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START), a paramount agreement, was signed between the U.S. and Russia in 2010, placing restrictions on strategic nuclear assets. This treaty, however, faced hurdles as Russia suspended its implementation in 2022 during the military actions against Ukraine. These evolutions suggest that established arms control regimes, products of years of international collaboration, are waning. The current unstable global security environment forewarns of turbulent times, and the salvation lies in not only preserving but also enhancing these regimes for global well-being.
Link : https://avim.org.tr/en/Analiz/THE-BREAKING-DOWN-IN-ARMS-CONTROL-REGIMES-CONTINUES
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