Nationally, many NFL pundits expect Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills to take a step backward in 2024 after losing a lot of veteran talent in the offseason, but this week on the Billieve podcast, we do a deep dive on why the analytics say the Bills are once again expected to contend in the AFC. Aaron Schatz is the Chief Analytics Officer for FTN Fantasy and an ESPN+ NFL analyst. Schatz created DVOA (or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average), which calculates a team’s success based on the down-and-distance of each play during the season, then calculates how much more or less successful each team is compared to the league average. Schatz has been an expert in analyzing the data of NFL games for more than 20 years, and he says that despite the offseason departures, the Bills will once again have one of the most potent offenses in the league, led by Josh Allen, who Schatz ranks as the second-best QB in the NFL behind only Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs. Schatz discusses the outlook for Buffalo this year, including how his analytics say the Bills are projected to have the fourth-ranked offense, 10th-ranked defense, and fourth-ranked special teams play. Schatz also explains what the DVOA metrics say about the Bills, defends Allen from the critics who claim he turns the ball over too much, and explores how the injury to LB Matt Milano will impact the defense. He then offers up his expectations and predictions for how the Bills will fare this year while offering up a few players who will exceed expectations and who could be in line for a letdown this year. Get involved with our show on Twitter (@JohnBoccacino) and be sure to follow the Rumblings Network and Buffalo Rumblings on Twitter, too. The new Rumblings Cast boasts a talented lineup, including Billieve, The Bruce Exclusive, In The Trenches, The Chop Up, The Code of Conduct, Leading the Charge, and Jamie D & Big Newt. We’re also thrilled to announce new shows like Unplugged with Sara Larson and The Crew, a show where your favorite Bills content creators will come together to discuss all things Buffalo Bills.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices