When an AI system produces an eloquent paragraph or a sharp forecast, it feels intelligent. But that’s an illusion born of fluent output. The model isn’t thinking; it’s statistically imitating the structure of thought. It doesn’t know truth, only probability. If you ask it for a credit summary, it predicts which sequence of words most often follows “credit summary” in its training data. Its strength is correlation, not comprehension. Treating correlation as comprehension is the first cognitiv...
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When an AI system produces an eloquent paragraph or a sharp forecast, it feels intelligent. But that’s an illusion born of fluent output. The model isn’t thinking; it’s statistically imitating the structure of thought. It doesn’t know truth, only probability. If you ask it for a credit summary, it predicts which sequence of words most often follows “credit summary” in its training data. Its strength is correlation, not comprehension. Treating correlation as comprehension is the first cognitiv...
PMF is not luck. It is the natural result of getting the right things right, in the right order. If you try to scale before nailing your value proposition, you fail. If you ignore feedback, you miss the mark. If you build for the wrong problem, nothing else matters. Follow the DAG. Think clearly. Move methodically. And before you know it, you’ll find yourself in the lost city—the place where customers demand your product, where growth is natural, and where your business finally makes sense. s...
Acalytica Lounge
When an AI system produces an eloquent paragraph or a sharp forecast, it feels intelligent. But that’s an illusion born of fluent output. The model isn’t thinking; it’s statistically imitating the structure of thought. It doesn’t know truth, only probability. If you ask it for a credit summary, it predicts which sequence of words most often follows “credit summary” in its training data. Its strength is correlation, not comprehension. Treating correlation as comprehension is the first cognitiv...
